Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.9800 (-1.7%) ($29.9500 - $30.5800) on Tue. Apr. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $29.9800(-1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(49%)    XLY(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(7%)    SHY(9%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $30.17
5 Day Moving Average   $30.35(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.21(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.17(-0.63%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2010	30.22	30.17	30.21	30.35			29.98(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-4	20	6.36	56%	-0.03	71.1	0.82%	0	-0.8	46	0
2	Apr_26_2010	30.23	30.16	30.23	30.4			30.5(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	11	27	5.65	61%	0	75.6	0.79%	0	1.3	48	0
3	Apr_23_2010	30.23	30.11	30.21	30.27			30.61(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	13	11	4.49	61%	0	49	0.79%	0	1.7	56	0
4	Apr_22_2010	30.23	30.05	30.17	30.11			30.37(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	3	-10	6.45	53%	0	19	0.79%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Apr_21_2010	30.23	30.01	30.13	30.08			30.27(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	2	-8	5.04	50%	0	3.9	0.84%	0	0.8	63	0

6	Apr_20_2010	30.23	29.99	30.12	30.06			30.24(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	2	0	3.63	48%	0	-4	0.86%	0	0.8	60	0
7	Apr_19_2010	30.23	29.96	30.14	30.04			29.86(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-8	9	5.29	48%	0	-8	0.85%	0	-0.3	53	0
8	Apr_16_2010	30.23	29.97	30.18	30.14			29.83(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-6	38	7.69	48%	0	2	0.87%	0	-0.5	60	0
9	Apr_15_2010	30.23	29.99	30.21	30.22			30.18(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	2	68	4.77	50%	0	13	0.86%	0	0.6	68	0
10	Apr_14_2010	30.23	29.99	30.17	30.22			30.19(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	0	66	4.77	50%	0.03	16.5	0.86%	0	0.6	63	0

11	Apr_13_2010	30.22	30	30.12	30.19			30.16(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-5	62	5.24	52%	0	21.5	0.87%	0	0.5	55	0
12	Apr_12_2010	30.22	29.99	30.09	30.26			30.32(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	2	76	4.63	52%	0.03	27.1	0.88%	0	1	59	0
13	Apr_9_2010	30.21	29.96	30.01	30.24			30.24(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	2	65	6.61	54%	0.07	26.2	0.88%	0	0.9	54	0
14	Apr_8_2010	30.19	29.96	29.93	30.21			30.02(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10000	5	45	4.77	54%	0	29	0.88%	0	0.2	45	0
15	Apr_7_2010	30.19	29.95	29.88	30.14			30.2(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	8	21	5.84	54%	0.03	28	0.88%	0	0.8	45	0

16	Apr_6_2010	30.18	29.93	29.85	30.04			30.5(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	11	2	4.03	57%	0.03	23	0.87%	0	1.9	51	0
17	Apr_5_2010	30.17	29.9	29.76	29.9			30.25(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	12	-20	3.55	54%	0.07	18.9	0.87%	0	1.3	54	0
18	Apr_1_2010	30.15	29.88	29.73	29.74			30.07(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	10	-40	5.29	54%	0	16.7	0.87%	0	0.8	54	0
19	Mar_31_2010	30.15	29.88	29.74	29.61			29.66(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-58	6.04	48%	0	6.9	0.86%	0	-0.8	43	0
20	Mar_30_2010	30.15	29.88	29.81	29.59			29.73(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-15	-10000	-2	-52	5.57	48%	0.03	8	0.88%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Mar_29_2010	30.14	29.86	29.86	29.62			29.81(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	1	-40	8.61	48%	0	16.1	0.87%	0	-0.2	48	0
22	Mar_26_2010	30.14	29.85	29.87	29.61			29.45(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-8	-48	8.27	46%	0.03	11.9	0.85%	0	-1.3	40	0
23	Mar_25_2010	30.13	29.84	29.92	29.71			29.38(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-14	-39	10.48	46%	0.03	12.5	0.86%	0	-1.5	38	0
24	Mar_24_2010	30.12	29.85	29.99	29.89			29.57(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-12	-8	6.6	46%	0.03	28.8	0.86%	0	-0.9	51	0
25	Mar_23_2010	30.11	29.84	30.03	30.05			29.88(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-7	22	5.82	48%		47.1	0.86%	0	0.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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