Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 13, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $39.7100 (0.2%) ($39.6300 - $39.9500) on Thu. Sep. 13, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $39.7100(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(10%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.34(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.2(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.02(1.77%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2007	40.14	39.02	39.2	39.34			39.71(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	3	29	4.32	44%	-0.07	27	1.38%	0	1.5	52	0
2	Sep_12_2007	40.17	38.93	39.11	39.26			39.63(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	3	19	3.4	43%	-0.05	-1.7	1.4%	0	1.5	53	0
3	Sep_11_2007	40.19	38.88	38.95	39.18			39.3(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	-0	6	5.29	44%	-0.07	-19.5	1.41%	0	1	55	0
4	Sep_10_2007	40.22	38.87	38.88	39.19			39.04(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	3	5	4.75	44%	-0.07	-18.6	1.42%	0	0.4	53	0
5	Sep_7_2007	40.25	38.86	38.92	39.1			39.01(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	2	9	5.55	42%	-0.05	-13.3	1.42%	0	0.3	55	0

6	Sep_6_2007	40.27	38.89	38.95	39.04			39.3(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	16	4.78	41%	-0.05	-13.2	1.47%	0	0.9	61	0
7	Sep_5_2007	40.29	38.94	38.94	38.93			39.25(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	9	23	6.63	40%	-0.05	-4.1	1.48%	0	0.5	63	0
8	Sep_4_2007	40.31	38.96	38.89	38.68			39.35(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	5	10	4.63	40%	-0.05	-1.3	1.49%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Aug_31_2007	40.33	38.95	38.84	38.53			38.6(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-7	-7	5.54	38%	-0.05	-0.6	1.46%	0	-0.6	44	0
10	Aug_30_2007	40.35	38.92	38.85	38.73			38.68(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-5	2	5.03	39%	-0.05	11.3	1.46%	0	-0.4	47	0

11	Aug_29_2007	40.37	38.95	38.82	38.87			38.75(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	5.38	39%	-0.07	22	1.47%	0	-0.3	41	0
12	Aug_28_2007	40.4	38.96	38.75	38.97			38(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-6	-20	11.49	37%	-0.07	20.4	1.45%	0	-1.5	30	0
13	Aug_27_2007	40.43	38.97	38.82	39.13			38.6(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-1	-22	27.21	38%	-0.05	17.4	1.45%	0	-0.6	40	0
14	Aug_24_2007	40.45	38.95	38.88	39.17			39.61(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	7	-16	6.02	39%	-0.02	1.1	1.41%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Aug_23_2007	40.46	38.85	38.81	38.98			39.37(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	8	-17	13.17	37%	-0.02	-27	1.43%	0	0.8	62	0

16	Aug_22_2007	40.47	38.82	38.82	38.76			39.25(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	9	-26	5.82	37%	-0.02	-51.1	1.45%	0	0.6	50	0
17	Aug_21_2007	40.48	38.83	38.92	38.52			38.8(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	2	-29	6.94	37%	-0.05	-65.6	1.44%	0	-0	50	0
18	Aug_20_2007	40.5	38.86	39.02	38.47			38.84(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-3	-17	7.18	37%	-0.02	-63	1.44%	0	-0	56	0
19	Aug_17_2007	40.51	38.95	39.05	38.54			38.63(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-2	18.99	37%	-0.05	-52.8	1.44%	0	-0.4	55	0
20	Aug_16_2007	40.53	39.04	39	38.62			38.3(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-10000	-10	3	18.05	37%	-0.02	-46.5	1.43%	0	-0.7	57	0

21	Aug_15_2007	40.54	39.18	39.1	38.9			38.03(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-10000	-17	23	8.23	37%	-0.05	-34.2	1.43%	0	-1.1	48	0
22	Aug_14_2007	40.56	39.3	39.2	39.38			38.55(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-9	50	6.79	37%	-0.05	-18.5	1.42%	0	-0.8	45	0
23	Aug_13_2007	40.58	39.38	39.17	39.64			39.21(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	0	56	7.67	39%	0	-8.4	1.41%	0	-0.2	48	0
24	Aug_10_2007	40.58	39.43	39.06	39.63			39.01(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	14	-10000	8	33	12.53	38%	-0.02	-7.7	1.41%	0	-0.4	41	0
25	Aug_9_2007	40.59	39.51	38.93	39.41			39.7(-1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-13	12.3	39%		-9.6	1.4%	0	0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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