Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 29, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $32.1700 (1.29%) ($31.8100 - $32.2400) on Thu. Jun. 29, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $32.1700(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    XOP(-3%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.81(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.79(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.02(0.47%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2006	31.62	32.02	31.79	31.81			32.17(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	7	-41	2.31	49%	0.03	8.5	0.95%	0	0.5	43	0
2	Jun_28_2006	31.61	32.01	31.8	31.7			31.76(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	1	-54	4.1	47%	0	16	0.94%	0	-0.8	42	0
3	Jun_27_2006	31.61	32.02	31.82	31.69			31.67(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-60	2.52	47%	0	26.2	0.94%	0	-1.1	44	0
4	Jun_26_2006	31.61	32.01	31.87	31.71			31.79(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	1.76	47%	0	28.2	0.95%	0	-0.7	43	0
5	Jun_23_2006	31.61	32	31.94	31.68			31.66(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-6	-59	1.06	47%	0	33	0.95%	0	-1	42	0

6	Jun_22_2006	31.61	31.99	32.01	31.77			31.61(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-11	-53	2.79	47%	-0.03	43.1	0.95%	0	-1	35	0
7	Jun_21_2006	31.62	31.97	32.08	31.93			31.72(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-3	-33	1.53	46%	0	51.1	0.95%	0	-0.6	45	0
8	Jun_20_2006	31.62	31.93	32.12	31.97			31.75(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-5	-25	2.51	45%	-0.03	43.3	0.95%	0	-0.4	51	0
9	Jun_19_2006	31.63	31.91	32.17	32.05			31.67(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-11	-4	4.66	45%	-0.03	46.1	0.97%	0	-0.5	58	0
10	Jun_16_2006	31.64	31.89	32.22	32.22			32.11(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-5	27	2.3	45%	0	52.1	0.96%	0	0.4	57	0

11	Jun_15_2006	31.64	31.83	32.26	32.29			32.4(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	61	4.47	45%	0	46	0.96%	0	1	65	0
12	Jun_14_2006	31.64	31.75	32.26	32.25			31.91(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-3	78	2.75	45%	-0.03	34.4	0.94%	0	0.3	64	0
13	Jun_13_2006	31.65	31.73	32.24	32.29			32.15(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-1	102	6.81	45%	0	33.3	0.94%	0	0.7	69	0
14	Jun_12_2006	31.65	31.69	32.16	32.3			32.54(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	5	109	7.72	46%	-0.03	31.1	0.93%	0	1.5	66	0
15	Jun_9_2006	31.66	31.62	32.07	32.22			32.47(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	27	-10000	-1	111	3.28	46%	0	21.8	0.93%	0	1.5	67	0

16	Jun_8_2006	31.66	31.58	31.96	32.24			32.2(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	1	124	13.84	46%	0	26.1	0.93%	0	1.2	68	0
17	Jun_7_2006	31.66	31.56	31.85	32.23			32.09(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	3	130	2.56	46%	-0.03	30.4	0.93%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Jun_6_2006	31.67	31.53	31.73	32.18			32.21(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	12	123	4.04	44%	0.03	30.3	0.93%	0	1.4	60	0
19	Jun_5_2006	31.66	31.51	31.64	32			32.15(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	98	2.23	44%	0	29.5	0.95%	0	1.4	57	0
20	Jun_2_2006	31.66	31.5	31.53	31.89			32.54(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10000	17	90	4.73	45%	0	30.9	0.94%	0	2.2	64	0

21	Jun_1_2006	31.66	31.44	31.36	31.64			32.15(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	-10000	16	48	2.69	44%	0	22	0.93%	0	1.8	54	0
22	May_31_2006	31.66	31.4	31.22	31.41			31.83(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	13	1	2.29	42%	0	15.3	0.94%	0	1.2	47	0
23	May_30_2006	31.66	31.39	31.16	31.22			31.31(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-32	2.17	39%	-0.03	6.1	0.92%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	May_26_2006	31.67	31.37	31.17	31.23			31.63(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	8	-39	2.62	42%	0	0.9	0.9%	0	0.7	44	0
25	May_25_2006	31.67	31.36	31.13	31.12			31.29(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	7	-71	3.2	40%		-7.1	0.89%	0	-0.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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