Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.8700 (-0.7%) ($29.7200 - $30.3400) on Mon. Jun. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $29.8700(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(49%)    XLK(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(10%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.09(-0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.57(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.03(2.89%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2010	29.62	29.03	29.57	30.09			29.87(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	-10000	6	149	6.21	50%	0	36.3	1.2%	0	1.2	69	0
2	Jun_18_2010	29.62	28.96	29.42	29.99			30.08(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	10	137	4.79	49%	0.03	25.3	1.2%	0	1.6	61	0
3	Jun_17_2010	29.61	28.88	29.23	29.82			30.37(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	14	116	7.35	49%	0	8.3	1.2%	0	2.3	64	0
4	Jun_16_2010	29.61	28.82	29.08	29.58			30.15(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	-10000	19	110	6.34	50%	0	-9	1.19%	0	2.3	67	0
5	Jun_15_2010	29.61	28.78	28.92	29.25			29.96(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	15	86	4.78	50%	0	-30.4	1.2%	0	2.2	66	0

6	Jun_14_2010	29.61	28.77	28.73	28.99			29.39(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	13	58	5.41	48%	0	-44.6	1.18%	0	1.2	60	0
7	Jun_11_2010	29.61	28.79	28.66	28.77			29.22(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	13	39	6.03	48%	-0.07	-46.5	1.18%	0	0.8	55	0
8	Jun_10_2010	29.63	28.82	28.6	28.55			29.2(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	2	17	6.19	48%	-0.03	-45	1.18%	0	0.6	57	0
9	Jun_9_2010	29.64	28.87	28.5	28.51			28.5(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	-2	-8	6.17	45%	-0.1	-41.1	1.13%	0	-0.5	41	0
10	Jun_8_2010	29.67	28.94	28.47	28.55			28.66(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	7	-25	11.03	45%	-0.03	-39.4	1.13%	0	-0.4	39	0

11	Jun_7_2010	29.68	29.01	28.44	28.43			28.29(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-6	-70	7.61	43%	-0.1	-47.2	1.12%	0	-0.9	33	0
12	Jun_4_2010	29.71	29.05	28.47	28.53			28.12(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-8	-85	8.89	44%	-0.1	-53.1	1.12%	0	-1.2	31	0
13	Jun_3_2010	29.74	29.11	28.52	28.65			28.98(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	11	-100	6.99	48%	-0.07	-58.7	1.06%	0	-0.2	34	0
14	Jun_2_2010	29.76	29.17	28.54	28.49			28.68(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	-10000	7	-138	6.13	48%	-0.1	-63.8	1.05%	0	-0.7	29	0
15	Jun_1_2010	29.79	29.24	28.63	28.39			28.09(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-4	-167	10.81	47%	-0.13	-63.3	1.02%	0	-1.5	25	0

16	May_28_2010	29.83	29.38	28.81	28.45			28.76(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-40	-10000	2	-165	7.33	50%	-0.07	-58.3	1%	0	-0.8	31	0
17	May_27_2010	29.85	29.46	28.91	28.42			28.73(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-36	-10000	4	-154	5.42	50%	-0.07	-60.7	1.01%	0	-0.9	48	0
18	May_26_2010	29.87	29.54	29.05	28.37			28.19(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-17	-159	7.57	47%	-0.1	-63.8	0.98%	0	-1.7	39	0
19	May_25_2010	29.9	29.65	29.26	28.61			28.2(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-20	-130	13.53	47%	-0.07	-61.2	0.99%	0	-2	31	0
20	May_24_2010	29.92	29.75	29.45	28.9			28.35(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-22	-105	6.8	47%	-0.07	-57.2	0.98%	0	-2.1	31	0

21	May_21_2010	29.94	29.86	29.63	29.22			28.62(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-18	-85	9.88	47%	-0.1	-45.6	0.97%	0	-2	29	0
22	May_20_2010	29.97	29.96	29.69	29.48			28.49(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-39	-10000	-24	-83	11.23	47%	-0.1	-32.2	0.97%	0	-2.7	33	0
23	May_19_2010	30	30.06	29.79	29.82			29.37(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-14	-65	8.55	55%	-0.07	-16.8	0.91%	0	-1.6	40	0
24	May_18_2010	30.02	30.11	29.86	30.01			29.67(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-6	-43	7.79	57%	-0.07	-4.5	0.92%	0	-1.1	43	0
25	May_17_2010	30.04	30.14	29.92	30.09			29.96(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-1	-27	8.48	59%		1.6	0.91%	0	-0.5	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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