Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.6600 (-0.85%) ($31.6100 - $31.9800) on Tue. May. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $31.6600(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.73(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.47(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.15(1.64%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2006	31.74	31.15	31.47	31.73			31.66(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	1	69	1.23	49%	0	37	0.83%	0	0.9	60	0
2	May_8_2006	31.74	31.1	31.42	31.71			31.93(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	14	79	1.51	50%	0	34.7	0.83%	0	1.6	65	0
3	May_5_2006	31.74	31.03	31.37	31.53			32.18(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	13	86	4.03	50%	-0.03	25.5	0.81%	0	2.3	73	0
4	May_4_2006	31.75	31.03	31.27	31.36			31.47(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	5	88	1.8	46%	-0.03	19.9	0.77%	0	1.2	68	0
5	May_3_2006	31.76	30.97	31.23	31.3			31.43(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	11	101	3.26	46%	-0.03	17.6	0.78%	0	1.1	65	0

6	May_2_2006	31.77	30.95	31.18	31.17			31.53(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	7	96	4.42	43%	0	10.6	0.78%	0	1.4	67	0
7	May_1_2006	31.77	30.91	31.1	31.08			31.03(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-9	84	2.14	40%	-0.03	0	0.77%	0	0.3	56	0
8	Apr_28_2006	31.78	30.9	31.03	31.19			31.33(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	2	97	1.83	41%	0	-0.8	0.75%	0	1.1	60	0
9	Apr_27_2006	31.78	30.9	30.93	31.17			31.19(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	76	5.39	41%	0	-7.3	0.75%	0	0.8	50	0
10	Apr_26_2006	31.78	30.89	30.85	31.15			30.78(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-10000	-3	47	2.45	36%	-0.03	-11.1	0.74%	0	-0.3	38	0

11	Apr_25_2006	31.79	30.89	30.81	31.18			31.09(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	5	34	2.89	36%	0	-13.5	0.73%	0	0.5	47	0
12	Apr_24_2006	31.79	30.91	30.76	31.12			31.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	24	28	1.9	40%	0	-21.7	0.73%	0	1.6	58	0
13	Apr_21_2006	31.79	30.9	30.66	30.85			31.25(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	18	-18	2.66	38%	-0.03	-49.2	0.73%	0	0.9	56	0
14	Apr_20_2006	31.8	30.91	30.64	30.65			31.11(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	13	-50	1.96	38%	0	-70.7	0.73%	0	0.5	49	0
15	Apr_19_2006	31.8	30.93	30.66	30.5			30.89(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	10	-71	2.47	38%	-0.03	-84.9	0.72%	0	-0.1	42	0

16	Apr_18_2006	31.81	30.96	30.66	30.39			30.79(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-20	-10000	3	-90	5.58	38%	-0.03	-95.2	0.73%	0	-0.4	44	0
17	Apr_17_2006	31.82	31	30.69	30.36			30.21(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-9	-117	1.55	35%	-0.03	-94.1	0.69%	0	-1.7	33	0
18	Apr_13_2006	31.83	31.1	30.76	30.45			30.24(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-17	-123	1.83	35%	-0.06	-72.2	0.7%	0	-1.5	30	0
19	Apr_12_2006	31.85	31.21	30.84	30.63			30.38(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-20	-109	2.57	35%	-0.03	-57	0.71%	0	-1.5	31	0
20	Apr_11_2006	31.86	31.3	30.94	30.85			30.31(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-16	-82	2.37	35%	-0.03	-41.5	0.71%	0	-1.8	29	0

21	Apr_10_2006	31.87	31.39	31.03	31.03			30.66(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-4	-61	2.42	37%	0	-32.7	0.69%	0	-1.5	37	0
22	Apr_7_2006	31.87	31.45	31.1	31.07			30.67(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-3	-66	3.74	37%	-0.03	-32.9	0.69%	0	-1.7	33	0
23	Apr_6_2006	31.88	31.51	31.18	31.1			31.11(-1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	1	-77	2.57	43%	0.03	-40.4	0.68%	0	-0.9	32	0
24	Apr_5_2006	31.87	31.51	31.18	31.09			31.5(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-24	-10000	3	-104	3.17	46%	0.03	-52.6	0.67%	0	-0.1	31	0
25	Apr_4_2006	31.86	31.53	31.22	31.06			31.2(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	1	-130	5.01	43%		-63.9	0.67%	0	-0.8	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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