Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.4600 (0.24%) ($33.3200 - $33.6600) on Fri. Jul. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $33.4600(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.14(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.96(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.56(2.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2006	31.7	32.56	32.96	33.14			33.46(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	11	78	4.24	56%	0.03	66.3	0.9%	0	1.7	72	0
2	Jul_20_2006	31.69	32.47	32.86	32.98			33.38(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	10	67	2.26	56%	0.03	53.1	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0
3	Jul_19_2006	31.68	32.38	32.75	32.83			33.3(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	21	-10000	7	61	3.35	56%	0	46.4	0.9%	0	1.9	77	0
4	Jul_18_2006	31.68	32.3	32.66	32.73			32.8(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-2	61	4.62	56%	0	40.1	0.89%	0	1.1	74	0
5	Jul_17_2006	31.68	32.25	32.64	32.76			32.75(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	1	81	2.9	56%	0.03	33.6	0.91%	0	1.1	70	0

6	Jul_14_2006	31.67	32.21	32.6	32.75			32.66(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	2	94	5.64	56%	0	30.7	0.91%	0	1	70	0
7	Jul_13_2006	31.67	32.2	32.55	32.72			32.66(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	5	104	6.69	56%	0	32.1	0.92%	0	1.1	71	0
8	Jul_12_2006	31.67	32.16	32.47	32.64			32.78(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	5	98	3.84	56%	0	26	0.92%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Jul_11_2006	31.67	32.12	32.36	32.57			32.94(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	4	90	4.1	54%	0.06	22.3	0.92%	0	2.1	73	0
10	Jul_10_2006	31.65	32.1	32.24	32.51			32.69(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	5	88	5.48	54%	0	25	0.93%	0	1.6	72	0

11	Jul_7_2006	31.65	32.08	32.14	32.43			32.51(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	5	72	1.42	52%	0.03	18.9	0.93%	0	1.3	56	0
12	Jul_6_2006	31.64	32.06	32.05	32.36			32.26(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	7	52	1.68	50%	0	14.6	0.94%	0	0.6	45	0
13	Jul_5_2006	31.64	32.05	31.99	32.26			32.43(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	10	39	2.06	51%	0.03	9.7	0.95%	0	1.2	58	0
14	Jul_3_2006	31.63	32.04	31.92	32.11			32.65(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	12	-10000	11	16	0.89	53%	0.03	9.3	0.96%	0	2	56	0
15	Jun_30_2006	31.62	32.01	31.82	31.94			32.29(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	9	-20	3.58	49%	0	2.1	0.95%	0	0.9	43	0

16	Jun_29_2006	31.62	32.02	31.79	31.81			32.17(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	7	-41	2.31	49%	0.03	8.5	0.95%	0	0.5	43	0
17	Jun_28_2006	31.61	32.01	31.8	31.7			31.76(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	1	-54	4.1	47%	0	16	0.94%	0	-0.8	42	0
18	Jun_27_2006	31.61	32.02	31.82	31.69			31.67(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-60	2.52	47%	0	26.2	0.94%	0	-1.1	44	0
19	Jun_26_2006	31.61	32.01	31.87	31.71			31.79(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	1.76	47%	0	28.2	0.95%	0	-0.7	43	0
20	Jun_23_2006	31.61	32	31.94	31.68			31.66(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-6	-59	1.06	47%	0	33	0.95%	0	-1	42	0

21	Jun_22_2006	31.61	31.99	32.01	31.77			31.61(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-11	-53	2.79	47%	-0.03	43.1	0.95%	0	-1	35	0
22	Jun_21_2006	31.62	31.97	32.08	31.93			31.72(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-3	-33	1.53	46%	0	51.1	0.95%	0	-0.6	45	0
23	Jun_20_2006	31.62	31.93	32.12	31.97			31.75(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-5	-25	2.51	45%	-0.03	43.3	0.95%	0	-0.4	51	0
24	Jun_19_2006	31.63	31.91	32.17	32.05			31.67(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-11	-4	4.66	45%	-0.03	46.1	0.97%	0	-0.5	58	0
25	Jun_16_2006	31.64	31.89	32.22	32.22			32.11(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-5	27	2.3	45%		52.1	0.96%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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