Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 31, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.2300 (-0.85%) ($29.1500 - $29.4500) on Mon. Aug. 31, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $29.2300(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(59%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(50%)    XLK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.48(-0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.38(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.14(0.31%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2009	27.53		29.38	29.48			29.23(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-6	40	7.36	59%	0.07	31.5	1.23%	0	0.3	56	0
2	Aug_28_2009	27.51	29.14	29.32	29.59			29.48(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-2	48	3.35	61%	0.15	36.3	1.22%	0	0.9	62	0
3	Aug_27_2009	27.47	29.11	29.28	29.63			29.55(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	4	57	4.85	58%	0.11	34.2	1.24%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Aug_26_2009	27.44	29.09	29.23	29.55			29.55(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	6	56	3.34	61%	0.15	31.6	1.27%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Aug_25_2009	27.4	29.06	29.18	29.43			29.58(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	9	53	3.28	61%	0.15	30	1.31%	0	1.6	71	0

6	Aug_24_2009	27.36	29.03	29.12	29.25			29.77(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	12	42	3.24	61%	0.15	21.8	1.32%	0	2.3	69	0
7	Aug_21_2009	27.32	29.01	29.04	29.02			29.72(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	10	-10000	7	17	7.12	61%	0.11	22	1.32%	0	2.4	56	0
8	Aug_20_2009	27.29	29.01	28.95	28.89			29.15(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2	-10000	1	3	3.97	57%	0.15	38.4	1.32%	0	0.6	53	0
9	Aug_19_2009	27.25	28.99	28.9	28.87			28.91(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-9	3.83	58%	0.11	47.4	1.34%	0	-0.3	42	0
10	Aug_18_2009	27.22	28.99	28.87	28.91			28.7(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-3	-10	4.67	58%	0.15	51.9	1.35%	0	-0.9	48	0

11	Aug_17_2009	27.18	28.96	28.89	28.97			28.64(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-4	-8	4.78	58%	0.11	65.8	1.35%	0	-1	45	0
12	Aug_14_2009	27.15	28.94	28.94	29.04			29.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	1	-4	3.56	57%	0.11	73.3	1.37%	0	0.3	42	0
13	Aug_13_2009	27.12	28.9	28.93	29.02			29.04(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	4	-13	5.74	54%	0.11	79.6	1.37%	0	0.3	41	0
14	Aug_12_2009	27.09	28.86	28.95	28.94			29.14(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	5	-16	4.55	54%	0.15	82.9	1.42%	0	0.6	50	0
15	Aug_11_2009	27.05	28.81	28.95	28.83			29(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	2	-20	2.83	54%	0.07	78.2	1.42%	0	0.4	59	0

16	Aug_10_2009	27.03	28.74	28.93	28.79			28.98(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-19	3.22	54%	0.15	72.2	1.42%	0	0.4	57	0
17	Aug_7_2009	26.99	28.67	28.97	28.79			28.92(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	0	3	7.17	54%	0.11	61.6	1.43%	0	0.4	60	0
18	Aug_6_2009	26.96	28.57	29.03	28.84			28.65(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-7	20	5.12	54%	0.11	53.2	1.43%	0	0.1	60	0
19	Aug_5_2009	26.93	28.5	29.08	28.98			28.6(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	46	4.52	54%	0.15	46.9	1.43%	0	0.1	57	0
20	Aug_4_2009	26.89	28.42	29.07	29.03			28.8(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-2	55	6.5	54%	0.19	41.2	1.43%	0	0.4	60	0

21	Aug_3_2009	26.84	28.34	29.05	29.07			29.23(1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-10000	-2	73	6.16	56%	0.22	37.5	1.42%	0	1	71	0
22	Jul_31_2009	26.78	28.25	28.95	29.12			28.94(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-6	89	5.34	58%	0.22	39.5	1.43%	0	0.8	71	0
23	Jul_30_2009	26.72	28.18	28.87	29.25			29.31(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	2	118	6.45	58%	0.23	42	1.45%	0	1.3	80	0
24	Jul_29_2009	26.66	28.12	28.76	29.21			28.87(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	38	-10000	5	137	5.32	57%	0.23	47.6	1.44%	0	0.9	77	0
25	Jul_28_2009	26.6	28.07	28.69	29.1			29.01(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	5	148	4.71	57%		50.2	1.44%	0	1.2	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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