Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 27, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $39.2800 (1.47%) ($38.4000 - $39.4200) on Wed. Jun. 27, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $39.2800(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.89(-11.18%)
Resistance Level   $39.88
5 Day Moving Average   $39.02(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.48(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.88(-1.5%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2007	40.2	39.88	39.48	39.02			39.28(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	1	-38	12.41	33%	0.05	-60.1	1.01%	0	-0.6	54	0
2	Jun_26_2007	40.18	39.99	39.55	39			38.71(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-16	-51	12.72	30%	0.02	-64	1%	0	-1.3	40	0
3	Jun_25_2007	40.17	40.12	39.61	39.31			38.92(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-11	-48	9.4	30%	0.05	-65.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	37	0
4	Jun_22_2007	40.15	40.23	39.7	39.53			38.71(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10000	-17	-55	8.1	30%	0.02	-68.6	0.99%	0	-1.6	33	0
5	Jun_21_2007	40.14	40.35	39.77	39.87			39.46(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-8	-56	10.08	35%	0.07	-71.3	0.97%	0	-1	35	0

6	Jun_20_2007	40.11	40.48	39.74	40.02			39.21(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-7	-84	9.71	38%	0.07	-68.1	0.97%	0	-1.4	32	0
7	Jun_19_2007	40.08	40.65	39.85	40.16			40.26(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	12	-90	6.51	42%	0.1	-60.2	0.93%	0	-0.4	37	0
8	Jun_18_2007	40.04	40.77	39.89	39.94			40(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	2	-120	8.27	42%	0.1	-59.9	0.93%	0	-0.7	41	0
9	Jun_15_2007	40	40.9	40.02	39.9			40.44(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	12	-117	13.33	46%	0.1	-55.3	0.93%	0	-0.4	44	0
10	Jun_14_2007	39.96	41	40.12	39.67			40.18(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	13	-130	7.62	46%	0.1	-57	0.94%	0	-0.7	43	0

11	Jun_13_2007	39.92	41.13	40.27	39.43			39.93(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-44	-10000	-4	-162	8.16	43%	0.1	-60.5	0.94%	0	-1	34	0
12	Jun_12_2007	39.88	41.26	40.44	39.5			39.15(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-10000	-19	-180	11.45	41%	0.08	-59.1	0.93%	0	-1.7	23	0
13	Jun_11_2007	39.85	41.43	40.65	39.85			39.8(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10000	-18	-177	9.54	44%	0.1	-56.5	0.91%	0	-1.4	25	0
14	Jun_8_2007	39.81	41.55	40.79	40.18			39.28(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-10000	-25	-181	19.76	41%	0.08	-51.5	0.9%	0	-2.1	19	0
15	Jun_7_2007	39.78	41.7	40.99	40.64			39(-3.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-65	-10000	-31	-166	27.36	41%	0.08	-47.4	0.9%	0	-2.8	19	0

16	Jun_6_2007	39.75	41.89	41.3	41.21			40.25(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-48	-10000	-18	-137	15.42	50%	0.1	-40.1	0.81%	0	-2.3	23	0
17	Jun_5_2007	39.71	42	41.55	41.51			40.9(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-4	-104	15.76	51%	0.05	-31.7	0.8%	0	-1.8	29	0
18	Jun_4_2007	39.69	42.09	41.73	41.57			41.45(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-10000	4	-91	10.74	55%	0.13	-23.7	0.79%	0	-1.1	38	0
19	Jun_1_2007	39.64	42.12	41.86	41.5			41.61(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	7	-86	11.63	51%	0.15	-26	0.82%	0	-0.9	43	0
20	May_31_2007	39.58	42.16	41.96	41.39			41.84(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-26	-10000	-3	-94	6.21	55%	0.15	-32.5	0.8%	0	-0.6	49	0

21	May_30_2007	39.52	42.18	42.04	41.43			41.73(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-31	-10000	-11	-90	8.61	51%	0.15	-31.7	0.81%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	May_29_2007	39.46	42.19	42.12	41.62			41.22(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-18	-72	10.78	48%	0.2	-23.6	0.82%	0	-1.9	34	0
23	May_25_2007	39.38	42.22	42.25	41.93			41.1(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-10000	-17	-40	12.54	48%	0.13	-10.5	0.98%	0	-2.3	30	0
24	May_24_2007	39.33	42.27	42.37	42.28			41.08(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-13	-10000	-14	-10	14.91	48%	0.1	14.4	0.98%	0	-2.9	40	0
25	May_23_2007	39.29	42.33	42.48	42.58			42.02(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	-10000	-7	16	7.95	54%		57.9	0.95%	0	-1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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