Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $36.3700 (0.33%) ($36.1500 - $36.4700) on Wed. Jan. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $36.3700(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    VWO(56%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.15(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.1(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.31(0.17%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2007	35.6	36.31	36.1	36.15			36.37(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	6	-28	2.97	54%	0.06	-46.2	0.54%	0	0.2	33	0
2	Jan_23_2007	35.58	36.33	36.07	36.09			36.25(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	6	-55	3.46	54%	0.03	-56.3	0.54%	0	-0.2	33	0
3	Jan_22_2007	35.57	36.35	36.05	36.03			36.04(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	3	-86	2.78	52%	0.03	-66.7	0.53%	0	-0.9	25	0
4	Jan_19_2007	35.56	36.39	36.06	36			36.05(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-2	-117	2.43	54%	0.06	-72.7	0.54%	0	-0.9	22	0
5	Jan_18_2007	35.54	36.42	36.13	36.02			36.04(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-2	-115	2.21	57%	0.03	-75.8	0.54%	0	-1.1	31	0

6	Jan_17_2007	35.53	36.47	36.2	36.04			36.06(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-1	-103	1.72	57%	0.06	-75	0.56%	0	-1.2	38	0
7	Jan_16_2007	35.51	36.53	36.26	36.05			35.98(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-3	-104	4.05	57%	0.08	-68.8	0.56%	0	-1.6	33	0
8	Jan_12_2007	35.48	36.59	36.33	36.08			35.87(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-4	-102	10.25	57%	0.03	-65.6	0.56%	0	-2.1	30	0
9	Jan_11_2007	35.47	36.65	36.44	36.12			36.17(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-12	-100	4.54	61%	0.06	-62.4	0.54%	0	-1.4	32	0
10	Jan_10_2007	35.45	36.7	36.5	36.24			36.13(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-14	-80	1.92	62%	0.06	-52.6	0.55%	0	-1.6	37	0

11	Jan_9_2007	35.43	36.73	36.55	36.38			36.12(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-12	-67	2.34	62%	0.06	-43	0.55%	0	-1.8	32	0
12	Jan_8_2007	35.41	36.77	36.61	36.5			36.09(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-10000	-13	-65	2.42	62%	0.06	-34.5	0.55%	0	-2.2	26	0
13	Jan_5_2007	35.39	36.82	36.68	36.63			36.11(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-27	-10000	-16	-59	3.78	62%	0.06	-21.1	0.56%	0	-2.7	28	0
14	Jan_4_2007	35.37	36.87	36.76	36.8			36.77(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	1	-37	2.96	70%	0.08	19.2	0.51%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	Jan_3_2007	35.34	36.87	36.75	36.79			36.82(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	5	-45	4.23	70%	0.14	48.1	0.51%	0	-0.3	46	0

16	Dec_29_2006	35.29	36.87	36.76	36.79			36.72(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	0	-52	1.31	67%	0.09	53.8	0.51%	0	-0.8	50	0
17	Dec_28_2006	35.26	36.88	36.81	36.79			36.73(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	0	-40	1.41	67%	0.09	69.2	0.53%	0	-0.8	47	0
18	Dec_27_2006	35.23	36.87	36.86	36.74			36.95(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	2	-32	1.45	73%	0.09	75.4	0.52%	0	0.4	50	0
19	Dec_26_2006	35.2	36.83	36.87	36.72			36.75(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-35	1.39	72%	0.11	60.3	0.54%	0	-0.3	42	0
20	Dec_22_2006	35.16	36.79	36.9	36.7			36.57(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-8	-42	2.59	74%	0.09	39.6	0.56%	0	-0.6	40	0

21	Dec_21_2006	35.13	36.77	36.92	36.78			36.7(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-12	-31	4.14	74%	0.06	48.5	0.56%	0	-0.2	51	0
22	Dec_20_2006	35.11	36.75	36.94	36.9			36.72(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-10	-7	1.05	74%	0.06	56	0.56%	0	-0.1	51	0
23	Dec_19_2006	35.09	36.71	36.97	37			36.84(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-6	22	2.42	74%	0.11	59.8	0.56%	0	0.3	59	0
24	Dec_18_2006	35.05	36.67	36.99	37.06			36.68(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-6	60	1.9	74%	0.06	60	0.56%	0	0	66	0
25	Dec_15_2006	35.03	36.64	37.03	37.12			36.94(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	4	109	2.76	74%		62.6	0.55%	0	0.6	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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