Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.9200 (0.05%) ($37.0100 - $38.1800) on Mon. Mar. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $37.9200(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.8(-8.23%)
Resistance Level   $38.55
5 Day Moving Average   $38.12(-0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.13(-0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.55(-1.63%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2008	41.11	38.55	38.13	38.12			37.92(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	2	-28	5.44	45%	-0.07	-52.7	1.45%	0	-0.9	32	0
2	Mar_14_2008	41.14	38.65	38.16	38.07			37.9(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-44	7.48	44%	-0.1	-48.2	1.45%	0	-1	38	0
3	Mar_13_2008	41.18	38.72	38.14	38.03			38.18(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	2	-64	7.76	45%	-0.02	-50.8	1.47%	0	-0.7	40	0
4	Mar_12_2008	41.19	38.8	38.19	37.98			38.3(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	-3	-70	4.83	45%	-0.05	-50.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	47	0
5	Mar_11_2008	41.21	38.88	38.26	38.06			38.3(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-4	-72	8.21	43%	-0.05	-43.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	41	0

6	Mar_10_2008	41.23	38.93	38.4	38.17			37.65(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-4	-63	7.21	42%	-0.05	-49	1.49%	0	-1.7	37	0
7	Mar_7_2008	41.25	39.01	38.59	38.28			37.7(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-14	-10000	1	-60	11.49	42%	-0.07	-57.7	1.49%	0	-1.8	36	0
8	Mar_6_2008	41.28	39.09	38.76	38.26			37.94(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-6	-63	7.31	42%	-0.07	-64.6	1.49%	0	-1.8	42	0
9	Mar_5_2008	41.31	39.18	38.85	38.42			38.73(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-64	6.23	45%	-0.07	-57	1.47%	0	-0.8	43	0
10	Mar_4_2008	41.34	39.22	38.93	38.48			38.84(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-23	-10000	-8	-67	7.96	45%	-0.05	-50.7	1.49%	0	-0.7	42	0

11	Mar_3_2008	41.36	39.31	39	38.7			38.18(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-9	-54	6.41	43%	-0.07	-21.8	1.48%	0	-1.7	44	0
12	Feb_29_2008	41.39	39.42	39.17	38.96			37.61(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-19	-10000	-13	-35	10.23	41%	-0.1	2.5	1.46%	0	-2.8	43	0
13	Feb_28_2008	41.43	39.51	39.35	38.96			38.75(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	6.37	46%	-0.05	29.8	1.42%	0	-1.6	47	0
14	Feb_27_2008	41.45	39.51	39.46	39.32			39.01(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-4	-9	7.14	46%	-0.07	21	1.44%	0	-1	47	0
15	Feb_26_2008	41.48	39.52	39.56	39.44			39.97(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	3	5	4.36	48%	-0.02	29.9	1.41%	0	0.9	53	0

16	Feb_25_2008	41.49	39.46	39.49	39.35			39.46(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-17	6.07	48%	-0.02	14	1.4%	0	0	38	0
17	Feb_22_2008	41.5	39.4	39.45	39.43			39.42(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	1	-23	5.61	48%	-0.02	-2.7	1.4%	0	0	44	0
18	Feb_21_2008	41.51	39.37	39.44	39.41			38.74(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-28	5.05	46%	-0.05	-30.3	1.39%	0	-1	49	0
19	Feb_20_2008	41.53	39.41	39.44	39.62			39.61(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	-3	-6	4.71	50%	-0.02	-47.3	1.37%	0	0.3	58	0
20	Feb_19_2008	41.54	39.37	39.53	39.69			39.53(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	1	7	4	50%	0.02	-77.4	1.37%	0	0.3	56	0

21	Feb_15_2008	41.53	39.39	39.64	39.65			39.85(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	6	27	3.82	50%	-0.02	-101.3	1.36%	0	0.7	59	0
22	Feb_14_2008	41.54	39.42	39.64	39.65			39.3(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	0	36	5.08	49%	-0.02	-119.1	1.35%	0	-0.2	61	0
23	Feb_13_2008	41.55	39.55	39.67	39.48			39.8(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	2	44	5.63	49%	-0.02	-96.1	1.35%	0	0.3	60	0
24	Feb_12_2008	41.56	39.69	39.57	39.43			39.99(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	3	32	4.19	47%	0	-77.3	1.35%	0	0.3	51	0
25	Feb_11_2008	41.56	39.85	39.47	39.35			39.32(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-10000	-11	25	3.37	45%		-64.8	1.35%	0	-0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.