Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $30.8800 (-1.09%) ($30.7700 - $31.0000) on Tue. Nov. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $30.8800(-1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.25(-5.28%)
Resistance Level   $31.5
5 Day Moving Average   $31.11(-0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.25(-1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.5(-1.97%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2010	31.12	31.5	31.25	31.11			30.88(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-4	-103	6.31	57%	0	-65.7	0.72%	0	-1.9	33	0
2	Nov_22_2010	31.12	31.54	31.34	31.15			31.22(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-5	-102	4.29	60%	0.1	-72.8	0.71%	0	-1.1	36	0
3	Nov_19_2010	31.09	31.57	31.4	31.2			31.13(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-86	4.37	56%	0.1	-70.7	0.71%	0	-1.5	46	0
4	Nov_18_2010	31.06	31.61	31.49	31.24			31.25(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-6	-72	4.43	56%	0.1	-70.8	0.73%	0	-1.3	42	0
5	Nov_17_2010	31.03	31.65	31.57	31.31			31.07(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-10	-56	5.41	56%	0.1	-55.8	0.73%	0	-1.9	39	0

6	Nov_16_2010	31	31.71	31.64	31.42			31.08(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-11	-38	9.28	56%	0.06	-45.9	0.74%	0	-2.3	42	0
7	Nov_15_2010	30.98	31.76	31.71	31.55			31.45(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-8	-16	3.62	59%	0.06	-34.8	0.73%	0	-1.4	45	0
8	Nov_12_2010	30.96	31.78	31.72	31.64			31.34(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-12	-15	7.3	59%	0.1	-25.8	0.73%	0	-2.1	41	0
9	Nov_11_2010	30.93	31.81	31.76	31.78			31.6(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-8	3	4.91	56%	0.1	-6.7	0.72%	0	-1.1	43	0
10	Nov_10_2010	30.9	31.82	31.76	31.87			31.62(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	1	-10000	-2	9	7.74	56%	0.06	8.8	0.76%	0	-1.1	39	0

11	Nov_9_2010	30.88	31.82	31.76	31.89			31.76(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1	-10000	-1	-2	9.4	56%	0.06	15.8	0.76%	0	-0.4	38	0
12	Nov_8_2010	30.86	31.82	31.77	31.9			31.87(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	5	-10000	8	-3	3.78	56%	0.06	14	0.76%	0	0.2	48	0
13	Nov_5_2010	30.84	31.83	31.76	31.8			32.05(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	5	-19	5.36	56%	0.06	8.8	0.76%	0	1.2	53	0
14	Nov_4_2010	30.82	31.82	31.74	31.74			32.06(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-2	-10000	7	-29	8.83	56%	0.06	7.5	0.76%	0	1.4	53	0
15	Nov_3_2010	30.8	31.82	31.73	31.66			31.72(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-37	8.63	53%	0.03	4	0.75%	0	-0.5	49	0

16	Nov_2_2010	30.79	31.8	31.78	31.63			31.78(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	1	-33	4.14	58%	0.1	6	0.75%	0	-0.1	48	0
17	Nov_1_2010	30.76	31.81	31.79	31.62			31.41(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-6	-32	7.35	55%	0.07	10.5	0.78%	0	-2.2	43	0
18	Oct_29_2010	30.74	31.82	31.84	31.7			31.72(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-20	4.17	54%	0.07	26	0.77%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Oct_28_2010	30.72	31.81	31.86	31.73			31.67(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-16	5.38	54%	0.13	28.3	0.8%	0	-0.7	45	0
20	Oct_27_2010	30.68	31.8	31.88	31.81			31.59(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-10	-6	6.01	57%	0.1	47.6	0.8%	0	-1.1	47	0

21	Oct_26_2010	30.65	31.8	31.88	31.94			31.72(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-4	16	3.89	57%	0.1	69.8	0.82%	0	-0.4	53	0
22	Oct_25_2010	30.62	31.79	31.91	31.99			31.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-1	22	5.28	57%	0.13	83.3	0.82%	0	0	49	0
23	Oct_22_2010	30.58	31.77	31.91	31.99			31.87(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	0	33	4.29	60%	0.1	88.4	0.82%	0	0.5	63	0
24	Oct_21_2010	30.55	31.76	31.92	32.01			32.08(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	4	41	5.89	56%	0.1	83.5	0.84%	0	1.2	67	0
25	Oct_20_2010	30.52	31.7	31.89	31.96			32.22(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	6	42	3.93	56%		74.1	0.86%	0	1.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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