Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.0700 (0%) ($29.0200 - $29.2500) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $29.0700(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(50%)    XLK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $29.28
5 Day Moving Average   $28.91(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.08(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.28(-0.72%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2009	28.39		29.08	28.91			29.07(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	4	-61	9.16	68%	0.11	-6.5	0.9%	0	-0.6	36	0
2	Oct_7_2009	28.36		29.1	28.86			29.07(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-10000	-4	-83	3.28	63%	0.11	-8.1	0.91%	0	-0.6	33	0
3	Oct_6_2009	28.33		29.12	28.91			29.05(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	-7	-90	3.96	63%	0.11	-4.8	0.94%	0	-0.6	30	0
4	Oct_5_2009	28.3	29.28	29.16	29			28.83(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-10	-84	6.85	63%	0.11	-0.8	0.94%	0	-1.2	38	0
5	Oct_2_2009	28.27	29.29	29.23	29.13			28.52(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-9	-67	6.44	54%	0.07	1.6	0.94%	0	-2.1	38	0

6	Oct_1_2009	28.25	29.29	29.35	29.26			28.83(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-6	-34	9.24	57%	0.11	3.4	1%	0	-1.4	52	0
7	Sep_30_2009	28.22	29.31	29.46	29.35			29.33(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-7	6.63	61%	0.07	0.8	0.98%	0	0.1	60	0
8	Sep_29_2009	28.2	29.3	29.46	29.36			29.51(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	1	16	5.51	61%	0.07	-6.7	0.99%	0	0.6	64	0
9	Sep_28_2009	28.18	29.3	29.46	29.35			29.45(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-1	25	3.72	61%	0.07	-14.2	1%	0	0.5	62	0
10	Sep_25_2009	28.16	29.28	29.53	29.37			29.2(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-6	34	2.96	63%	0.11	-15.8	0.99%	0	-0.2	60	0

11	Sep_24_2009	28.13	29.3	29.51	29.46			29.28(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-8	47	4.81	63%	0.07	-3.4	1.01%	0	-0.1	65	0
12	Sep_23_2009	28.11	29.31	29.49	29.58			29.36(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-9	63	9.68	63%	0.11	13.8	1.02%	0	0.1	66	0
13	Sep_22_2009	28.08	29.32	29.45	29.72			29.46(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-10000	-1	84	4.94	63%	0.07	35	1.02%	0	0.4	61	0
14	Sep_21_2009	28.06	29.33	29.41	29.74			29.54(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10000	3	85	6.13	63%	0.11	49.2	1.02%	0	0.6	56	0
15	Sep_18_2009	28.03	29.34	29.35	29.7			29.68(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	9	73	4.78	61%	0.14	54.6	1.06%	0	0.9	52	0

16	Sep_17_2009	27.99	29.31	29.26	29.56			29.85(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	11	43	5.35	61%	0.14	46.2	1.09%	0	1.4	53	0
17	Sep_16_2009	27.95	29.26	29.15	29.38			30.05(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	-10000	14	14	5.67	61%	0.18	31.7	1.09%	0	2.2	57	0
18	Sep_15_2009	27.9	29.19	29.04	29.16			29.58(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	8	-22	4.18	55%	0.14	12.1	1.08%	0	1.1	46	0
19	Sep_14_2009	27.86	29.15	28.99	29.04			29.36(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	6	-44	6.76	55%	0.14	-1.7	1.11%	0	0.6	34	0
20	Sep_11_2009	27.82	29.13	29	28.95			28.94(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10000	2	-60	7.1	56%	0.14	-7.7	1.1%	0	-0.6	19	0

21	Sep_10_2009	27.78	29.14	29.05	28.92			28.95(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	2	-57	5.3	58%	0.14	-5.1	1.13%	0	-0.6	47	0
22	Sep_9_2009	27.74	29.14	29.11	28.89			28.95(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-1	-51	4.62	58%	0.11	0	1.14%	0	-0.6	54	0
23	Sep_8_2009	27.71	29.14	29.17	28.9			28.99(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-3	-38	3.1	58%	0.18	3.4	1.14%	0	-0.5	59	0
24	Sep_4_2009	27.66	29.14	29.25	28.95			28.92(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-7	-17	5.52	58%	0.14	3.5	1.14%	0	-0.7	60	0
25	Sep_3_2009	27.62	29.15	29.32	29.06			28.78(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-10000	-9	4	3.76	55%		12.8	1.14%	0	-1.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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