Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $28.9700 (-2.62%) ($28.9700 - $29.6700) on Thu. Feb. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $28.9700(-2.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(50%)    XLK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(9%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.59(-11.67%)
Resistance Level   $30.31
5 Day Moving Average   $29.59(-2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.74(-2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.31(-4.42%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2010	30.01	30.31	29.74	29.59			28.97(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-9	-135	7.24	55%	-0.03	-57	0.99%	0	-2.1	26	0
2	Feb_3_2010	30.02	30.41	29.9	29.73			29.75(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-3	-141	3.98	60%	0.03	-61.8	0.93%	0	-1.1	29	0
3	Feb_2_2010	30.01	30.46	30.01	29.77			29.96(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-3	-139	6.55	60%	0	-69	0.93%	0	-0.9	38	0
4	Feb_1_2010	30.01	30.52	30.13	29.81			29.72(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-4	-133	6.69	60%	0.03	-71.6	0.93%	0	-1.4	33	0
5	Jan_29_2010	30	30.59	30.24	29.87			29.53(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-4	-122	9.57	58%	0.03	-73.4	0.95%	0	-2	36	0

6	Jan_28_2010	29.99	30.69	30.4	29.93			29.71(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-10	-112	14.06	56%	0	-75.6	0.96%	0	-2	38	0
7	Jan_27_2010	29.99	30.78	30.56	30.08			29.94(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-14	-92	14.3	56%	0.03	-72.5	0.96%	0	-1.8	38	0
8	Jan_26_2010	29.98	30.86	30.66	30.28			30.14(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-16	-68	7.54	54%	0	-62.2	0.96%	0	-1.6	44	0
9	Jan_25_2010	29.98	30.92	30.75	30.51			30.02(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-12	-43	7.48	54%	0.07	-49.6	0.97%	0	-2.1	37	0
10	Jan_22_2010	29.96	30.99	30.83	30.69			29.82(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-19	-10000	-16	-29	12.7	52%	0.03	-46.8	0.99%	0	-3	35	0

11	Jan_21_2010	29.95	31.06	30.94	30.94			30.49(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-11	-13	12.91	55%	0.03	-48.4	0.95%	0	-2	36	0
12	Jan_20_2010	29.94	31.11	30.99	31.1			30.94(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	1	-2	9.52	56%	0.07	-47.6	0.93%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	Jan_19_2010	29.92	31.13	30.97	31.09			31.27(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	3	-17	5.9	59%	0.1	-56	0.93%	0	0.5	44	0
14	Jan_15_2010	29.89	31.14	30.94	31.04			30.91(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	-10000	2	-30	12.71	58%	0.03	-57.5	0.93%	0	-0.9	37	0
15	Jan_14_2010	29.88	31.17	30.95	31.01			31.11(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	6	-38	4.82	58%	0.07	-49.4	0.93%	0	-0.2	47	0

16	Jan_13_2010	29.86	31.2	30.98	30.93			31.25(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	5	-43	7.86	58%	0.07	-38.7	0.92%	0	0.2	51	0
17	Jan_12_2010	29.84	31.24	31	30.86			30.91(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	3	-52	8.33	58%	0.03	-26.5	0.92%	0	-1	38	0
18	Jan_11_2010	29.83	31.28	31.05	30.82			31.04(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-10000	-1	-56	8.87	58%	0.03	-12.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	43	0
19	Jan_8_2010	29.82	31.29	31.09	30.83			30.72(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-4	-58	6.27	56%	0.07	-6.1	0.92%	0	-1.6	33	0
20	Jan_7_2010	29.8	31.31	31.15	30.89			30.75(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-10	-61	6.56	56%	0.07	0	0.92%	0	-1.6	30	0

21	Jan_6_2010	29.78	31.31	31.2	31.03			30.89(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-8	-56	12.75	56%	0.07	19	0.92%	0	-1.3	30	0
22	Jan_5_2010	29.76	31.31	31.25	31.15			30.71(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-22	-10000	-11	-54	18.02	58%	0.07	44.8	0.92%	0	-1.8	21	0
23	Jan_4_2010	29.74	31.31	31.32	31.31			31.08(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-5	-44	8.22	60%	0.1	77.5	0.91%	0	-0.8	32	0
24	Dec_31_2009	29.71	31.32	31.36	31.39			31.02(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-3	-31	5.51	55%	0.07	86.1	0.93%	0	-0.8	47	0
25	Dec_30_2009	29.69	31.31	31.42	31.44			31.47(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	4	-9	2.31	57%		98.3	0.93%	0	0.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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