Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 31, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $30.8100 (0.46%) ($30.4000 - $30.9400) on Tue. Aug. 31, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $30.8100(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.78(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.7(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.79(0.06%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2010	29.87		30.7	30.78			30.81(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	5	8.94	50%	0.03	2.8	1.21%	0	0.1	53	0
2	Aug_30_2010	29.86	30.79	30.7	30.78			30.67(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	0	-0	8.39	50%	0	-5.3	1.22%	0	-0.5	40	0
3	Aug_27_2010	29.86	30.81	30.72	30.76			31.14(1.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	5	-10000	8	-3	9.93	54%	0.03	0	1.2%	0	1.4	49	0
4	Aug_26_2010	29.85	30.81	30.67	30.62			30.56(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	2	-22	6.86	52%	0.03	-17.9	1.2%	0	-0.9	42	0
5	Aug_25_2010	29.84	30.77	30.68	30.59			30.7(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-2	-33	10.71	52%	0	-19.2	1.2%	0	-0.3	45	0

6	Aug_24_2010	29.84	30.78	30.67	30.62			30.72(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-36	13.74	52%	0	2.5	1.2%	0	-0.2	44	0
7	Aug_23_2010	29.84	30.8	30.72	30.67			30.67(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-0	-24	5.51	52%	0.03	22.2	1.21%	0	-0.5	47	0
8	Aug_20_2010	29.83	30.8	30.76	30.68			30.47(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-2	-24	8.12	48%	0.03	32.1	1.21%	0	-1.3	40	0
9	Aug_19_2010	29.82	30.81	30.81	30.72			30.39(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-2	-10	10.09	47%	0	51.2	1.27%	0	-1.6	53	0
10	Aug_18_2010	29.82	30.82	30.87	30.76			30.83(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	2	0	20.51	47%	0.07	49.5	1.26%	0	0	57	0

11	Aug_17_2010	29.8	30.78	30.89	30.73			31(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-4	-10000	-3	-5	6.97	47%	0.03	46.5	1.27%	0	0.7	49	0
12	Aug_16_2010	29.79	30.75	30.87	30.78			30.7(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-5	8.45	47%	0.03	54.2	1.26%	0	-0.2	42	0
13	Aug_13_2010	29.78	30.72	30.9	30.86			30.7(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-3	6	5.89	47%	0.03	53.8	1.27%	0	-0	51	0
14	Aug_12_2010	29.77	30.68	30.9	30.92			30.59(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-4	10	6.47	47%	0.03	56	1.27%	0	-0.2	53	0
15	Aug_11_2010	29.76	30.66	30.88	30.99			30.65(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-4	17	9.51	47%	0.03	65	1.27%	0	-0	55	0

16	Aug_10_2010	29.75	30.63	30.91	31.06			31.28(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	5	42	9.23	54%	0.07	73.5	1.24%	0	1.4	71	0
17	Aug_9_2010	29.73	30.57	30.89	30.97			31.1(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	1	42	4.7	54%	0.03	86.1	1.3%	0	1.2	59	0
18	Aug_6_2010	29.72	30.51	30.85	30.95			30.99(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	6	51	6.33	50%	0.03	102	1.3%	0	1.1	62	0
19	Aug_5_2010	29.71	30.45	30.8	30.83			30.93(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	4	50	3.67	50%	0	107.8	1.35%	0	1	66	0
20	Aug_4_2010	29.71	30.39	30.75	30.74			30.98(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	-0	46	5.13	48%	0.03	109.7	1.35%	0	1.2	58	0

21	Aug_3_2010	29.7	30.31	30.66	30.75			30.85(-0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-3	45	4.25	50%	0.03	98.5	1.37%	0	0.9	59	0
22	Aug_2_2010	29.69	30.2	30.61	30.81			31(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	58	7.63	50%	0.03	98	1.38%	0	1.3	61	0
23	Jul_30_2010	29.68	30.06	30.53	30.75			30.37(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-1	57	9.08	48%	0	77.1	1.36%	0	0.4	57	0
24	Jul_29_2010	29.68	29.95	30.47	30.77			30.52(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	1	60	8.31	48%	0.03	66.1	1.36%	0	0.7	60	0
25	Jul_28_2010	29.67	29.85	30.44	30.75			31(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	10	72	8.07	50%		58.6	1.35%	0	1.3	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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