Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $26.5000 (-7.44%) ($26.4000 - $28.6800) on Wed. Oct. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.67% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $26.5000(-7.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -9.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -1.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(0%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(14%)    USO(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.335% (StdDev 2.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.71(-55.81%)
Resistance Level   $31.27
5 Day Moving Average   $27.32(-3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.89(-8.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.27(-15.25%)
To recent high   -33.6%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 9.18% (three month std-dev: 2.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2008	37.27	31.27	28.89	27.32			26.5(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-10000	-12	-225	8.67	29%	-0.37	-65.3	2.67%	0	-1.7	25	0
2	Oct_14_2008	37.41	31.62	29.54	27.78			28.63(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-59	-10000	-4	-222	11.08	32%	-0.24	-69.1	2.53%	0	-1.1	32	0
3	Oct_13_2008	37.5	31.92	29.97	27.91			28.87(12.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-62	-10000	-9	-222	6.07	32%	-0.35	-69.7	2.53%	0	-1.1	35	0
4	Oct_10_2008	37.63	32.24	30.35	28.25			25.76(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-106	-10000	-43	-294	14.83	21%	-0.42	-68	1.98%	0	-2.4	14	0
5	Oct_9_2008	37.79	32.79	31.24	29.52			26.85(-6.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-89	-10000	-39	-240	9.77	23%	-0.4	-64.7	1.94%	0	-2.5	14	0

6	Oct_8_2008	37.94	33.26	32.03	30.67			28.79(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-10000	-30	-191	10.5	26%	-0.34	-64.2	1.8%	0	-2.3	25	0
7	Oct_7_2008	38.07	33.61	32.56	31.53			29.3(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-55	-10000	-27	-140	9.04	26%	-0.31	-65	1.79%	0	-2.6	36	0
8	Oct_6_2008	38.19	33.92	33.02	32.32			30.55(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-10000	-15	-106	9.64	27%	-0.26	-68.7	1.74%	0	-2.4	33	0
9	Oct_3_2008	38.29	34.22	33.4	32.75			32.12(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-18	-98	8.13	29%	-0.23	-76.8	1.66%	0	-1.7	36	0
10	Oct_2_2008	38.38	34.39	33.68	33.24			32.61(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-14	-85	5.24	29%	-0.21	-80.3	1.65%	0	-1.5	33	0

11	Oct_1_2008	38.46	34.57	33.85	33.62			33.09(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-5	-75	6.72	29%	-0.18	-79.9	1.65%	0	-1.3	38	0
12	Sep_30_2008	38.53	34.74	33.86	33.77			33.23(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-2	-90	3.36	32%	-0.21	-78.3	1.65%	0	-1.2	41	0
13	Sep_29_2008	38.61	34.94	34.01	33.83			32.72(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-10	-94	8	32%	-0.18	-80.6	1.67%	0	-1.9	41	0
14	Sep_26_2008	38.68	35.18	34.26	34.11			34.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-94	3.21	33%	-0.13	-75.4	1.55%	0	-0.5	42	0
15	Sep_25_2008	38.73	35.35	34.43	34.21			34.52(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-75	4.2	34%	-0.15	-64.4	1.59%	0	-0.6	47	0

16	Sep_24_2008	38.79	35.53	34.55	34.15			33.85(0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	6	-82	3.31	32%	-0.18	-59.6	1.57%	0	-1.2	41	0
17	Sep_23_2008	38.86	35.72	34.71	33.98			33.54(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-8	-109	3.52	33%	-0.18	-60.4	1.57%	0	-1.5	37	0
18	Sep_22_2008	38.93	35.92	34.88	34.2			34.13(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-8	-117	5.66	34%	-0.18	-57.7	1.57%	0	-1.3	37	0
19	Sep_19_2008	39	36.11	35.1	34.42			35(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-39	-10000	-11	-122	9.36	35%	-0.13	-52.1	1.55%	0	-0.8	38	0
20	Sep_18_2008	39.05	36.25	35.13	34.72			34.21(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-12	-136	17.99	32%	-0.15	-44	1.52%	0	-1.4	31	0

21	Sep_17_2008	39.11	36.41	35.33	35.04			33(-4.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-52	-10000	-20	-149	15.35	27%	-0.18	-39.7	1.44%	0	-2.5	24	0
22	Sep_16_2008	39.18	36.64	35.71	35.54			34.68(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-4	-136	18.65	30%	-0.15	-36.6	1.33%	0	-1.8	31	0
23	Sep_15_2008	39.24	36.76	35.96	35.63			35.21(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-9	-137	8.37	31%	-0.13	-40.8	1.32%	0	-1.6	37	0
24	Sep_12_2008	39.29	36.86	36.19	35.85			36.48(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	-10000	10	-125	6.2	34%	-0.1	-39.3	1.26%	0	-0.4	40	0
25	Sep_11_2008	39.33	36.88	36.34	35.63			35.81(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-3	-146	8.39	31%		-47.4	1.23%	0	-1.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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