Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $27.8400 (1.68%) ($27.1300 - $27.9500) on Thu. Jun. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $27.8400(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    XLK(50%)    XLY(50%)    JNK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(7%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.45(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.6(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.4(1.61%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2009	26.24	27.4	27.6	27.45			27.84(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-3	13	8.73	54%	-0.08	73.2	1.33%	0	1	58	0
2	Jun_24_2009	26.26	27.34	27.6	27.5			27.38(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-2	31	5.63	49%	-0.08	73.2	1.32%	0	0.1	55	0
3	Jun_23_2009	26.28	27.28	27.59	27.53			27.15(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-3	40	8.4	54%	-0.08	69	1.34%	0	-0.3	56	0
4	Jun_22_2009	26.3	27.25	27.58	27.58			27.39(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-2	38	10.24	54%	-0.08	77	1.42%	0	0.3	52	0
5	Jun_19_2009	26.32	27.18	27.54	27.62			27.47(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-8	30	9.98	52%	-0.08	68.8	1.44%	0	0.5	48	0

6	Jun_18_2009	26.34	27.1	27.51	27.77			28.12(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	3	53	11.92	58%	-0.04	61	1.41%	0	1.5	64	0
7	Jun_17_2009	26.35	26.99	27.4	27.71			27.5(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	2	55	9.08	56%	-0.11	54.8	1.44%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Jun_16_2009	26.38	26.93	27.34	27.67			27.42(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10000	6	65	6.8	58%	-0.08	47.4	1.45%	0	0.7	66	0
9	Jun_15_2009	26.4	26.86	27.33	27.56			27.61(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	6	66	7.12	58%	-0.04	34.5	1.48%	0	1.1	60	0
10	Jun_12_2009	26.41	26.78	27.32	27.43			28.18(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	11	84	11.93	61%	0	21.1	1.46%	0	2	71	0

11	Jun_11_2009	26.41	26.69	27.18	27.22			27.83(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	8	83	13.63	61%	-0.04	12.2	1.46%	0	1.9	71	0
12	Jun_10_2009	26.42	26.62	27.05	27.07			27.3(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	5	81	13.61	59%	-0.04	5.3	1.45%	0	1.2	64	0
13	Jun_9_2009	26.43	26.61	26.93	26.98			26.88(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-4	66	4.05	55%	0	3.9	1.44%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Jun_8_2009	26.43	26.62	26.9	27.06			26.95(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-7	82	6.42	55%	-0.08	10	1.47%	0	0.6	60	0
15	Jun_5_2009	26.45	26.63	26.8	27.2			27.12(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	4	100	6.16	51%	-0.04	22	1.46%	0	0.9	61	0

16	Jun_4_2009	26.46	26.61	26.66	27.13			27.09(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	5	80	3.6	51%	-0.04	26.6	1.51%	0	0.8	54	0
17	Jun_3_2009	26.47	26.61	26.55	27.02			26.84(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	8	65	6.34	47%	-0.08	29.4	1.51%	0	0.4	52	0
18	Jun_2_2009	26.49	26.59	26.5	26.86			27.3(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	7	38	6.53	46%	-0.08	31.8	1.57%	0	1.3	48	0
19	Jun_1_2009	26.51	26.57	26.36	26.72			27.63(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	17	15	8.82	46%	-0.04	37.4	1.61%	0	2	52	0
20	May_29_2009	26.52	26.51	26.18	26.36			26.77(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	11	-33	5.18	42%	-0.11	32.6	1.58%	0	0.5	44	0

21	May_28_2009	26.55	26.46	26.15	26.13			26.58(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	6	-58	6.47	42%	-0.11	22.8	1.59%	0	0.2	47	0
22	May_27_2009	26.58	26.43	26.14	26			26.04(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-74	5.94	39%	-0.15	19.8	1.58%	0	-0.8	44	0
23	May_26_2009	26.62	26.41	26.26	26.07			26.58(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	6	-61	7.12	41%	-0.26	23.5	1.57%	0	0.3	46	0
24	May_22_2009	26.69	26.36	26.3	25.95			25.83(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-73	4.89	39%	0	15.8	1.58%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	May_21_2009	26.69	26.35	26.44	25.97			25.62(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	5.79	39%		13.6	1.59%	0	-1.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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