Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 25, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.5200 (0.12%) ($40.3200 - $40.8000) on Tue. Sep. 25, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $40.5200(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(10%)    USO(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.59(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.26(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.63(2.25%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071025

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_25_2007	40	39.63	40.26	40.59			40.52(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-1	79	4.1	50%	-0.05	50.3	1.35%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Sep_24_2007	40.02	39.53	40.14	40.62			40.47(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	5	84	4.04	50%	-0.05	50	1.35%	0	1.2	67	0
3	Sep_21_2007	40.04	39.48	40.01	40.47			40.32(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	5	80	4.08	48%	-0.05	52.8	1.37%	0	1.1	73	0
4	Sep_20_2007	40.06	39.43	39.88	40.34			40.54(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	6	78	3.71	46%	-0.05	57.3	1.37%	0	1.5	74	0
5	Sep_19_2007	40.08	39.36	39.75	40.18			41.1(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	27	-10000	11	75	7.01	46%	0	63.6	1.4%	0	2.6	82	0

6	Sep_18_2007	40.08	39.24	39.56	39.88			40.65(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	25	-10000	10	71	5.32	45%	-0.02	65	1.39%	0	2.5	85	0
7	Sep_17_2007	40.09	39.14	39.41	39.61			39.73(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	5	62	2.62	42%	-0.07	60.9	1.37%	0	1.3	65	0
8	Sep_14_2007	40.12	39.09	39.3	39.48			39.7(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	5	45	3.89	42%	-0.05	50.4	1.37%	0	1.4	49	0
9	Sep_13_2007	40.14	39.02	39.2	39.34			39.71(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	3	29	4.32	44%	-0.07	27	1.38%	0	1.5	52	0
10	Sep_12_2007	40.17	38.93	39.11	39.26			39.63(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	3	19	3.4	43%	-0.05	-1.7	1.4%	0	1.5	53	0

11	Sep_11_2007	40.19	38.88	38.95	39.18			39.3(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	-0	6	5.29	44%	-0.07	-19.5	1.41%	0	1	55	0
12	Sep_10_2007	40.22	38.87	38.88	39.19			39.04(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	3	5	4.75	44%	-0.07	-18.6	1.42%	0	0.4	53	0
13	Sep_7_2007	40.25	38.86	38.92	39.1			39.01(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	2	9	5.55	42%	-0.05	-13.3	1.42%	0	0.3	55	0
14	Sep_6_2007	40.27	38.89	38.95	39.04			39.3(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	16	4.78	41%	-0.05	-13.2	1.47%	0	0.9	61	0
15	Sep_5_2007	40.29	38.94	38.94	38.93			39.25(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	9	23	6.63	40%	-0.05	-4.1	1.48%	0	0.5	63	0

16	Sep_4_2007	40.31	38.96	38.89	38.68			39.35(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	5	10	4.63	40%	-0.05	-1.3	1.49%	0	0.7	57	0
17	Aug_31_2007	40.33	38.95	38.84	38.53			38.6(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-7	-7	5.54	38%	-0.05	-0.6	1.46%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Aug_30_2007	40.35	38.92	38.85	38.73			38.68(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-5	2	5.03	39%	-0.05	11.3	1.46%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Aug_29_2007	40.37	38.95	38.82	38.87			38.75(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	5.38	39%	-0.07	22	1.47%	0	-0.3	41	0
20	Aug_28_2007	40.4	38.96	38.75	38.97			38(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-6	-20	11.49	37%	-0.07	20.4	1.45%	0	-1.5	30	0

21	Aug_27_2007	40.43	38.97	38.82	39.13			38.6(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-1	-22	27.21	38%	-0.05	17.4	1.45%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	Aug_24_2007	40.45	38.95	38.88	39.17			39.61(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	7	-16	6.02	39%	-0.02	1.1	1.41%	0	0.9	53	0
23	Aug_23_2007	40.46	38.85	38.81	38.98			39.37(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	8	-17	13.17	37%	-0.02	-27	1.43%	0	0.8	62	0
24	Aug_22_2007	40.47	38.82	38.82	38.76			39.25(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	9	-26	5.82	37%	-0.02	-51.1	1.45%	0	0.6	50	0
25	Aug_21_2007	40.48	38.83	38.92	38.52			38.8(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	2	-29	6.94	37%		-65.6	1.44%	0	-0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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