Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.4400 (1.8%) ($29.0300 - $29.4400) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $29.4400(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(50%)    XLK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.81(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.74(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.15(0.99%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2009	28.84		28.74	28.81			29.44(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	18	-81	4.75	54%	0.07	-20	0.84%	0	0.5	42	0
2	Nov_6_2009	28.82	29.15	28.69	28.59			28.92(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-29	-10000	9	-143	7.21	50%	0	-25.4	0.82%	0	-0.4	30	0
3	Nov_5_2009	28.82	29.17	28.73	28.49			28.95(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-42	-10000	1	-169	6.48	50%	0.07	-24.9	0.82%	0	-0.4	39	0
4	Nov_4_2009	28.8	29.18	28.82	28.48			28.47(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10000	-4	-175	7.95	43%	0.03	-24.2	0.79%	0	-1.3	34	0
5	Nov_3_2009	28.79	29.22	28.95	28.52			28.28(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-10000	-12	-160	8.38	43%	0.03	-25.1	0.81%	0	-1.8	36	0

6	Nov_2_2009	28.78	29.26	29.1	28.66			28.34(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-10000	-12	-131	8.28	43%	0	-23.6	0.82%	0	-2	37	0
7	Oct_30_2009	28.78	29.29	29.28	28.8			28.39(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-10000	-17	-102	13.26	47%	0	-21.7	0.83%	0	-2	35	0
8	Oct_29_2009	28.78	29.29	29.42	29.01			28.93(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-17	-67	7.54	51%	0.07	-17	0.82%	0	-0.9	47	0
9	Oct_28_2009	28.76	29.31	29.49	29.21			28.68(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-19	-30	15.74	45%	0.07	-9.8	0.82%	0	-1.5	47	0
10	Oct_27_2009	28.74	29.34	29.57	29.44			28.97(-0.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-8	-10000	-14	10	10.76	47%	0.07	5.9	0.83%	0	-0.9	51	0

11	Oct_26_2009	28.72	29.37	29.61	29.61			29.04(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-17	39	12.2	47%	0.07	18.8	0.83%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Oct_23_2009	28.7	29.39	29.67	29.82			29.43(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	19	-10000	-5	90	7.17	59%	0.07	33.1	0.84%	0	0.1	65	0
13	Oct_22_2009	28.68	29.38	29.66	29.88			29.92(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10000	5	116	4.21	63%	0.1	31.6	0.87%	0	1.4	81	0
14	Oct_21_2009	28.65	29.35	29.58	29.81			29.85(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	8	114	8.34	63%	0.1	22.2	0.88%	0	1.4	69	0
15	Oct_20_2009	28.62	29.32	29.5	29.71			29.81(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	98	6.2	63%	0.07	6.7	0.88%	0	1.4	56	0

16	Oct_19_2009	28.6	29.3	29.43	29.62			30.11(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	8	79	8.89	66%	0.11	-2.7	0.88%	0	2.5	57	0
17	Oct_16_2009	28.57	29.27	29.3	29.51			29.69(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	53	7.57	64%	0.11	-10.8	0.86%	0	1.4	52	0
18	Oct_15_2009	28.54	29.26	29.18	29.42			29.59(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	9	29	7.53	67%	0.14	-7.5	0.86%	0	1.1	56	0
19	Oct_14_2009	28.5	29.27	29.1	29.31			29.36(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	4	3	7.98	67%	0.11	-4.3	0.89%	0	0.3	51	0
20	Oct_13_2009	28.47	29.3	29.09	29.26			29.34(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	5	-5	4.9	70%	0.04	5.9	0.89%	0	0.1	49	0

21	Oct_12_2009	28.46	29.31	29.1	29.2			29.55(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	11	-9	2.47	70%	0.14	8.4	0.91%	0	0.7	50	0
22	Oct_9_2009	28.42	29.3	29.09	29.05			29.25(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	11	-30	4.57	68%	0.11	2.5	0.9%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Oct_8_2009	28.39	29.3	29.08	28.91			29.07(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	4	-61	9.16	68%	0.11	-6.5	0.9%	0	-0.6	36	0
24	Oct_7_2009	28.36	29.3	29.1	28.86			29.07(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-10000	-4	-83	3.28	63%	0.11	-8.1	0.91%	0	-0.6	33	0
25	Oct_6_2009	28.33	29.28	29.12	28.91			29.05(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	-7	-90	3.96	63%		-4.8	0.94%	0	-0.6	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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