Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $30.7100 (-1.19%) ($30.5600 - $31.1700) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $30.7100(-1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(50%)    XLK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $31.32
5 Day Moving Average   $31.15(-1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.25(-1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.32(-1.95%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2010	29.76		31.25	31.15			30.71(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-22	-10000	-11	-54	18.02	58%	0.07	44.8	0.92%	0	-1.8	21	0
2	Jan_4_2010	29.74		31.32	31.31			31.08(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-5	-44	8.22	60%	0.1	77.5	0.91%	0	-0.8	32	0
3	Dec_31_2009	29.71	31.32	31.36	31.39			31.02(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-3	-31	5.51	55%	0.07	86.1	0.93%	0	-0.8	47	0
4	Dec_30_2009	29.69	31.31	31.42	31.44			31.47(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	4	-9	2.31	57%	0.07	98.3	0.93%	0	0.4	64	0
5	Dec_29_2009	29.67	31.25	31.45	31.38			31.48(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	1	0	4.66	57%	0.1	91.3	0.94%	0	0.5	66	0

6	Dec_28_2009	29.64	31.17	31.49	31.37			31.5(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	2	19	9.61	57%	0.14	79.4	0.94%	0	0.6	62	0
7	Dec_24_2009	29.6	31.08	31.52	31.34			31.48(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	1	38	1.99	57%	0.1	69	0.94%	0	0.6	66	0
8	Dec_23_2009	29.57	31.01	31.5	31.33			31.25(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-5	44	5.21	57%	0.07	70	0.93%	0	0.4	59	0
9	Dec_22_2009	29.55	30.94	31.48	31.41			31.18(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-8	56	10.71	57%	0.07	68.2	0.94%	0	0.3	60	0
10	Dec_21_2009	29.53	30.86	31.45	31.53			31.44(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-7	81	5.34	57%	0.07	69.1	0.93%	0	0.8	70	0

11	Dec_18_2009	29.51	30.76	31.4	31.63			31.35(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10000	-7	118	11.18	57%	0.1	67.8	0.93%	0	0.7	75	0
12	Dec_17_2009	29.48	30.65	31.34	31.73			31.45(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	-10000	3	158	8.91	57%	0.07	67.2	0.93%	0	0.9	79	0
13	Dec_16_2009	29.46	30.55	31.28	31.69			31.63(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	-10000	9	174	12.37	59%	0.1	66	0.94%	0	1.2	70	0
14	Dec_15_2009	29.43	30.45	31.19	31.55			31.77(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-10000	13	181	6.86	59%	0.07	63.3	0.95%	0	1.5	75	0
15	Dec_14_2009	29.41	30.35	31.04	31.35			31.97(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	-10000	14	175	13.81	61%	0.1	63	0.95%	0	2	78	0

16	Dec_11_2009	29.38	30.21	30.82	31.14			31.82(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	53	-10000	16	164	12.52	61%	0.07	64.1	0.96%	0	2.1	80	0
17	Dec_10_2009	29.36	30.07	30.59	30.9			31.28(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	6	147	12.06	59%	0.1	62.4	0.94%	0	1.8	78	0
18	Dec_9_2009	29.33	29.98	30.46	30.81			30.89(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	2	150	9.9	58%	0.1	72.9	0.93%	0	1.5	68	0
19	Dec_8_2009	29.3	29.91	30.35	30.78			30.78(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	6	153	15.2	58%	0.07	86.3	0.93%	0	1.5	65	0
20	Dec_7_2009	29.28	29.84	30.23	30.69			30.91(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	16	147	11.12	58%	0.1	95.7	0.93%	0	1.9	63	0

21	Dec_4_2009	29.25	29.74	30.07	30.46			30.64(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	16	120	20.35	58%	0.1	94.9	0.93%	0	1.7	66	0
22	Dec_3_2009	29.22	29.65	29.92	30.23			30.83(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	11	93	9.96	58%	0.07	86.6	0.93%	0	2.3	71	0
23	Dec_2_2009	29.2	29.53	29.77	30.07			30.73(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	15	76	13.09	58%	0.14	80.1	0.93%	0	2.4	62	0
24	Dec_1_2009	29.16	29.41	29.65	29.86			30.32(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	10	51	10.54	56%	0.07	65	0.92%	0	1.9	58	0
25	Nov_30_2009	29.14	29.31	29.59	29.72			29.76(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	8	41	5.72	53%		50.6	0.9%	0	1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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