Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.4600 (1.61%) ($31.2600 - $31.5500) on Fri. Sep. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $31.4600(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.22(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.25(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.28(0.58%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2010	30.06	31.28	31.25	31.22			31.46(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	8	-21	4.98	54%	0.07	50	1.03%	0	0.7	46	0
2	Sep_23_2010	30.04	31.24	31.24	31.1			30.96(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-3	-39	6.83	52%	0.03	35.4	1.02%	0	-0.9	42	0
3	Sep_22_2010	30.03	31.23	31.24	31.1			31.32(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-10000	0	-31	8.01	50%	0.03	35.8	1.01%	0	0.3	47	0
4	Sep_21_2010	30.02	31.2	31.31	31.15			31.1(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-5	-25	7.37	50%	0	32.1	1.06%	0	-0.3	57	0
5	Sep_20_2010	30.02	31.18	31.35	31.23			31.26(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-4	-3	5.75	50%	0.03	36.5	1.06%	0	0.2	62	0

6	Sep_17_2010	30.01	31.15	31.38	31.29			30.85(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-7	9	9.96	47%	0.03	36	1.06%	0	-0.8	47	0
7	Sep_16_2010	30	31.13	31.45	31.41			31.22(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-5	37	5.32	49%	0.03	39.3	1.05%	0	0.2	62	0
8	Sep_15_2010	29.99	31.11	31.48	31.41			31.33(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	0	62	5.88	53%	0.03	46.7	1.05%	0	0.5	61	0
9	Sep_14_2010	29.98	31.09	31.44	31.49			31.51(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	1	64	5.18	53%	0.03	44.4	1.07%	0	1	63	0
10	Sep_13_2010	29.97	31.05	31.36	31.48			31.55(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-1	64	4.95	53%	0.03	40.9	1.07%	0	1.2	64	0

11	Sep_10_2010	29.96	31.01	31.32	31.49			31.44(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-1	78	6.23	56%	0.03	39.5	1.07%	0	1.1	66	0
12	Sep_9_2010	29.95	30.97	31.23	31.5			31.62(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	2	81	5.4	56%	0.03	37.2	1.11%	0	1.6	70	0
13	Sep_8_2010	29.94	30.97	31.14	31.47			31.31(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	6	80	4.89	58%	0.07	34.2	1.11%	0	1.1	57	0
14	Sep_7_2010	29.92	30.91	31.08	31.37			31.46(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	68	4.93	58%	0.03	31.7	1.11%	0	1.5	56	0
15	Sep_3_2010	29.91	30.89	31	31.21			31.62(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	5	50	5.36	53%	0.07	23.6	1.17%	0	2.1	62	0

16	Sep_2_2010	29.89	30.85	30.89	31.12			31.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.2	18	-10000	10	40	6.01	56%	0.03	27.8	1.17%	0	2.1	61	0
17	Sep_1_2010	29.88	30.82	30.78	30.93			31.48(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	11	-10000	8	20	8.26	53%	0.03	18.2	1.2%	0	2.4	62	0
18	Aug_31_2010	29.87	30.82	30.7	30.78			30.81(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	5	8.94	50%	0.03	2.8	1.21%	0	0.1	53	0
19	Aug_30_2010	29.86	30.79	30.7	30.78			30.67(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	0	-0	8.39	50%	0	-5.3	1.22%	0	-0.5	40	0
20	Aug_27_2010	29.86	30.81	30.72	30.76			31.14(1.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	5	-10000	8	-3	9.93	54%	0.03	0	1.2%	0	1.4	49	0

21	Aug_26_2010	29.85	30.81	30.67	30.62			30.56(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	2	-22	6.86	52%	0.03	-17.9	1.2%	0	-0.9	42	0
22	Aug_25_2010	29.84	30.77	30.68	30.59			30.7(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-2	-33	10.71	52%	0	-19.2	1.2%	0	-0.3	45	0
23	Aug_24_2010	29.84	30.78	30.67	30.62			30.72(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-36	13.74	52%	0	2.5	1.2%	0	-0.2	44	0
24	Aug_23_2010	29.84	30.8	30.72	30.67			30.67(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-0	-24	5.51	52%	0.03	22.2	1.21%	0	-0.5	47	0
25	Aug_20_2010	29.83	30.81	30.76	30.68			30.47(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-2	-24	8.12	48%		32.1	1.21%	0	-1.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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