Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.9000 (0.79%) ($40.5800 - $41.1600) on Fri. Oct. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $40.9000(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(10%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.53(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.46(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.24(1.64%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2007	39.84	40.24	40.46	40.53			40.9(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	8	8	4.99	47%	-0.05	60.4	1.34%	0	1.1	63	0
2	Oct_4_2007	39.86	40.15	40.46	40.31			40.58(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	1	-3	3.67	47%	-0.05	51.7	1.34%	0	0.7	61	0
3	Oct_3_2007	39.88	40.08	40.4	40.28			40.36(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-3	2	5.38	47%	-0.05	54	1.35%	0	0.5	59	0
4	Oct_2_2007	39.9	40.03	40.46	40.28			40.49(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	0	23	2.5	48%	-0.05	67.1	1.35%	0	0.8	62	0
5	Oct_1_2007	39.92	39.98	40.48	40.36			40.34(1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-1	36	5.7	48%	-0.05	72.3	1.36%	0	0.6	64	0

6	Sep_28_2007	39.94	39.89	40.48	40.39			39.8(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	45	3.54	47%	-0.05	61.9	1.35%	0	-0.1	63	0
7	Sep_27_2007	39.96	39.84	40.43	40.49			40.43(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-1	61	5.47	50%	-0.05	58	1.34%	0	0.8	72	0
8	Sep_26_2007	39.98	39.76	40.36	40.51			40.72(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	-3	67	4.88	50%	-0.05	54.8	1.35%	0	1.3	70	0
9	Sep_25_2007	40	39.63	40.26	40.59			40.52(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-1	79	4.1	50%	-0.05	50.3	1.35%	0	1.1	69	0
10	Sep_24_2007	40.02	39.53	40.14	40.62			40.47(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	5	84	4.04	50%	-0.05	50	1.35%	0	1.2	67	0

11	Sep_21_2007	40.04	39.48	40.01	40.47			40.32(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	5	80	4.08	48%	-0.05	52.8	1.37%	0	1.1	73	0
12	Sep_20_2007	40.06	39.43	39.88	40.34			40.54(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	6	78	3.71	46%	-0.05	57.3	1.37%	0	1.5	74	0
13	Sep_19_2007	40.08	39.36	39.75	40.18			41.1(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	27	-10000	11	75	7.01	46%	0	63.6	1.4%	0	2.6	82	0
14	Sep_18_2007	40.08	39.24	39.56	39.88			40.65(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	25	-10000	10	71	5.32	45%	-0.02	65	1.39%	0	2.5	85	0
15	Sep_17_2007	40.09	39.14	39.41	39.61			39.73(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	5	62	2.62	42%	-0.07	60.9	1.37%	0	1.3	65	0

16	Sep_14_2007	40.12	39.09	39.3	39.48			39.7(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	5	45	3.89	42%	-0.05	50.4	1.37%	0	1.4	49	0
17	Sep_13_2007	40.14	39.02	39.2	39.34			39.71(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	3	29	4.32	44%	-0.07	27	1.38%	0	1.5	52	0
18	Sep_12_2007	40.17	38.93	39.11	39.26			39.63(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	3	19	3.4	43%	-0.05	-1.7	1.4%	0	1.5	53	0
19	Sep_11_2007	40.19	38.88	38.95	39.18			39.3(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	-0	6	5.29	44%	-0.07	-19.5	1.41%	0	1	55	0
20	Sep_10_2007	40.22	38.87	38.88	39.19			39.04(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	3	5	4.75	44%	-0.07	-18.6	1.42%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Sep_7_2007	40.25	38.86	38.92	39.1			39.01(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	2	9	5.55	42%	-0.05	-13.3	1.42%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Sep_6_2007	40.27	38.89	38.95	39.04			39.3(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	16	4.78	41%	-0.05	-13.2	1.47%	0	0.9	61	0
23	Sep_5_2007	40.29	38.94	38.94	38.93			39.25(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	9	23	6.63	40%	-0.05	-4.1	1.48%	0	0.5	63	0
24	Sep_4_2007	40.31	38.96	38.89	38.68			39.35(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	5	10	4.63	40%	-0.05	-1.3	1.49%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Aug_31_2007	40.33	38.95	38.84	38.53			38.6(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-7	-7	5.54	38%		-0.6	1.46%	0	-0.6	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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