Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 27, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $38.1300 (0.71%) ($37.8200 - $38.2500) on Wed. Aug. 27, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $38.1300(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(57%)    EEM(56%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(12%)    USO(22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.8(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.46(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.31(2.2%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2008	39.69	37.31	37.46	37.8			38.13(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	48	2.62	43%	-0.03	0	1.14%	0	1.7	65	0
2	Aug_26_2008	39.7	37.32	37.35	37.64			37.86(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	6	36	2.55	43%	-0.05	-6.5	1.14%	0	1.2	62	0
3	Aug_25_2008	39.72	37.31	37.27	37.51			37.45(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	4	29	3.46	43%	-0.05	-28.1	1.14%	0	0.3	60	0
4	Aug_22_2008	39.74	37.32	37.28	37.42			37.85(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	8	36	2.65	41%	-0.03	-48	1.14%	0	1.2	72	0
5	Aug_21_2008	39.75	37.3	37.21	37.24			37.7(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	9	26	4.11	41%	-0.05	-66.7	1.15%	0	0.9	60	0

6	Aug_20_2008	39.77	37.32	37.14	37.06			37.34(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	2	-4	3.49	41%	-0.03	-78.6	1.14%	0	0	39	0
7	Aug_19_2008	39.78	37.35	37.11	37.02			37.2(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	1	-25	2.13	43%	-0.03	-72.4	1.14%	0	-0.2	33	0
8	Aug_18_2008	39.79	37.44	37.08	37.01			37(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-6	-40	2.97	43%	-0.03	-68.4	1.15%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	Aug_15_2008	39.8	37.54	37.08	37.13			36.95(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-44	2.78	43%	-0.03	-69.1	1.15%	0	-0.8	42	0
10	Aug_14_2008	39.81	37.62	37.05	37.17			36.82(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-50	4.34	43%	-0.03	-78.2	1.15%	0	-1.1	42	0

11	Aug_13_2008	39.82	37.7	37.17	37.22			37.14(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	1	-46	3.92	43%	0	-87.3	1.15%	0	-0.7	40	0
12	Aug_12_2008	39.82	37.8	37.29	37.21			37.14(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	2	-43	5.62	43%	0	-86.1	1.15%	0	-0.8	39	0
13	Aug_11_2008	39.82	37.93	37.35	37.16			37.58(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	9	-61	4.66	44%	-0.08	-80.2	1.15%	0	-0.4	34	0
14	Aug_8_2008	39.85	38.05	37.36	36.96			37.17(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	2	-99	5.67	44%	0	-76.9	1.14%	0	-0.8	29	0
15	Aug_7_2008	39.85	38.21	37.4	36.92			37.06(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-10	-120	5.45	42%	-0.03	-71.7	1.14%	0	-1	37	0

16	Aug_6_2008	39.86	38.39	37.5	37.13			37.09(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-13	-112	5.7	42%	-0.03	-64.4	1.15%	0	-1	38	0
17	Aug_5_2008	39.87	38.56	37.61	37.41			36.89(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-8	-103	8.71	41%	-0.03	-60.2	1.15%	0	-1.3	32	0
18	Aug_4_2008	39.88	38.73	37.82	37.58			36.59(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-10	-102	6.96	41%	-0.05	-60.9	1.16%	0	-1.8	25	0
19	Aug_1_2008	39.9	38.91	38.08	37.8			36.99(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-6	-96	9.85	43%	-0.03	-60.1	1.17%	0	-1.7	25	0
20	Jul_31_2008	39.91	39.08	38.25	37.93			38.08(-1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10000	1	-112	5.41	46%	0	-59.8	1.13%	0	-0.9	28	0

21	Jul_30_2008	39.91	39.21	38.29	37.92			38.49(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-33	-10000	3	-141	5.31	46%	0	-60.8	1.13%	0	-0.7	27	0
22	Jul_29_2008	39.91	39.33	38.34	37.85			37.75(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-13	-177	4.12	44%	0	-60.6	1.11%	0	-1.4	20	0
23	Jul_28_2008	39.91	39.48	38.55	38.12			37.7(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-14	-164	5.2	44%	0	-58.1	1.11%	0	-1.6	27	0
24	Jul_25_2008	39.91	39.59	38.79	38.42			37.61(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-8	-139	6.32	44%	0	-59.3	1.11%	0	-1.9	30	0
25	Jul_24_2008	39.91	39.72	39.07	38.6			38.07(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-4	-125	6.41	45%		-69.2	1.11%	0	-1.8	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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