Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 25, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.0900 (-1.43%) ($30.9600 - $31.4600) on Tue. Apr. 25, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $31.0900(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.18(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.81(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.91(0.58%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2006	31.79		30.81	31.18			31.09(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	5	34	2.89	36%	0	-13.5	0.73%	0	0.5	47	0
2	Apr_24_2006	31.79	30.91	30.76	31.12			31.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	24	28	1.9	40%	0	-21.7	0.73%	0	1.6	58	0
3	Apr_21_2006	31.79	30.9	30.66	30.85			31.25(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	18	-18	2.66	38%	-0.03	-49.2	0.73%	0	0.9	56	0
4	Apr_20_2006	31.8	30.91	30.64	30.65			31.11(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	13	-50	1.96	38%	0	-70.7	0.73%	0	0.5	49	0
5	Apr_19_2006	31.8	30.93	30.66	30.5			30.89(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	10	-71	2.47	38%	-0.03	-84.9	0.72%	0	-0.1	42	0

6	Apr_18_2006	31.81	30.96	30.66	30.39			30.79(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-20	-10000	3	-90	5.58	38%	-0.03	-95.2	0.73%	0	-0.4	44	0
7	Apr_17_2006	31.82	31	30.69	30.36			30.21(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-9	-117	1.55	35%	-0.03	-94.1	0.69%	0	-1.7	33	0
8	Apr_13_2006	31.83	31.1	30.76	30.45			30.24(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-17	-123	1.83	35%	-0.06	-72.2	0.7%	0	-1.5	30	0
9	Apr_12_2006	31.85	31.21	30.84	30.63			30.38(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-20	-109	2.57	35%	-0.03	-57	0.71%	0	-1.5	31	0
10	Apr_11_2006	31.86	31.3	30.94	30.85			30.31(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-16	-82	2.37	35%	-0.03	-41.5	0.71%	0	-1.8	29	0

11	Apr_10_2006	31.87	31.39	31.03	31.03			30.66(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-4	-61	2.42	37%	0	-32.7	0.69%	0	-1.5	37	0
12	Apr_7_2006	31.87	31.45	31.1	31.07			30.67(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-3	-66	3.74	37%	-0.03	-32.9	0.69%	0	-1.7	33	0
13	Apr_6_2006	31.88	31.51	31.18	31.1			31.11(-1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	1	-77	2.57	43%	0.03	-40.4	0.68%	0	-0.9	32	0
14	Apr_5_2006	31.87	31.51	31.18	31.09			31.5(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-24	-10000	3	-104	3.17	46%	0.03	-52.6	0.67%	0	-0.1	31	0
15	Apr_4_2006	31.86	31.53	31.22	31.06			31.2(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	1	-130	5.01	43%	0	-63.9	0.67%	0	-0.8	30	0

16	Apr_3_2006	31.86	31.56	31.25	31.05			30.87(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-10000	-8	-159	2.61	46%	0.03	-75.2	0.65%	0	-1.6	29	0
17	Mar_31_2006	31.85	31.61	31.33	31.13			30.83(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-12	-142	4.08	46%	0	-83.1	0.7%	0	-1.9	37	0
18	Mar_30_2006	31.85	31.68	31.46	31.26			31.06(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-9	-113	2.68	48%	0	-78.3	0.7%	0	-1.5	41	0
19	Mar_29_2006	31.85	31.75	31.59	31.36			31.34(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-5	-77	2.49	50%	0	-72.1	0.69%	0	-1	49	0
20	Mar_28_2006	31.85	31.8	31.69	31.41			31.15(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-6	-54	5.87	50%	0.03	-67.4	0.69%	0	-1.5	44	0

21	Mar_27_2006	31.84	31.88	31.78	31.47			31.28(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-7	-35	1.84	50%	0	-59.4	0.69%	0	-1.4	45	0
22	Mar_24_2006	31.84	31.95	31.84	31.55			31.49(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-12	-27	1.19	50%	0	-51.1	0.69%	0	-1.1	45	0
23	Mar_23_2006	31.84	32	31.86	31.68			31.55(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-17	-22	2.27	50%	0.03	-38.9	0.69%	0	-1.1	37	0
24	Mar_22_2006	31.83	32.05	31.86	31.87			31.59(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-13	-17	2.83	50%	0.03	-19.8	0.69%	0	-1.1	35	0
25	Mar_21_2006	31.82	32.09	31.87	32.01			31.44(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-12	-16	2.41	50%		-3.1	0.69%	0	-1.6	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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