Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $25.9400 (-2.37%) ($25.6600 - $26.4200) on Fri. May. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $25.9400(-2.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    XLK(50%)    XLY(50%)    JNK(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(6%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $26.27
5 Day Moving Average   $26.71(-2.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.81(-3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.27(-1.26%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2009	26.8		26.81	26.71			25.94(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-11	46	10.4	33%	-0.04	39	1.67%	0	-0.5	60	0
2	May_14_2009	26.81	26.27	26.88	26.97			26.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-3	86	4.5	35%	-0.04	48.3	1.66%	0	0.4	72	0
3	May_13_2009	26.82	26.23	26.82	27.03			26.59(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-1	98	7.41	35%	-0.04	49.8	1.68%	0	0.5	71	0
4	May_12_2009	26.83	26.18	26.76	27.06			27.32(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	4	114	4.51	37%	-0.04	48.7	1.64%	0	1.6	87	0
5	May_11_2009	26.84	26.08	26.59	26.97			27.13(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	2	109	3.9	37%	-0.07	46.1	1.65%	0	1.6	77	0

6	May_8_2009	26.86	26.01	26.44	26.93			27.25(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10000	7	111	8.11	34%	-0.04	43.8	1.66%	0	2	80	0
7	May_7_2009	26.87	25.94	26.25	26.78			26.86(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	9	98	6.9	34%	-0.07	43.3	1.66%	0	1.7	68	0
8	May_6_2009	26.89	25.89	26.1	26.58			26.72(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	78	4.85	34%	-0.11	40.2	1.67%	0	1.7	65	0
9	May_5_2009	26.92	25.84	25.96	26.4			26.88(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	11	62	3.85	34%	-0.07	35.6	1.67%	0	2.3	71	0
10	May_4_2009	26.94	25.79	25.82	26.16			26.93(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	-10000	13	47	7.61	34%	-0.07	31.1	1.67%	0	2.9	75	0

11	May_1_2009	26.96	25.74	25.67	25.88			26.53(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	14	-10000	11	22	3.49	34%	-0.07	19.7	1.64%	0	2.6	62	0
12	Apr_30_2009	26.98	25.71	25.58	25.64			25.85(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	4	-3	8.54	30%	-0.11	-3.1	1.62%	0	0.6	43	0
13	Apr_29_2009	27.01	25.7	25.57	25.55			25.83(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	5	-13	6.69	30%	-0.11	-16.1	1.63%	0	0.5	43	0
14	Apr_28_2009	27.04	25.69	25.55	25.45			25.64(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	0	-26	4.54	30%	-0.11	-32.3	1.63%	0	-0.2	46	0
15	Apr_27_2009	27.07	25.67	25.53	25.44			25.54(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	0	-34	5.66	30%	-0.11	-49.5	1.63%	0	-0.5	42	0

16	Apr_24_2009	27.1	25.68	25.54	25.43			25.36(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-4	-42	5.72	30%	-0.11	-42.6	1.65%	0	-1.2	34	0
17	Apr_23_2009	27.13	25.72	25.61	25.51			25.4(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-4	-35	6.49	30%	-0.18	-29.7	1.66%	0	-1.2	40	0
18	Apr_22_2009	27.18	25.74	25.68	25.6			25.31(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-3	-24	6.27	30%	-0.11	-16.5	1.66%	0	-1.7	46	0
19	Apr_21_2009	27.21	25.76	25.73	25.66			25.58(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	-10000	1	-14	3.79	30%	-0.11	11.2	1.66%	0	-0.8	52	0
20	Apr_20_2009	27.24	25.76	25.77	25.63			25.49(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	-2	-10	4.98	30%	-0.18	44.3	1.66%	0	-1.2	56	0

21	Apr_17_2009	27.29	25.76	25.83	25.67			25.78(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	-3	-3	6.82	30%	-0.04	78.2	1.67%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Apr_16_2009	27.3	25.8	25.85	25.73			25.82(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	1	20.33	30%	-0.15	129.7	1.69%	0	0.1	46	0
23	Apr_15_2009	27.34	25.78	25.84	25.78			25.64(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	5	4.93	30%	-0.18	166.1	1.7%	0	-0.5	49	0
24	Apr_14_2009	27.39	25.74	25.84	25.81			25.4(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-5	3	6.4	30%	-0.11	150.7	1.7%	0	-0.9	46	0
25	Apr_13_2009	27.42	25.69	25.83	25.92			25.73(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	-1	4.57	30%		136.1	1.7%	0	0.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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