Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $28.1300 (-3.2%) ($28.1300 - $29.6500) on Wed. Oct. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $28.1300(-3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SPY(64%)    XLK(54%)    XLY(53%)    EEM(52%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(16%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.87(-47.14%)
Resistance Level   $28.44
5 Day Moving Average   $27.86(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.44(-1.09%)
To recent high   -26.9%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 6.89% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2008	35.94	28.44	28	27.86			28.13(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	3	17	8.76	40%	-0.36	-65.9	3.3%	0	-0.2	56	0
2	Oct_28_2008	36.07	28.67	27.85	27.74			29.06(10.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	1	-2	7.97	40%	-0.33	-63	3.28%	0	0.2	51	0
3	Oct_27_2008	36.19	28.85	27.79	27.69			26.4(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-15	-15	7.51	34%	-0.41	-60.7	3.01%	0	-1.1	43	0
4	Oct_24_2008	36.34	29.16	28.04	28.35			27.47(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	0	7	13.92	35%	-0.38	-52.6	2.98%	0	-0.7	42	0
5	Oct_23_2008	36.48	29.5	27.9	28.34			28.22(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	5	-32	15.93	34%	-0.36	-50.6	2.97%	0	-0.5	40	0

6	Oct_22_2008	36.61	29.8	27.77	28.15			27.56(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	5	-77	9.74	34%	-0.35	-50.6	2.96%	0	-0.8	37	0
7	Oct_21_2008	36.74	30.11	27.88	27.94			28.78(-3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	-10000	1	-115	7.19	37%	-0.35	-51.4	2.92%	0	-0.5	38	0
8	Oct_20_2008	36.87	30.34	27.91	27.91			29.72(8.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-32	-10000	4	-140	9.97	38%	-0.3	-52.4	2.91%	0	-0.2	39	0
9	Oct_17_2008	36.98	30.54	27.94	27.74			27.41(0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-36	-10000	9	-172	11.2	32%	-0.4	-53.3	2.7%	0	-1	33	0
10	Oct_16_2008	37.13	30.92	28.38	27.41			27.27(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-49	-10000	2	-203	10.75	31%	-0.38	-59.2	2.7%	0	-1.2	29	0

11	Oct_15_2008	37.27	31.27	28.89	27.32			26.5(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-10000	-12	-225	8.67	29%	-0.37	-65.3	2.67%	0	-1.7	25	0
12	Oct_14_2008	37.41	31.62	29.54	27.78			28.63(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-59	-10000	-4	-222	11.08	32%	-0.24	-69.1	2.53%	0	-1.1	32	0
13	Oct_13_2008	37.5	31.92	29.97	27.91			28.87(12.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-62	-10000	-9	-222	6.07	32%	-0.35	-69.7	2.53%	0	-1.1	35	0
14	Oct_10_2008	37.63	32.24	30.35	28.25			25.76(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-106	-10000	-43	-294	14.83	21%	-0.42	-68	1.98%	0	-2.4	14	0
15	Oct_9_2008	37.79	32.79	31.24	29.52			26.85(-6.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-89	-10000	-39	-240	9.77	23%	-0.4	-64.7	1.94%	0	-2.5	14	0

16	Oct_8_2008	37.94	33.26	32.03	30.67			28.79(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-10000	-30	-191	10.5	26%	-0.34	-64.2	1.8%	0	-2.3	25	0
17	Oct_7_2008	38.07	33.61	32.56	31.53			29.3(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-55	-10000	-27	-140	9.04	26%	-0.31	-65	1.79%	0	-2.6	36	0
18	Oct_6_2008	38.19	33.92	33.02	32.32			30.55(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-10000	-15	-106	9.64	27%	-0.26	-68.7	1.74%	0	-2.4	33	0
19	Oct_3_2008	38.29	34.22	33.4	32.75			32.12(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-18	-98	8.13	29%	-0.23	-76.8	1.66%	0	-1.7	36	0
20	Oct_2_2008	38.38	34.39	33.68	33.24			32.61(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-14	-85	5.24	29%	-0.21	-80.3	1.65%	0	-1.5	33	0

21	Oct_1_2008	38.46	34.57	33.85	33.62			33.09(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-5	-75	6.72	29%	-0.18	-79.9	1.65%	0	-1.3	38	0
22	Sep_30_2008	38.53	34.74	33.86	33.77			33.23(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-2	-90	3.36	32%	-0.21	-78.3	1.65%	0	-1.2	41	0
23	Sep_29_2008	38.61	34.94	34.01	33.83			32.72(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-10	-94	8	32%	-0.18	-80.6	1.67%	0	-1.9	41	0
24	Sep_26_2008	38.68	35.18	34.26	34.11			34.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-94	3.21	33%	-0.13	-75.4	1.55%	0	-0.5	42	0
25	Sep_25_2008	38.73	35.35	34.43	34.21			34.52(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-75	4.2	34%		-64.4	1.59%	0	-0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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