Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.1000 (0.35%) ($31.0300 - $31.2400) on Mon. Aug. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $31.1000(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.97(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.89(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.57(1.73%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2010	29.73	30.57	30.89	30.97			31.1(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	1	42	4.7	54%	0.03	86.1	1.3%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Aug_6_2010	29.72	30.51	30.85	30.95			30.99(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	6	51	6.33	50%	0.03	102	1.3%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Aug_5_2010	29.71	30.45	30.8	30.83			30.93(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	4	50	3.67	50%	0	107.8	1.35%	0	1	66	0
4	Aug_4_2010	29.71	30.39	30.75	30.74			30.98(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	-0	46	5.13	48%	0.03	109.7	1.35%	0	1.2	58	0
5	Aug_3_2010	29.7	30.31	30.66	30.75			30.85(-0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-3	45	4.25	50%	0.03	98.5	1.37%	0	0.9	59	0

6	Aug_2_2010	29.69	30.2	30.61	30.81			31(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	58	7.63	50%	0.03	98	1.38%	0	1.3	61	0
7	Jul_30_2010	29.68	30.06	30.53	30.75			30.37(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-1	57	9.08	48%	0	77.1	1.36%	0	0.4	57	0
8	Jul_29_2010	29.68	29.95	30.47	30.77			30.52(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	1	60	8.31	48%	0.03	66.1	1.36%	0	0.7	60	0
9	Jul_28_2010	29.67	29.85	30.44	30.75			31(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	10	72	8.07	50%	0.03	58.6	1.35%	0	1.3	69	0
10	Jul_27_2010	29.66	29.72	30.34	30.54			31.15(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	7	64	21.68	49%	0.03	48.6	1.35%	0	1.6	74	0

11	Jul_26_2010	29.65	29.61	30.22	30.4			30.7(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	5	72	5.06	47%	0.03	43	1.36%	0	1.3	78	0
12	Jul_23_2010	29.64	29.51	30.13	30.29			30.48(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	8	90	7.14	48%	0.03	34	1.35%	0	1.2	79	0
13	Jul_22_2010	29.63	29.42	30.06	30.13			30.43(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	3	99	5.53	48%	0.03	19.5	1.36%	0	1.3	79	0
14	Jul_21_2010	29.62	29.34	29.98	30.08			29.95(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-1	116	6.62	46%	0	11.1	1.34%	0	0.8	74	0
15	Jul_20_2010	29.62	29.3	29.93	30.1			30.42(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	5	137	6.74	49%	0.03	6.8	1.33%	0	1.5	77	0

16	Jul_19_2010	29.61	29.26	29.75	30.01			30.15(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	3	125	6.94	49%	0.03	6.8	1.33%	0	1.3	63	0
17	Jul_16_2010	29.6	29.25	29.56	29.96			29.69(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-10000	-1	114	8.24	46%	0	10.6	1.32%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Jul_15_2010	29.6	29.27	29.41	29.98			30.21(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	6	114	7.77	48%	0.03	18.1	1.31%	0	1.3	71	0
19	Jul_14_2010	29.59	29.26	29.22	29.86			30.01(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	7	98	6.32	48%	0.03	24	1.31%	0	1	65	0
20	Jul_13_2010	29.58	29.25	29.06	29.73			30(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	16	82	8.83	48%	0	27.2	1.31%	0	1	60	0

21	Jul_12_2010	29.58	29.21	28.95	29.43			29.9(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	18	44	4.14	48%	0	23.3	1.31%	0	1	47	0
22	Jul_9_2010	29.58	29.17	28.83	29.08			29.8(0.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	13	-10000	18	-4	7.27	48%	0.03	17.2	1.31%	0	0.9	43	0
23	Jul_8_2010	29.57	29.14	28.71	28.75			29.6(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	15	-58	6.39	48%	0	5.2	1.31%	0	0.7	38	0
24	Jul_7_2010	29.57	29.09	28.63	28.48			29.37(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-18	-10000	10	-103	7.44	47%	0	-6.8	1.31%	0	0.4	39	0
25	Jul_6_2010	29.57	29.05	28.59	28.3			28.49(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10000	-6	-145	8.78	43%		-10.7	1.25%	0	-0.8	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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