Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $42.2000 (0.48%) ($42.0000 - $42.3100) on Fri. May. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $42.2000(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.32(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.18(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.94(0.62%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2007	38.88	41.94	42.18	42.32			42.2(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	1	21	3.63	58%	0.15	71.4	0.94%	0	0.5	56	0
2	May_10_2007	38.82	41.88	42.15	42.3			42(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-2	22	3.89	58%	0.15	64.9	0.94%	0	0.2	59	0
3	May_9_2007	38.76	41.82	42.16	42.34			42.43(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	39	2.16	60%	0.13	65.5	0.94%	0	1.1	70	0
4	May_8_2007	38.71	41.74	42.15	42.29			42.4(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	4	49	2.87	60%	0.16	65.5	0.94%	0	1.1	65	0
5	May_7_2007	38.65	41.67	42.12	42.21			42.59(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	10	60	2.02	60%	0.16	66.4	0.93%	0	1.6	71	0

6	May_4_2007	38.59	41.59	42.05	42.02			42.09(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	56	2.75	61%	0.13	71.5	0.92%	0	0.9	70	0
7	May_3_2007	38.54	41.52	42	42.02			42.17(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	0	63	1.59	61%	0.16	71.9	0.92%	0	1.2	74	0
8	May_2_2007	38.48	41.44	41.91	41.97			42.22(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	-0	72	2.76	61%	0.13	76.8	0.93%	0	1.4	75	0
9	May_1_2007	38.43	41.36	41.83	41.98			41.99(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10000	-2	82	3.43	62%	0.13	85.9	0.93%	0	1.1	68	0
10	Apr_30_2007	38.38	41.3	41.76	42.02			41.65(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-10000	-3	89	4.73	62%	0.13	93.4	0.92%	0	0.6	62	0

11	Apr_27_2007	38.33	41.2	41.7	42.07			41.81(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	3	99	4.2	62%	0.16	84.5	0.91%	0	1	65	0
12	Apr_26_2007	38.27	41.12	41.59	42.02			42.16(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	9	99	2.48	62%	0.13	82.2	0.91%	0	1.6	77	0
13	Apr_25_2007	38.22	41.01	41.45	41.84			42.3(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	-10000	9	88	2.99	62%	0.16	76.7	0.91%	0	1.9	82	0
14	Apr_24_2007	38.16	40.89	41.31	41.67			42.18(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	11	79	2.68	62%	0.13	79.9	0.91%	0	2	75	0
15	Apr_23_2007	38.11	40.78	41.18	41.46			41.88(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	10	67	4.34	63%	0.13	89.3	0.91%	0	1.9	73	0

16	Apr_20_2007	38.06	40.67	41.09	41.28			41.57(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	9	71	2.66	63%	0.16	98.5	0.9%	0	1.7	80	0
17	Apr_19_2007	38	40.58	41	41.11			41.25(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	6	64	4.12	63%	0.13	98.5	0.91%	0	1.2	67	0
18	Apr_18_2007	37.95	40.5	40.93	41			41.45(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	6	66	1.48	63%	0.13	106.8	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0
19	Apr_17_2007	37.9	40.39	40.85	40.89			41.15(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	1	66	2.98	63%	0.16	107.9	0.9%	0	1.4	69	0
20	Apr_16_2007	37.84	40.27	40.8	40.89			40.96(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	0	74	1.57	63%	0.13	96.2	0.9%	0	1.1	66	0

21	Apr_13_2007	37.79	40.15	40.68	40.89			40.72(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	75	2.47	63%	0.08	85.2	0.9%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Apr_12_2007	37.76	40.05	40.62	40.87			40.73(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	2	83	3.04	61%	0.13	84.9	0.91%	0	0.9	68	0
23	Apr_11_2007	37.71	39.93	40.54	40.83			40.91(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	83	4.22	61%	0.13	78.6	0.91%	0	1.2	71	0
24	Apr_10_2007	37.66	39.8	40.45	40.79			41.01(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	4	93	2.71	61%	0.16	72.8	0.91%	0	1.4	77	0
25	Apr_9_2007	37.6	39.68	40.35	40.71			41(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	14	113	3.45	61%		77.9	0.91%	0	1.5	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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