Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $41.2900 (0.9%) ($40.8500 - $41.5500) on Fri. Jun. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $41.2900(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.12(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.06(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.15(0.34%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2008	39.64	41.15		41.12			41.29(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	8	-3	9.77	61%	0.08	60	0.97%	0	0.5	54	0
2	Jun_12_2008	39.61	41.11	41.06	40.97			40.92(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-25	3.87	61%	0.03	48.7	0.96%	0	-0.6	44	0
3	Jun_11_2008	39.6	41.1	41.12	41.11			41.09(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-0	-7	4.69	64%	0.08	65.9	0.96%	0	-0	48	0
4	Jun_10_2008	39.57	41.06	41.12	41.12			41.13(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	4	-9	3.82	64%	0.03	61.3	0.98%	0	0.2	46	0
5	Jun_9_2008	39.56	41.03	41.13	41.03			41.17(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	2	-20	3.9	64%	0.03	52.6	0.98%	0	0.4	50	0

6	Jun_6_2008	39.55	40.98	41.1	40.99			40.54(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	4.64	56%	0	35.5	0.97%	0	-1	50	0
7	Jun_5_2008	39.55	40.96	41.21	41.15			41.63(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1	-10000	0	4	2.8	63%	0	36.9	0.95%	0	1.3	63	0
8	Jun_4_2008	39.55	40.87	41.17	41.15			41.14(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	15	4.39	64%	-0.05	33.8	0.94%	0	0.5	59	0
9	Jun_3_2008	39.57	40.83	41.2	41.14			40.65(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-5	30	4.52	64%	-0.08	36.9	0.95%	0	-0.3	56	0
10	Jun_2_2008	39.6	40.83	41.27	41.24			41.01(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	1	52	5.49	64%	-0.08	45.5	0.96%	0	0.4	60	0

11	May_30_2008	39.63	40.82	41.25	41.22			41.31(-0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-2	60	3.46	64%	-0.05	50.8	0.96%	0	0.9	69	0
12	May_29_2008	39.65	40.77	41.18	41.26			41.59(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	3	76	2.88	57%	-0.05	55.3	0.96%	0	1.5	75	0
13	May_28_2008	39.67	40.69	41.07	41.21			41.15(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-3	75	2.7	55%	-0.05	50.8	1.03%	0	0.9	73	0
14	May_27_2008	39.69	40.64	41	41.28			41.12(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-1	82	2.52	51%	-0.13	54.6	1.04%	0	0.9	59	0
15	May_23_2008	39.74	40.58	40.93	41.31			40.91(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	22	-10000	1	85	1.78	51%	-0.03	54.7	1.07%	0	0.6	57	0

16	May_22_2008	39.75	40.55	40.85	41.28			41.55(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	76	3.07	56%	-0.03	50.8	1.06%	0	1.9	54	0
17	May_21_2008	39.76	40.48	40.69	41.07			41.31(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	7	53	4.1	52%	0.05	40.5	1.08%	0	1.8	61	0
18	May_20_2008	39.74	40.42	40.54	40.91			41.52(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	10	41	4.7	52%	-0.03	32.1	1.12%	0	2.6	68	0
19	May_19_2008	39.75	40.35	40.42	40.68			41.24(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	7	27	2.38	52%	-0.05	28.7	1.12%	0	2.5	62	0
20	May_16_2008	39.77	40.3	40.33	40.52			40.78(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	21	2.97	51%	-0.05	35.1	1.11%	0	1.6	60	0

21	May_15_2008	39.79	40.3	40.34	40.37			40.48(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	5	18	3.66	53%	-0.05	46.4	1.12%	0	0.7	51	0
22	May_14_2008	39.81	40.29	40.33	40.25			40.52(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	6	11	3.85	53%	0	56.5	1.13%	0	0.8	53	0
23	May_13_2008	39.81	40.28	40.26	40.11			40.37(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	-0	-6	2.98	53%	-0.08	51.9	1.14%	0	0.3	51	0
24	May_12_2008	39.84	40.25	40.24	40.11			40.43(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-6	2.57	55%	-0.05	44.7	1.14%	0	0.5	53	0
25	May_9_2008	39.86	40.19	40.19	40.12			40.04(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-9	-14	3.04	55%		39	1.15%	0	-0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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