Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 2, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $41.0200 (1.66%) ($40.6000 - $41.1700) on Fri. May. 2, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $41.0200(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.27(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.27(1.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.03(2.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2008	40.02	40.03	40.27	40.27			41.02(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	6	11	4.1	57%	-0.07	61.4	1.2%	0	1.9	72	0
2	May_1_2008	40.05	39.93	40.22	40.13			40.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	1	16	8.88	58%	-0.07	72	1.2%	0	0.8	67	0
3	Apr_30_2008	40.08	39.88	40.24	40.1			39.88(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-3	27	3.82	60%	-0.07	82.4	1.23%	0	0	63	0
4	Apr_29_2008	40.11	39.86	40.3	40.18			40.14(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	-0	45	4.21	60%	-0.12	98.5	1.23%	0	0.5	61	0
5	Apr_28_2008	40.16	39.8	40.26	40.19			39.95(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-3	46	6.28	61%	-0.1	90.4	1.23%	0	0.2	57	0

6	Apr_25_2008	40.2	39.71	40.2	40.26			40.34(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-3	50	3.99	61%	-0.1	80.9	1.24%	0	0.8	67	0
7	Apr_24_2008	40.24	39.58	40.1	40.33			40.21(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-3	57	5.09	57%	-0.1	80.7	1.25%	0	0.8	68	0
8	Apr_23_2008	40.28	39.47	40.01	40.4			40.25(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-2	62	2.75	60%	-0.1	77.9	1.29%	0	0.9	68	0
9	Apr_22_2008	40.32	39.34	39.93	40.44			40.19(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	4	67	3.94	56%	-0.07	70.4	1.33%	0	0.9	62	0
10	Apr_21_2008	40.35	39.21	39.87	40.33			40.31(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	8	67	3.51	56%	-0.05	63.9	1.4%	0	1.1	70	0

11	Apr_18_2008	40.37	39.08	39.78	40.11			40.68(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	10	69	3.5	54%	-0.05	58.2	1.41%	0	1.6	83	0
12	Apr_17_2008	40.39	38.91	39.62	39.83			40.55(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	10	68	3.6	50%	-0.05	47.8	1.42%	0	1.7	84	0
13	Apr_16_2008	40.41	38.77	39.48	39.56			40.47(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	20	-10000	6	61	4.66	48%	-0.05	40.9	1.5%	0	1.9	77	0
14	Apr_15_2008	40.43	38.67	39.36	39.37			39.64(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	0	66	4.2	46%	-0.05	41.1	1.49%	0	1.2	75	0
15	Apr_14_2008	40.45	38.58	39.29	39.36			39.21(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-1	81	2.34	46%	-0.07	43.4	1.49%	0	0.8	74	0

16	Apr_11_2008	40.48	38.52	39.18	39.39			39.27(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	1	89	7.2	46%	-0.02	46.3	1.49%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Apr_10_2008	40.49	38.46	39.03	39.37			39.22(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	0	91	4.04	46%	-0.07	48.5	1.49%	0	1	74	0
18	Apr_9_2008	40.52	38.41	38.91	39.36			39.5(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	0	95	4.87	47%	-0.07	48.2	1.49%	0	1.5	70	0
19	Apr_8_2008	40.55	38.34	38.72	39.35			39.6(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	5	89	4.08	47%	-0.05	47	1.5%	0	1.8	58	0
20	Apr_7_2008	40.57	38.24	38.51	39.21			39.34(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	10	81	3.74	49%	-0.07	41.8	1.49%	0	1.7	63	0

21	Apr_4_2008	40.6	38.16	38.33	38.93			39.17(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	11	62	7.87	49%	-0.07	33.1	1.52%	0	1.7	62	0
22	Apr_3_2008	40.63	38.09	38.16	38.62			39.21(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	8	37	4.75	49%	-0.05	14.6	1.52%	0	2	58	0
23	Apr_2_2008	40.65	38.05	38.01	38.38			39.42(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	15	-10000	13	21	2.97	49%	-0.05	-0.7	1.52%	0	2.7	58	0
24	Apr_1_2008	40.67	38.01	37.9	38.01			38.92(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	8	-10000	10	1	8.95	49%	-0.05	-33.9	1.51%	0	2	55	0
25	Mar_31_2008	40.69	37.97	37.79	37.72			37.94(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	3	-17	3.95	45%		-73.3	1.48%	0	-0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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