Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $36.9500 (0.54%) ($36.8200 - $37.0100) on Wed. Dec. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $36.9500(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    VWO(56%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.74(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.86(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.87(0.22%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2006	35.23	36.87	36.86	36.74			36.95(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	2	-32	1.45	73%	0.09	75.4	0.52%	0	0.4	50	0
2	Dec_26_2006	35.2	36.83	36.87	36.72			36.75(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-35	1.39	72%	0.11	60.3	0.54%	0	-0.3	42	0
3	Dec_22_2006	35.16	36.79	36.9	36.7			36.57(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-8	-42	2.59	74%	0.09	39.6	0.56%	0	-0.6	40	0
4	Dec_21_2006	35.13	36.77	36.92	36.78			36.7(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-12	-31	4.14	74%	0.06	48.5	0.56%	0	-0.2	51	0
5	Dec_20_2006	35.11	36.75	36.94	36.9			36.72(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-10	-7	1.05	74%	0.06	56	0.56%	0	-0.1	51	0

6	Dec_19_2006	35.09	36.71	36.97	37			36.84(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-6	22	2.42	74%	0.11	59.8	0.56%	0	0.3	59	0
7	Dec_18_2006	35.05	36.67	36.99	37.06			36.68(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-6	60	1.9	74%	0.06	60	0.56%	0	0	66	0
8	Dec_15_2006	35.03	36.64	37.03	37.12			36.94(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	4	109	2.76	74%	0.09	62.6	0.55%	0	0.6	75	0
9	Dec_14_2006	35	36.6	37.01	37.08			37.31(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	8	123	2.99	78%	0.11	63.4	0.54%	0	1.4	71	0
10	Dec_13_2006	34.96	36.52	36.95	37			37.25(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	7	127	1.79	78%	0.09	61.2	0.55%	0	1.5	72	0

11	Dec_12_2006	34.93	36.46	36.88	37			37.11(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	0	131	2.84	78%	0.11	69	0.55%	0	1.4	72	0
12	Dec_11_2006	34.89	36.4	36.78	36.93			36.97(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10000	-1	137	1.9	78%	0.09	75.8	0.55%	0	1.3	71	0
13	Dec_8_2006	34.86	36.34	36.67	36.94			36.77(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	35	-10000	1	137	1.99	78%	0.09	82.6	0.55%	0	1	65	0
14	Dec_7_2006	34.83	36.29	36.62	36.93			36.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	3	144	3.02	78%	0.11	79	0.55%	0	1.3	68	0
15	Dec_6_2006	34.79	36.23	36.54	36.9			36.92(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	-10000	8	150	1.99	78%	0.12	74.2	0.55%	0	1.5	71	0

16	Dec_5_2006	34.75	36.15	36.44	36.82			37.1(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10000	21	145	4.03	73%	0.14	63.8	0.55%	0	2.1	71	0
17	Dec_4_2006	34.7	36.06	36.32	36.61			37.01(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	23	110	1.99	73%	0.12	52.6	0.57%	0	2.3	72	0
18	Dec_1_2006	34.66	35.98	36.22	36.37			36.72(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	11	72	2.53	72%	0.12	39.8	0.56%	0	2	68	0
19	Nov_30_2006	34.62	35.94	36.14	36.26			36.74(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	13	65	2.64	74%	0.12	36	0.57%	0	2.5	73	0
20	Nov_29_2006	34.58	35.9	36.05	36.13			36.51(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	11	50	3.17	73%	0.12	29.2	0.57%	0	2.3	70	0

21	Nov_28_2006	34.54	35.86	35.99	36.02			36.06(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	50	1.91	72%	0.09	24.6	0.55%	0	0.9	71	0
22	Nov_27_2006	34.51	35.86	35.98	35.99			35.8(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-5	57	2.35	71%	0.09	23	0.55%	0	-0.2	62	0
23	Nov_24_2006	34.48	35.84	35.99	36.04			36.2(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	4	82	0.3	76%	0.17	32.8	0.53%	0	1.6	67	0
24	Nov_22_2006	34.42	35.84	35.94	36			36.06(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	4	68	1.66	71%	0.06	41.1	0.55%	0	1.2	54	0
25	Nov_21_2006	34.4	35.82	35.9	35.96			35.98(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	0	51	0.98	71%		55.4	0.55%	0	0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.