Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $39.5900 (-3.01%) ($39.4600 - $40.6400) on Tue. Feb. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $39.5900(-3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $40.64
5 Day Moving Average   $39.72(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.3(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.64(-2.58%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 4.82% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2008	41.62	40.64	39.3	39.72			39.59(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	5	-51	6.28	45%	0	-33.8	1.4%	0	-0.5	34	0
2	Feb_4_2008	41.62	40.81	39.21	39.58			40.82(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	16	-106	4.68	48%	0.02	-34.3	1.35%	0	0	35	0
3	Feb_1_2008	41.61	40.88	39.1	39.17			40.24(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-30	-10000	16	-167	4.43	44%	0.02	-40.3	1.34%	0	-0.3	32	0
4	Jan_31_2008	41.6	40.97	39.11	38.76			39.22(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-54	-10000	5	-229	4.44	40%	-0.02	-48	1.32%	0	-0.9	26	0
5	Jan_30_2008	41.61	41.12	39.39	38.64			38.71(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-70	-10000	-7	-258	6.5	38%	0	-53.2	1.32%	0	-1.2	21	0

6	Jan_29_2008	41.61	41.31	39.79	38.83			38.91(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-61	-10000	2	-248	6.07	38%	-0.02	-53.4	1.32%	0	-1.2	26	0
7	Jan_28_2008	41.62	41.51	40.22	38.78			38.78(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-10000	-10	-254	5.73	38%	0	-57.6	1.33%	0	-1.4	25	0
8	Jan_25_2008	41.62	41.72	40.68	39.03			38.18(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-10000	-19	-239	12.53	42%	-0.02	-58.9	1.32%	0	-2	29	0
9	Jan_24_2008	41.63	41.97	41.21	39.52			38.6(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-70	-10000	-27	-199	13.44	42%	-0.02	-59.3	1.35%	0	-2.1	33	0
10	Jan_23_2008	41.64	42.22	41.73	40.25			39.68(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-10000	-25	-149	14.85	44%	0.02	-53	1.31%	0	-1.8	37	0

11	Jan_22_2008	41.63	42.39	42.1	40.92			38.65(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-56	-10000	-37	-111	13.94	40%	0	-44.3	1.27%	0	-2.9	27	0
12	Jan_18_2008	41.63	42.64	42.59	41.89			40.03(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-31	-10000	-26	-47	10.89	42%	0.02	-38.1	1.21%	0	-2.8	30	0
13	Jan_17_2008	41.62	42.81	42.85	42.57			40.63(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-17	-10000	-21	-4	14.36	44%	0.05	-25.9	1.21%	0	-3.1	37	0
14	Jan_16_2008	41.6	42.94	42.85	43.13			42.26(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-2	-10000	-12	29	9.68	49%	0.1	-7.9	1.1%	0	-1.4	44	0
15	Jan_15_2008	41.56	42.97	43.03	43.42			43.03(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-2	43	8.74	52%	0.12	-6.4	1.08%	0	0.1	48	0

16	Jan_14_2008	41.51	42.98	42.97	43.46			43.49(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	2	41	4.85	52%	0.1	-12.8	1.07%	0	1.1	55	0
17	Jan_11_2008	41.47	43	42.9	43.41			43.43(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	10	37	5.37	52%	0.1	-16.8	1.07%	0	0.9	51	0
18	Jan_10_2008	41.43	42.99	42.82	43.19			43.44(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	12	17	8.49	52%	0.12	-35.3	1.08%	0	0.9	53	0
19	Jan_9_2008	41.38	42.98	42.76	42.91			43.71(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	10	-10000	14	-4	9.08	52%	0.12	-51.7	1.08%	0	1.5	54	0
20	Jan_8_2008	41.33	43	42.7	42.59			43.24(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	8	-26	9.6	50%	0.1	-61.6	1.08%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Jan_7_2008	41.29	43.04	42.66	42.41			43.23(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-9	-10000	3	-43	9.15	50%	0.12	-50.8	1.08%	0	0.3	49	0
22	Jan_4_2008	41.24	43.07	42.65	42.34			42.35(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-3	-61	7.02	46%	0.1	-38.4	1.06%	0	-1.1	31	0
23	Jan_3_2008	41.2	43.16	42.72	42.4			42.03(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-65	5.14	46%	0.1	-26	1.05%	0	-1.8	38	0
24	Jan_2_2008	41.16	43.24	42.84	42.59			42.09(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-10	-54	5	46%	0.15	-7.7	1.06%	0	-1.9	38	0
25	Dec_31_2007	41.1	43.3	42.92	42.81			42.33(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-6	-57	1.91	49%		13.6	1.05%	0	-1.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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