Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $36.9700 (0.54%) ($36.7700 - $36.9700) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $36.9700(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(66%)    VWO(56%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(11%)    USO(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.93(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.78(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.4(1.57%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2006	34.89	36.4	36.78	36.93			36.97(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10000	-1	137	1.9	78%	0.09	75.8	0.55%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Dec_8_2006	34.86	36.34	36.67	36.94			36.77(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	35	-10000	1	137	1.99	78%	0.09	82.6	0.55%	0	1	65	0
3	Dec_7_2006	34.83	36.29	36.62	36.93			36.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	3	144	3.02	78%	0.11	79	0.55%	0	1.3	68	0
4	Dec_6_2006	34.79	36.23	36.54	36.9			36.92(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	-10000	8	150	1.99	78%	0.12	74.2	0.55%	0	1.5	71	0
5	Dec_5_2006	34.75	36.15	36.44	36.82			37.1(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10000	21	145	4.03	73%	0.14	63.8	0.55%	0	2.1	71	0

6	Dec_4_2006	34.7	36.06	36.32	36.61			37.01(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	23	110	1.99	73%	0.12	52.6	0.57%	0	2.3	72	0
7	Dec_1_2006	34.66	35.98	36.22	36.37			36.72(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	11	72	2.53	72%	0.12	39.8	0.56%	0	2	68	0
8	Nov_30_2006	34.62	35.94	36.14	36.26			36.74(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	13	65	2.64	74%	0.12	36	0.57%	0	2.5	73	0
9	Nov_29_2006	34.58	35.9	36.05	36.13			36.51(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	11	50	3.17	73%	0.12	29.2	0.57%	0	2.3	70	0
10	Nov_28_2006	34.54	35.86	35.99	36.02			36.06(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	50	1.91	72%	0.09	24.6	0.55%	0	0.9	71	0

11	Nov_27_2006	34.51	35.86	35.98	35.99			35.8(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-5	57	2.35	71%	0.09	23	0.55%	0	-0.2	62	0
12	Nov_24_2006	34.48	35.84	35.99	36.04			36.2(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	4	82	0.3	76%	0.17	32.8	0.53%	0	1.6	67	0
13	Nov_22_2006	34.42	35.84	35.94	36			36.06(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	4	68	1.66	71%	0.06	41.1	0.55%	0	1.2	54	0
14	Nov_21_2006	34.4	35.82	35.9	36			35.98(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	0	51	0.98	71%	0.09	55.4	0.55%	0	0.8	48	0
15	Nov_20_2006	34.37	35.8	35.83	36			35.92(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	0	39	1.05	71%	0.12	73.2	0.55%	0	0.6	53	0

16	Nov_17_2006	34.33	35.79	35.79	35.96			36.04(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	3	31	1.79	73%	0.12	94.6	0.56%	0	1.3	56	0
17	Nov_16_2006	34.29	35.77	35.74	35.93			36(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	7	24	3.73	69%	0.12	110.2	0.56%	0	1.1	55	0
18	Nov_15_2006	34.25	35.74	35.72	35.86			35.87(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	4	9	3.27	69%	0.15	112.5	0.58%	0	0.6	48	0
19	Nov_14_2006	34.2	35.71	35.73	35.82			35.99(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	13	4	3.78	69%	0.12	100	0.58%	0	1	46	0
20	Nov_13_2006	34.16	35.66	35.7	35.68			35.9(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	10	-17	2.26	69%	0.12	77.9	0.58%	0	0.7	55	0

21	Nov_10_2006	34.12	35.6	35.69	35.58			35.91(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	6	-32	2.91	69%	0.12	66.1	0.58%	0	0.8	55	0
22	Nov_9_2006	34.08	35.54	35.67	35.52			35.64(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-4	-43	7.98	68%	0.12	58.3	0.58%	0	0.2	52	0
23	Nov_8_2006	34.04	35.48	35.69	35.56			35.65(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-26	4.04	69%	0.12	58	0.58%	0	0.3	57	0
24	Nov_7_2006	34	35.43	35.73	35.63			35.3(-0.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-6	-10000	-10	6	5.16	63%	0.12	57.3	0.58%	0	-0.2	55	0
25	Nov_6_2006	33.96	35.39	35.77	35.73			35.42(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-6	44	6.93	63%		58.5	0.59%	0	0.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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