Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $25.6400 (0.94%) ($25.2700 - $25.7600) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $25.6400(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    XLK(50%)    XLY(50%)    IWM(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(5%)    SHY(6%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Resistance Level   $25.78
5 Day Moving Average   $25.78(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.84(-0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.78(-0.54%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2009	27.34	25.78	25.84	25.78			25.64(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	5	4.93	30%	-0.18	166.1	1.7%	0	-0.5	49	0
2	Apr_14_2009	27.39	25.74	25.84	25.81			25.4(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-5	3	6.4	30%	-0.11	150.7	1.7%	0	-0.9	46	0
3	Apr_13_2009	27.42	25.69	25.83	25.92			25.73(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	-1	4.57	30%	-0.07	136.1	1.7%	0	0.1	41	0
4	Apr_9_2009	27.44	25.59	25.84	26			26.07(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	0	12	6.16	30%	-0.07	90.1	1.69%	0	0.6	59	0
5	Apr_8_2009	27.46	25.46	25.83	25.99			26.06(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	4	16	4.48	30%	-0.11	76.7	1.7%	0	0.6	53	0

6	Apr_7_2009	27.49	25.32	25.83	25.9			25.81(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	2	13	4.55	30%	-0.11	63.9	1.69%	0	0.5	55	0
7	Apr_6_2009	27.52	25.19	25.8	25.85			25.93(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	6	25	5.51	30%	-0.11	55.1	1.69%	0	0.6	64	0
8	Apr_3_2009	27.55	25.04	25.83	25.72			26.15(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	3	40	5.21	30%	-0.11	43.2	1.7%	0	0.9	69	0
9	Apr_2_2009	27.58	24.89	25.75	25.65			25.98(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	55	9.31	30%	-0.07	33.1	1.71%	0	0.9	72	0
10	Apr_1_2009	27.6	24.76	25.73	25.67			25.65(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	-10000	-1	89	5.54	30%	-0.11	24.5	1.73%	0	0.7	73	0

11	Mar_31_2009	27.63	24.67	25.71	25.69			25.55(1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-2	124	7.7	30%	-0.11	16.8	1.74%	0	0.7	74	0
12	Mar_30_2009	27.66	24.57	25.63	25.73			25.29(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	-10000	-9	148	8.9	30%	-0.11	7.8	1.75%	0	0.6	72	0
13	Mar_27_2009	27.69	24.53	25.55	25.94			25.8(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	-10000	4	197	7.69	32%	-0.11	8.8	1.73%	0	1.1	79	0
14	Mar_26_2009	27.72	24.5	25.35	25.85			26.06(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	2	200	6.96	32%	-0.11	3.1	1.74%	0	1.3	75	0
15	Mar_25_2009	27.75	24.46	25.08	25.8			25.75(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	-10000	3	205	7.08	32%	-0.14	-2.3	1.73%	0	1.1	73	0

16	Mar_24_2009	27.79	24.47	24.82	25.74			25.76(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	-10000	10	195	6.45	32%	-0.14	-5.7	1.75%	0	1.1	64	0
17	Mar_23_2009	27.83	24.48	24.55	25.51			26.33(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	-10000	19	179	7.06	34%	-0.07	-13.8	1.73%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Mar_20_2009	27.85	24.43	24.19	25.1			25.35(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	17	129	7.86	26%	-0.18	-33.6	1.65%	0	0.8	54	0
19	Mar_19_2009	27.9	24.46	23.96	24.75			25.81(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	25	73	8.75	28%	-0.07	-46.5	1.65%	0	1	50	0
20	Mar_18_2009	27.92	24.49	23.69	24.25			25.44(3.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	18	-10000	25	-4	8.9	28%	-0.14	-61.2	1.64%	0	0.7	44	0

21	Mar_17_2009	27.96	24.54	23.51	23.76			24.64(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	17	-84	6.31	19%	-0.07	-72.6	1.58%	0	0.1	34	0
22	Mar_16_2009	27.98	24.65	23.51	23.44			24.26(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	16	-149	8.98	19%	-0.11	-84.6	1.6%	0	-0.3	29	0
23	Mar_13_2009	28.01	24.84	23.4	23.14			23.62(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-45	-10000	5	-194	7.16	11%	-0.18	-83.5	1.62%	0	-0.7	32	0
24	Mar_12_2009	28.06	25.07	23.55	23.05			23.3(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-53	-10000	1	-216	6.52	11%	-0.14	-81.6	1.62%	0	-1	26	0
25	Mar_11_2009	28.1	25.34	23.78	23.03			23(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-68	-10000	-10	-240	9.39	11%		-79.4	1.61%	0	-1.2	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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