Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 9, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $39.7000 (-1.81%) ($39.3500 - $40.3900) on Thu. Aug. 9, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $39.7000(-1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(10%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.41(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.93(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.51(0.48%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2007	40.59	39.51	38.93	39.41			39.7(-1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-13	12.3	39%	0	-9.6	1.4%	0	0.2	44	0
2	Aug_8_2007	40.59	39.53	38.82	39.33			40.43(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	11	-40	12.53	40%	0.02	-11.5	1.38%	0	0.9	44	0
3	Aug_7_2007	40.58	39.49	38.71	39.02			39.85(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	14	-69	10.27	40%	0.02	-22.7	1.37%	0	0.4	46	0
4	Aug_6_2007	40.57	39.47	38.66	38.65			39.14(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	8	-103	10.97	38%	0.02	-35.5	1.36%	0	-0.3	44	0
5	Aug_3_2007	40.56	39.51	38.79	38.43			37.95(-3.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-28	-10000	3	-120	14.19	34%	-0.02	-40.2	1.3%	0	-1.5	37	0

6	Aug_2_2007	40.57	39.61	39.06	38.35			39.28(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-30	-10000	5	-134	9.31	37%	0.02	-42.9	1.23%	0	-0.3	39	0
7	Aug_1_2007	40.56	39.65	39.22	38.24			38.86(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-39	-10000	-6	-138	16.44	37%	0.02	-42	1.22%	0	-0.8	42	0
8	Jul_31_2007	40.55	39.72	39.38	38.38			38(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-10000	-13	-126	14.12	33%	0	-32.6	1.2%	0	-1.8	41	0
9	Jul_30_2007	40.55	39.83	39.61	38.69			38.07(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-10000	-23	-104	11.95	33%	-0.02	-20.2	1.2%	0	-2	42	0
10	Jul_27_2007	40.56	39.92	39.83	39.22			37.55(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-38	-10000	-27	-69	12.65	31%	0	1.6	1.19%	0	-3.1	36	0

11	Jul_26_2007	40.56	40.02	40.17	39.85			38.7(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-19	-10000	-21	-13	18.39	33%	0	31.7	1.14%	0	-2.3	43	0
12	Jul_25_2007	40.56	40.06	40.34	40.34			39.6(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-8	30	13.03	36%	0.05	63.8	1.1%	0	-0.9	47	0
13	Jul_24_2007	40.54	40.03	40.36	40.52			39.52(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	5	-10000	-6	39	10.02	36%	0.05	53.1	1.1%	0	-0.9	45	0
14	Jul_23_2007	40.52	40.01	40.38	40.66			40.74(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	6	50	4.78	39%	0.07	48.4	1.05%	0	1.2	57	0
15	Jul_20_2007	40.49	39.91	40.3	40.54			40.7(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	-0	44	7.96	39%	0.05	30.1	1.05%	0	1.2	63	0

16	Jul_19_2007	40.47	39.84	40.21	40.55			41.15(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	10	57	10.25	40%	0.05	26.6	1.05%	0	2.1	72	0
17	Jul_18_2007	40.45	39.74	40.09	40.35			40.5(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	8	53	8.55	37%	0.07	14.2	1.03%	0	1.4	67	0
18	Jul_17_2007	40.42	39.72	40.09	40.18			40.2(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	6	58	7.39	37%	0	15.2	1.03%	0	0.9	71	0
19	Jul_16_2007	40.42	39.72	40.05	40.05			40.16(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	2	64	8.53	37%	0.05	10.3	1.03%	0	0.8	66	0
20	Jul_13_2007	40.4	39.71	39.99	40			40.75(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	25	-10000	8	76	6.75	39%	0.07	17.3	1.02%	0	1.9	77	0

21	Jul_12_2007	40.37	39.68	39.84	39.83			40.15(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	1	59	7.25	35%	0.05	19.4	1%	0	0.9	58	0
22	Jul_11_2007	40.35	39.66	39.75	39.81			39.65(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-5	58	6.58	32%	0.02	15.9	0.99%	0	-0	56	0
23	Jul_10_2007	40.34	39.64	39.67	39.91			39.55(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-6	46	6.46	32%	-0.02	6.1	0.99%	0	-0.2	42	0
24	Jul_9_2007	40.35	39.65	39.62	40.03			39.92(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	4	47	3.57	32%	0.05	-1.5	0.98%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Jul_6_2007	40.33	39.62	39.5	39.96			39.86(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	6	18	6.42	32%		-26	0.98%	0	0.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.