Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 23, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $27.8800 (-1.13%) ($27.7500 - $28.5800) on Tue. Dec. 23, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $27.8800(-1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    XLK(51%)    XLY(51%)    IWM(49%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(5%)    SHY(5%)    GLD(12%)    USO(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $28.8
5 Day Moving Average   $28.39(-1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.62(-2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.8(-3.19%)
To recent high   -19.3%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2008	31.7	28.8	28.62	28.39			27.88(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-5	-12	3.43	50%	-0.28	7.7	3.97%	0	-1.6	39	0
2	Dec_22_2008	31.79	28.86	28.7	28.7			28.2(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2	-10000	-1	-3	6.32	49%	-0.28	28.3	3.97%	0	-1.3	46	0
3	Dec_19_2008	31.88	28.9	28.78	28.75			28.58(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-1	3	7.99	50%	-0.28	32.9	3.98%	0	-0.6	55	0
4	Dec_18_2008	31.97	28.8	28.77	28.81			28.77(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	0	-3	9.91	51%	-0.31	4.9	3.99%	0	-0	42	0
5	Dec_17_2008	32.07	28.8	28.73	28.8			28.53(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-10	9.38	50%	-0.28	6.8	4.02%	0	-0.3	45	0

6	Dec_16_2008	32.16	28.75	28.8	28.89			29.42(3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	3	-7	7.24	49%	-0.28	10.1	4.05%	0	0.8	48	0
7	Dec_15_2008	32.25	28.72	28.74	28.71			28.45(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-16	6.82	48%	-0.28	6.3	4.02%	0	-0.3	47	0
8	Dec_12_2008	32.34	28.73	28.72	28.8			28.9(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	1	-16	6.91	49%	-0.28	8.5	4.04%	0	0.2	52	0
9	Dec_11_2008	32.43	28.76	28.82	28.72			28.72(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	2	-0	6.38	49%	-0.31	14.4	4.05%	0	-0.1	66	0
10	Dec_10_2008	32.53	28.7	28.9	28.63			28.95(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-1	4	5.75	49%	-0.31	1.7	4.05%	0	0.3	57	0

11	Dec_9_2008	32.63	28.7	28.97	28.71			28.52(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-1	13	8.97	48%	-0.34	-3	4.05%	0	-0.2	52	0
12	Dec_8_2008	32.74	28.7	28.97	28.78			28.93(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	3	18	8.19	48%	-0.27	-5.4	4.06%	0	0.3	52	0
13	Dec_5_2008	32.83	28.67	29.03	28.62			28.47(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-6	11	11.93	48%	-0.33	-10	4.07%	0	-0.2	50	0
14	Dec_4_2008	32.94	28.64	28.84	28.95			28.29(-3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-4	6	11.41	47%	-0.3	-8.9	4.07%	0	-0.4	46	0
15	Dec_3_2008	33.04	28.69	28.81	29.21			29.35(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-1	17	9.84	47%	-0.33	4.9	4.05%	0	0.8	59	0

16	Dec_2_2008	33.15	28.7	28.71	29.28			28.85(2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-1	20	11.06	47%	-0.36	10.5	4.05%	0	0.2	53	0
17	Dec_1_2008	33.27	28.71	28.7	29.33			28.12(-6.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-2	24	9.24	47%	-0.36	25.9	4.03%	0	-0.6	51	0
18	Nov_28_2008	33.39	28.76	28.77	29.47			30.12(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	14	34	2.97	48%	-0.54	38.3	3.96%	0	1.5	54	0
19	Nov_26_2008	33.57	28.72	28.69	28.69			29.6(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	6	16	9.72	48%	-0.33	22.7	3.92%	0	1	58	0
20	Nov_25_2008	33.68	28.65	28.47	28.34			29.7(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	5	-3	11.61	48%	-0.3	14.7	3.93%	0	1.3	52	0

21	Nov_24_2008	33.78	28.61	28.32	28.09			29.12(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	1	-19	10.07	48%	-0.15	7.1	3.92%	0	0.5	48	0
22	Nov_21_2008	33.83	28.48	28.32	28.09			28.83(10%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-7	-10000	0	-27	19.2	48%	-0.32	-10.8	3.91%	0	0.4	49	0
23	Nov_20_2008	33.94	28.41	28.24	28.01			26.21(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-12	-33	15.88	45%	-0.44	-10.8	3.7%	0	-2.3	40	0
24	Nov_19_2008	34.09	28.53	28.44	28.66			27.83(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-3	-10000	2	-17	10.55	46%	-0.38	14.8	3.64%	0	-0.8	42	0
25	Nov_18_2008	34.22	28.52	28.57	28.58			28.44(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	0	-15	12.35	46%		18.4	3.63%	0	-0.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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