Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.3600 (0.9%) ($30.9600 - $31.3700) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $31.3600(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.24(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.15(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.09(0.87%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.58% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2010	31.29	31.09	31.15	31.24			31.36(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	47	5.6	51%	0	-3.4	0.63%	0	1.5	62	0
2	Dec_15_2010	31.29	31.09	31.15	31.16			31.08(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	4	38	10.64	48%	0	-30.9	0.62%	0	0	50	0
3	Dec_14_2010	31.29	31.09	31.14	31.12			31.35(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	7	40	5.07	51%	0.03	-56.4	0.62%	0	1.6	62	0
4	Dec_13_2010	31.28	31.09	31.08	31.05			31.27(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	2	13	6.38	51%	0	-75.9	0.62%	0	1.1	50	0
5	Dec_10_2010	31.28	31.08	31.04	31.03			31.12(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-1	4.5	51%	0.03	-96.6	0.61%	0	0.2	49	0

6	Dec_9_2010	31.27	31.1	31.01	31.06			31(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-5	-7	6.41	51%	0.03	-88.2	0.62%	0	-0.5	44	0
7	Dec_8_2010	31.26	31.13	31.01	31.11			30.87(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-5	-0	8.47	51%	0.03	-75.3	0.63%	0	-1.1	46	0
8	Dec_7_2010	31.25	31.17	31.02	31.16			30.98(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	6	-10000	5	7	9.99	51%	0.03	-63.2	0.63%	0	-0.7	48	0
9	Dec_6_2010	31.24	31.21	31.04	31.11			31.19(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	8	-5	4.16	54%	0.03	-55.2	0.63%	0	-0.1	43	0
10	Dec_3_2010	31.23	31.25	31.04	31.03			31.28(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	8	-25	5.91	54%	0.03	-49.1	0.63%	0	0.1	47	0

11	Dec_2_2010	31.22	31.29	31.03	30.95			31.21(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	3	-51	9.45	54%	0.03	-46.4	0.63%	0	-0.2	40	0
12	Dec_1_2010	31.21	31.31	31.01	30.92			31.12(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	5	-71	5.78	60%	0.03	-46.1	0.63%	0	-0.5	38	0
13	Nov_30_2010	31.2	31.34	31	30.87			30.76(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-10	-100	5.63	52%	0.03	-48.1	0.67%	0	-1.4	26	0
14	Nov_29_2010	31.19	31.38	31.07	30.97			30.8(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-6	-94	6.14	52%	0.03	-50.4	0.69%	0	-1.5	25	0
15	Nov_26_2010	31.18	31.43	31.13	31.03			30.86(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-98	1.97	57%	0.1	-50.4	0.73%	0	-1.6	24	0

16	Nov_24_2010	31.15	31.47	31.2	31.03			31.07(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	0	-98	3.31	57%	0.1	-54.3	0.72%	0	-1.2	25	0
17	Nov_23_2010	31.12	31.5	31.25	31.11			30.88(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-4	-103	6.31	57%	0	-65.7	0.72%	0	-1.9	33	0
18	Nov_22_2010	31.12	31.54	31.34	31.15			31.22(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-5	-102	4.29	60%	0.1	-72.8	0.71%	0	-1.1	36	0
19	Nov_19_2010	31.09	31.57	31.4	31.2			31.13(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-86	4.37	56%	0.1	-70.7	0.71%	0	-1.5	46	0
20	Nov_18_2010	31.06	31.61	31.49	31.24			31.25(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-6	-72	4.43	56%	0.1	-70.8	0.73%	0	-1.3	42	0

21	Nov_17_2010	31.03	31.65	31.57	31.31			31.07(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-10	-56	5.41	56%	0.1	-55.8	0.73%	0	-1.9	39	0
22	Nov_16_2010	31	31.71	31.64	31.42			31.08(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-11	-38	9.28	56%	0.06	-45.9	0.74%	0	-2.3	42	0
23	Nov_15_2010	30.98	31.76	31.71	31.55			31.45(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-8	-16	3.62	59%	0.06	-34.8	0.73%	0	-1.4	45	0
24	Nov_12_2010	30.96	31.78	31.72	31.64			31.34(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-12	-15	7.3	59%	0.1	-25.8	0.73%	0	-2.1	41	0
25	Nov_11_2010	30.93	31.81	31.76	31.78			31.6(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-8	3	4.91	56%		-6.7	0.72%	0	-1.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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