Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $32.7200 (-5.24%) ($32.5100 - $34.1400) on Mon. Sep. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $32.7200(-5.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(13%)    USO(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.56(-15.77%)
Resistance Level   $34.94
5 Day Moving Average   $33.83(-3.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.01(-3.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.94(-6.35%)
To recent high   -20%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2008	38.61	34.94	34.01	33.83			32.72(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-10	-94	8	32%	-0.18	-80.6	1.67%	0	-1.9	41	0
2	Sep_26_2008	38.68	35.18	34.26	34.11			34.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-94	3.21	33%	-0.13	-75.4	1.55%	0	-0.5	42	0
3	Sep_25_2008	38.73	35.35	34.43	34.21			34.52(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-75	4.2	34%	-0.15	-64.4	1.59%	0	-0.6	47	0
4	Sep_24_2008	38.79	35.53	34.55	34.15			33.85(0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	6	-82	3.31	32%	-0.18	-59.6	1.57%	0	-1.2	41	0
5	Sep_23_2008	38.86	35.72	34.71	33.98			33.54(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-8	-109	3.52	33%	-0.18	-60.4	1.57%	0	-1.5	37	0

6	Sep_22_2008	38.93	35.92	34.88	34.2			34.13(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-8	-117	5.66	34%	-0.18	-57.7	1.57%	0	-1.3	37	0
7	Sep_19_2008	39	36.11	35.1	34.42			35(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-39	-10000	-11	-122	9.36	35%	-0.13	-52.1	1.55%	0	-0.8	38	0
8	Sep_18_2008	39.05	36.25	35.13	34.72			34.21(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-12	-136	17.99	32%	-0.15	-44	1.52%	0	-1.4	31	0
9	Sep_17_2008	39.11	36.41	35.33	35.04			33(-4.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-52	-10000	-20	-149	15.35	27%	-0.18	-39.7	1.44%	0	-2.5	24	0
10	Sep_16_2008	39.18	36.64	35.71	35.54			34.68(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-4	-136	18.65	30%	-0.15	-36.6	1.33%	0	-1.8	31	0

11	Sep_15_2008	39.24	36.76	35.96	35.63			35.21(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-9	-137	8.37	31%	-0.13	-40.8	1.32%	0	-1.6	37	0
12	Sep_12_2008	39.29	36.86	36.19	35.85			36.48(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	-10000	10	-125	6.2	34%	-0.1	-39.3	1.26%	0	-0.4	40	0
13	Sep_11_2008	39.33	36.88	36.34	35.63			35.81(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-3	-146	8.39	31%	-0.1	-47.4	1.23%	0	-1.2	36	0
14	Sep_10_2008	39.37	36.95	36.56	35.7			35.53(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-9	-137	4.25	31%	-0.13	-47.7	1.23%	0	-1.6	38	0
15	Sep_9_2008	39.42	37.04	36.8	35.91			35.14(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-10000	-19	-121	8.9	33%	-0.13	-43.5	1.22%	0	-2.4	36	0

16	Sep_8_2008	39.47	37.17	37.04	36.33			36.28(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-13	-88	6.51	36%	-0.13	-28.4	1.18%	0	-1.3	45	0
17	Sep_5_2008	39.52	37.22	37.2	36.6			35.39(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-35	-10000	-26	-63	6.15	31%	-0.13	-17.1	1.17%	0	-2.8	37	0
18	Sep_4_2008	39.57	37.31	37.45	37.16			36.15(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-15	-10000	-18	-7	4.2	35%	-0.1	-0.8	1.16%	0	-2.4	46	0
19	Sep_3_2008	39.61	37.37	37.59	37.56			36.61(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-1	-10000	-11	29	3.44	36%	-0.08	10.7	1.16%	0	-1.8	46	0
20	Sep_2_2008	39.64	37.39	37.59	37.81			37.2(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	12	-10000	-2	54	6.22	38%	-0.05	19.6	1.15%	0	-0.5	53	0

21	Aug_29_2008	39.66	37.36	37.66	37.86			37.66(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-2	52	2.21	41%	-0.05	9.6	1.14%	0	0.7	51	0
22	Aug_28_2008	39.68	37.33	37.59	37.9			38.19(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	5	56	1.8	43%	-0.03	5.8	1.14%	0	1.9	64	0
23	Aug_27_2008	39.69	37.31	37.46	37.8			38.13(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	48	2.62	43%	-0.03	0	1.14%	0	1.7	65	0
24	Aug_26_2008	39.7	37.32	37.35	37.64			37.86(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	6	36	2.55	43%	-0.05	-6.5	1.14%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Aug_25_2008	39.72	37.31	37.27	37.51			37.45(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	4	29	3.46	43%		-28.1	1.14%	0	0.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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