Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 6, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.4700 (0.1%) ($31.2400 - $31.5000) on Thu. Jan. 6, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $31.4700(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.48(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.43(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.33(0.45%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2011	31.37	31.33	31.43	31.48			31.47(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	4	43	5.71	39%	0	62.5	0.52%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Jan_5_2011	31.37	31.3	31.42	31.45			31.44(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	1	45	4.6	44%	0.03	41.4	0.52%	0	0.8	63	0
3	Jan_4_2011	31.36	31.28	31.4	31.44			31.64(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	4	39	4.98	46%	0.03	44.3	0.54%	0	1.9	57	0
4	Jan_3_2011	31.35	31.25	31.35	31.41			31.49(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	4	32	3.54	46%	0	55.6	0.53%	0	1.4	56	0
5	Dec_31_2010	31.35	31.24	31.35	31.38			31.34(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	27	2.17	46%	0.03	66.7	0.53%	0	0.6	58	0

6	Dec_30_2010	31.34	31.23	31.32	31.38			31.33(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	0	40	2.48	46%	0.03	77.1	0.54%	0	0.7	61	0
7	Dec_29_2010	31.33	31.22	31.3	31.39			31.38(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	5	50	1.85	46%	0	85.4	0.54%	0	1.1	66	0
8	Dec_28_2010	31.33	31.19	31.29	31.35			31.49(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	7	57	1.18	46%	0	55.2	0.54%	0	1.7	65	0
9	Dec_27_2010	31.33	31.16	31.27	31.29			31.38(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	48	2.14	46%	0.03	37.9	0.54%	0	1.2	54	0
10	Dec_23_2010	31.32	31.13	31.24	31.29			31.36(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	0	31	2.87	49%	0.03	21.3	0.57%	0	1.2	51	0

11	Dec_22_2010	31.31	31.12	31.21	31.25			31.34(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	5	26	3.39	49%	0	22.4	0.59%	0	1.2	53	0
12	Dec_21_2010	31.31	31.12	31.16	31.2			31.2(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-3	7	3.21	49%	0	8.6	0.59%	0	0.6	52	0
13	Dec_20_2010	31.31	31.12	31.16	31.23			31.19(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-1	20	5	53%	0.03	8.6	0.6%	0	0.6	61	0
14	Dec_17_2010	31.3	31.12	31.14	31.23			31.15(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	0	33	6.16	49%	0.03	5.2	0.62%	0	0.3	59	0
15	Dec_16_2010	31.29	31.09	31.15	31.24			31.36(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	47	5.6	51%	0	-3.4	0.63%	0	1.5	62	0

16	Dec_15_2010	31.29	31.09	31.15	31.16			31.08(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	4	38	10.64	48%	0	-30.9	0.62%	0	0	50	0
17	Dec_14_2010	31.29	31.09	31.14	31.12			31.35(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	7	40	5.07	51%	0.03	-56.4	0.62%	0	1.6	62	0
18	Dec_13_2010	31.28	31.09	31.08	31.05			31.27(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	2	13	6.38	51%	0	-75.9	0.62%	0	1.1	50	0
19	Dec_10_2010	31.28	31.08	31.04	31.03			31.12(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-1	4.5	51%	0.03	-96.6	0.61%	0	0.2	49	0
20	Dec_9_2010	31.27	31.1	31.01	31.06			31(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-5	-7	6.41	51%	0.03	-88.2	0.62%	0	-0.5	44	0

21	Dec_8_2010	31.26	31.13	31.01	31.11			30.87(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-5	-0	8.47	51%	0.03	-75.3	0.63%	0	-1.1	46	0
22	Dec_7_2010	31.25	31.17	31.02	31.16			30.98(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	6	-10000	5	7	9.99	51%	0.03	-63.2	0.63%	0	-0.7	48	0
23	Dec_6_2010	31.24	31.21	31.04	31.11			31.19(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	8	-5	4.16	54%	0.03	-55.2	0.63%	0	-0.1	43	0
24	Dec_3_2010	31.23	31.25	31.04	31.03			31.28(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	8	-25	5.91	54%	0.03	-49.1	0.63%	0	0.1	47	0
25	Dec_2_2010	31.22	31.29	31.03	30.95			31.21(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	3	-51	9.45	54%		-46.4	0.63%	0	-0.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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