Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.4400 (0.65%) ($40.2500 - $40.6500) on Fri. Jun. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $40.4400(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    VWO(56%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.73(-14.12%)
Resistance Level   $40.9
5 Day Moving Average   $39.9(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.02(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.9(-1.12%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.84% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2007	40	40.9	40.02	39.9			40.44(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	12	-117	13.33	46%	0.1	-55.3	0.93%	0	-0.4	44	0
2	Jun_14_2007	39.96	41	40.12	39.67			40.18(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	13	-130	7.62	46%	0.1	-57	0.94%	0	-0.7	43	0
3	Jun_13_2007	39.92	41.13	40.27	39.43			39.93(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-44	-10000	-4	-162	8.16	43%	0.1	-60.5	0.94%	0	-1	34	0
4	Jun_12_2007	39.88	41.26	40.44	39.5			39.15(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-10000	-19	-180	11.45	41%	0.08	-59.1	0.93%	0	-1.7	23	0
5	Jun_11_2007	39.85	41.43	40.65	39.85			39.8(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10000	-18	-177	9.54	44%	0.1	-56.5	0.91%	0	-1.4	25	0

6	Jun_8_2007	39.81	41.55	40.79	40.18			39.28(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-10000	-25	-181	19.76	41%	0.08	-51.5	0.9%	0	-2.1	19	0
7	Jun_7_2007	39.78	41.7	40.99	40.64			39(-3.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-65	-10000	-31	-166	27.36	41%	0.08	-47.4	0.9%	0	-2.8	19	0
8	Jun_6_2007	39.75	41.89	41.3	41.21			40.25(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-48	-10000	-18	-137	15.42	50%	0.1	-40.1	0.81%	0	-2.3	23	0
9	Jun_5_2007	39.71	42	41.55	41.51			40.9(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-4	-104	15.76	51%	0.05	-31.7	0.8%	0	-1.8	29	0
10	Jun_4_2007	39.69	42.09	41.73	41.57			41.45(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-10000	4	-91	10.74	55%	0.13	-23.7	0.79%	0	-1.1	38	0

11	Jun_1_2007	39.64	42.12	41.86	41.5			41.61(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	7	-86	11.63	51%	0.15	-26	0.82%	0	-0.9	43	0
12	May_31_2007	39.58	42.16	41.96	41.39			41.84(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-26	-10000	-3	-94	6.21	55%	0.15	-32.5	0.8%	0	-0.6	49	0
13	May_30_2007	39.52	42.18	42.04	41.43			41.73(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-31	-10000	-11	-90	8.61	51%	0.15	-31.7	0.81%	0	-0.8	41	0
14	May_29_2007	39.46	42.19	42.12	41.62			41.22(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-18	-72	10.78	48%	0.2	-23.6	0.82%	0	-1.9	34	0
15	May_25_2007	39.38	42.22	42.25	41.93			41.1(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-10000	-17	-40	12.54	48%	0.13	-10.5	0.98%	0	-2.3	30	0

16	May_24_2007	39.33	42.27	42.37	42.28			41.08(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-13	-10000	-14	-10	14.91	48%	0.1	14.4	0.98%	0	-2.9	40	0
17	May_23_2007	39.29	42.33	42.48	42.58			42.02(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	-10000	-7	16	7.95	54%	0.08	57.9	0.95%	0	-1	50	0
18	May_22_2007	39.26	42.34	42.53	42.72			42.69(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	1	34	5	57%	0.1	84.9	0.93%	0	1.1	59	0
19	May_21_2007	39.22	42.32	42.5	42.7			42.77(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	4	40	3.13	57%	0.15	96.1	0.93%	0	1.4	65	0
20	May_18_2007	39.16	42.27	42.48	42.62			42.83(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	7	49	2.33	57%	0.15	100	0.92%	0	1.7	71	0

21	May_17_2007	39.1	42.21	42.41	42.49			42.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	6	42	2.93	57%	0.15	94.1	0.93%	0	1.1	64	0
22	May_16_2007	39.04	42.14	42.36	42.37			42.7(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	3	32	3.84	57%	0.15	86.7	0.93%	0	1.5	58	0
23	May_15_2007	38.98	42.08	42.31	42.32			42.6(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	2	26	5.09	55%	0.1	86.3	0.93%	0	1.3	54	0
24	May_14_2007	38.94	42.01	42.25	42.28			42.37(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-2	19	2.34	56%	0.15	78.1	0.94%	0	0.8	53	0
25	May_11_2007	38.88	41.94	42.18	42.32			42.2(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	1	21	3.63	58%		71.4	0.94%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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