Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jul. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.7500 (1.49%) ($40.1800 - $40.9200) on Sun. Jul. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $40.7500(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $40(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.99(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.71(2.62%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2007	40.4	39.71	39.99	40			40.75(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	25	-10000	8	76	6.75	39%	0.07	17.3	1.02%	0	1.9	77	0
2	Jul_12_2007	40.37	39.68	39.84	39.83			40.15(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	1	59	7.25	35%	0.05	19.4	1%	0	0.9	58	0
3	Jul_11_2007	40.35	39.66	39.75	39.81			39.65(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-5	58	6.58	32%	0.02	15.9	0.99%	0	-0	56	0
4	Jul_10_2007	40.34	39.64	39.67	39.91			39.55(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-6	46	6.46	32%	-0.02	6.1	0.99%	0	-0.2	42	0
5	Jul_9_2007	40.35	39.65	39.62	40.03			39.92(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	4	47	3.57	32%	0.05	-1.5	0.98%	0	0.5	48	0

6	Jul_6_2007	40.33	39.62	39.5	39.96			39.86(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	6	18	6.42	32%	0.05	-26	0.98%	0	0.5	43	0
7	Jul_5_2007	40.31	39.62	39.46	39.84			40.07(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10000	8	-1	9.68	32%	0.07	-55.2	0.99%	0	0.9	48	0
8	Jul_3_2007	40.28	39.58	39.37	39.69			40.15(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	15	-22	5.4	32%	0.07	-67.1	0.99%	0	1	51	0
9	Jul_2_2007	40.25	39.61	39.36	39.4			40.15(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	13	-33	4.73	38%	0.05	-70.9	0.99%	0	0.8	58	0
10	Jun_29_2007	40.23	39.66	39.33	39.15			39.58(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	9	-52	10.84	33%	0.02	-69.1	1.01%	0	-0.1	48	0

11	Jun_28_2007	40.22	39.75	39.4	38.98			39.27(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-2	-57	9.71	33%	0.05	-64.1	1.01%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	Jun_27_2007	40.2	39.88	39.48	39.02			39.28(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	1	-38	12.41	33%	0.05	-60.1	1.01%	0	-0.6	54	0
13	Jun_26_2007	40.18	39.99	39.55	39			38.71(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-16	-51	12.72	30%	0.02	-64	1%	0	-1.3	40	0
14	Jun_25_2007	40.17	40.12	39.61	39.31			38.92(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-11	-48	9.4	30%	0.05	-65.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	37	0
15	Jun_22_2007	40.15	40.23	39.7	39.53			38.71(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10000	-17	-55	8.1	30%	0.02	-68.6	0.99%	0	-1.6	33	0

16	Jun_21_2007	40.14	40.35	39.77	39.87			39.46(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-8	-56	10.08	35%	0.07	-71.3	0.97%	0	-1	35	0
17	Jun_20_2007	40.11	40.48	39.74	40.02			39.21(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-7	-84	9.71	38%	0.07	-68.1	0.97%	0	-1.4	32	0
18	Jun_19_2007	40.08	40.65	39.85	40.16			40.26(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	12	-90	6.51	42%	0.1	-60.2	0.93%	0	-0.4	37	0
19	Jun_18_2007	40.04	40.77	39.89	39.94			40(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	2	-120	8.27	42%	0.1	-59.9	0.93%	0	-0.7	41	0
20	Jun_15_2007	40	40.9	40.02	39.9			40.44(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	12	-117	13.33	46%	0.1	-55.3	0.93%	0	-0.4	44	0

21	Jun_14_2007	39.96	41	40.12	39.67			40.18(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	13	-130	7.62	46%	0.1	-57	0.94%	0	-0.7	43	0
22	Jun_13_2007	39.92	41.13	40.27	39.43			39.93(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-44	-10000	-4	-162	8.16	43%	0.1	-60.5	0.94%	0	-1	34	0
23	Jun_12_2007	39.88	41.26	40.44	39.5			39.15(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-10000	-19	-180	11.45	41%	0.08	-59.1	0.93%	0	-1.7	23	0
24	Jun_11_2007	39.85	41.43	40.65	39.85			39.8(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10000	-18	-177	9.54	44%	0.1	-56.5	0.91%	0	-1.4	25	0
25	Jun_8_2007	39.81	41.55	40.79	40.18			39.28(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-10000	-25	-181	19.76	41%		-51.5	0.9%	0	-2.1	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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