Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.3500 (-0.32%) ($31.0300 - $31.4700) on Fri. Dec. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $31.3500(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(50%)    XLK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.63(-0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.4(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.76(1.92%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2009	29.51	30.76	31.4	31.63			31.35(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10000	-7	118	11.18	57%	0.1	67.8	0.93%	0	0.7	75	0
2	Dec_17_2009	29.48	30.65	31.34	31.73			31.45(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	-10000	3	158	8.91	57%	0.07	67.2	0.93%	0	0.9	79	0
3	Dec_16_2009	29.46	30.55	31.28	31.69			31.63(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	-10000	9	174	12.37	59%	0.1	66	0.94%	0	1.2	70	0
4	Dec_15_2009	29.43	30.45	31.19	31.55			31.77(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-10000	13	181	6.86	59%	0.07	63.3	0.95%	0	1.5	75	0
5	Dec_14_2009	29.41	30.35	31.04	31.35			31.97(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	-10000	14	175	13.81	61%	0.1	63	0.95%	0	2	78	0

6	Dec_11_2009	29.38	30.21	30.82	31.14			31.82(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	53	-10000	16	164	12.52	61%	0.07	64.1	0.96%	0	2.1	80	0
7	Dec_10_2009	29.36	30.07	30.59	30.9			31.28(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	6	147	12.06	59%	0.1	62.4	0.94%	0	1.8	78	0
8	Dec_9_2009	29.33	29.98	30.46	30.81			30.89(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	2	150	9.9	58%	0.1	72.9	0.93%	0	1.5	68	0
9	Dec_8_2009	29.3	29.91	30.35	30.78			30.78(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	6	153	15.2	58%	0.07	86.3	0.93%	0	1.5	65	0
10	Dec_7_2009	29.28	29.84	30.23	30.69			30.91(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	16	147	11.12	58%	0.1	95.7	0.93%	0	1.9	63	0

11	Dec_4_2009	29.25	29.74	30.07	30.46			30.64(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	16	120	20.35	58%	0.1	94.9	0.93%	0	1.7	66	0
12	Dec_3_2009	29.22	29.65	29.92	30.23			30.83(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	11	93	9.96	58%	0.07	86.6	0.93%	0	2.3	71	0
13	Dec_2_2009	29.2	29.53	29.77	30.07			30.73(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	15	76	13.09	58%	0.14	80.1	0.93%	0	2.4	62	0
14	Dec_1_2009	29.16	29.41	29.65	29.86			30.32(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	10	51	10.54	56%	0.07	65	0.92%	0	1.9	58	0
15	Nov_30_2009	29.14	29.31	29.59	29.72			29.76(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	8	41	5.72	53%	0.1	50.6	0.9%	0	1	54	0

16	Nov_27_2009	29.11	29.25	29.55	29.62			29.51(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	6	37	5.99	53%	0.17	32.7	0.89%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Nov_25_2009	29.06	29.22	29.51	29.54			30.02(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	9	34	6.32	56%	0.1	19.9	0.86%	0	1.6	66	0
18	Nov_24_2009	29.03	29.15	29.45	29.43			29.68(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	40	7.34	54%	0.07	3.8	0.85%	0	1.2	69	0
19	Nov_23_2009	29.01	29.11	29.44	29.42			29.62(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	15	-10000	-2	66	7.4	54%	0.03	-6	0.85%	0	1.2	70	0
20	Nov_20_2009	29	29.11	29.42	29.45			29.25(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-10000	-2	94	7.48	55%	0.07	-14.6	0.87%	0	0.4	66	0

21	Nov_19_2009	28.98	29.08	29.39	29.47			29.12(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	29	-10000	1	112	6.19	55%	0	-15.4	0.87%	0	0.1	64	0
22	Nov_18_2009	28.98	29.12	29.38	29.46			29.48(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28	-10000	-1	114	4.76	58%	0.07	-11.6	0.87%	0	0.7	58	0
23	Nov_17_2009	28.96	29.12	29.29	29.47			29.61(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	1	115	5.43	55%	0.07	-7.4	0.86%	0	0.9	63	0
24	Nov_16_2009	28.94	29.13	29.16	29.46			29.77(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	5	102	7.79	55%	0.07	-3.2	0.88%	0	1.2	59	0
25	Nov_13_2009	28.92	29.14	29.02	29.4			29.36(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	7	82	8.5	53%		-2.2	0.86%	0	0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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