Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $27.8300 (1.94%) ($27.3000 - $28.1600) on Thu. Jun. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $27.8300(1.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    XLK(50%)    XLY(50%)    JNK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.22(2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.18(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.69(4.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2009	26.41	26.69	27.18	27.22			27.83(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	8	83	13.63	61%	-0.04	12.2	1.46%	0	1.9	71	0
2	Jun_10_2009	26.42	26.62	27.05	27.07			27.3(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	5	81	13.61	59%	-0.04	5.3	1.45%	0	1.2	64	0
3	Jun_9_2009	26.43	26.61	26.93	26.98			26.88(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-4	66	4.05	55%	0	3.9	1.44%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Jun_8_2009	26.43	26.62	26.9	27.06			26.95(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-7	82	6.42	55%	-0.08	10	1.47%	0	0.6	60	0
5	Jun_5_2009	26.45	26.63	26.8	27.2			27.12(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	4	100	6.16	51%	-0.04	22	1.46%	0	0.9	61	0

6	Jun_4_2009	26.46	26.61	26.66	27.13			27.09(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	5	80	3.6	51%	-0.04	26.6	1.51%	0	0.8	54	0
7	Jun_3_2009	26.47	26.61	26.55	27.02			26.84(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	8	65	6.34	47%	-0.08	29.4	1.51%	0	0.4	52	0
8	Jun_2_2009	26.49	26.59	26.5	26.86			27.3(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	7	38	6.53	46%	-0.08	31.8	1.57%	0	1.3	48	0
9	Jun_1_2009	26.51	26.57	26.36	26.72			27.63(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	17	15	8.82	46%	-0.04	37.4	1.61%	0	2	52	0
10	May_29_2009	26.52	26.51	26.18	26.36			26.77(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	11	-33	5.18	42%	-0.11	32.6	1.58%	0	0.5	44	0

11	May_28_2009	26.55	26.46	26.15	26.13			26.58(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	6	-58	6.47	42%	-0.11	22.8	1.59%	0	0.2	47	0
12	May_27_2009	26.58	26.43	26.14	26			26.04(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-74	5.94	39%	-0.15	19.8	1.58%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	May_26_2009	26.62	26.41	26.26	26.07			26.58(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	6	-61	7.12	41%	-0.26	23.5	1.57%	0	0.3	46	0
14	May_22_2009	26.69	26.36	26.3	25.95			25.83(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-73	4.89	39%	0	15.8	1.58%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	May_21_2009	26.69	26.36	26.44	25.97			25.62(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	5.79	39%	-0.15	13.6	1.59%	0	-1.2	41	0

16	May_20_2009	26.73	26.35	26.57	26.16			25.93(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-6	-38	7.09	37%	-0.11	18.9	1.6%	0	-0.7	54	0
17	May_19_2009	26.76	26.32	26.65	26.29			26.41(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-9	-18	6.8	39%	-0.04	22.3	1.6%	0	0.1	60	0
18	May_18_2009	26.77	26.29	26.7	26.47			25.94(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-10000	-11	11	5.42	36%	-0.11	30.6	1.59%	0	-0.5	58	0
19	May_15_2009	26.8	26.29	26.81	26.71			25.94(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-11	46	10.4	33%	-0.04	39	1.67%	0	-0.5	60	0
20	May_14_2009	26.81	26.27	26.88	26.97			26.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-3	86	4.5	35%	-0.04	48.3	1.66%	0	0.4	72	0

21	May_13_2009	26.82	26.23	26.82	27.03			26.59(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-1	98	7.41	35%	-0.04	49.8	1.68%	0	0.5	71	0
22	May_12_2009	26.83	26.18	26.76	27.06			27.32(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	4	114	4.51	37%	-0.04	48.7	1.64%	0	1.6	87	0
23	May_11_2009	26.84	26.08	26.59	26.97			27.13(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	2	109	3.9	37%	-0.07	46.1	1.65%	0	1.6	77	0
24	May_8_2009	26.86	26.01	26.44	26.93			27.25(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10000	7	111	8.11	34%	-0.04	43.8	1.66%	0	2	80	0
25	May_7_2009	26.87	25.94	26.25	26.78			26.86(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	9	98	6.9	34%		43.3	1.66%	0	1.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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