Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.7600 (0.16%) ($31.5800 - $32.0000) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $31.7600(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $32.09
5 Day Moving Average   $31.75(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.74(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.09(-1.03%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2006	31.71	32.09	31.74	31.75			31.76(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	2	-58	2.89	68%	-0.03	-32.1	0.73%	0	-0.8	37	0
2	Feb_14_2006	31.72	32.13	31.78	31.73			31.71(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-10000	1	-68	2.7	68%	-0.03	-27.6	0.73%	0	-1	30	0
3	Feb_13_2006	31.73	32.17	31.82	31.72			31.74(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-24	-10000	-2	-90	1.61	68%	-0.03	-23.1	0.73%	0	-1	24	0
4	Feb_10_2006	31.74	32.2	31.86	31.74			31.78(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	2	-97	3.77	68%	-0.03	-22.3	0.74%	0	-1	33	0
5	Feb_9_2006	31.75	32.21	31.92	31.72			31.76(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-110	3.08	68%	-0.03	-22.8	0.75%	0	-1.1	32	0

6	Feb_8_2006	31.76	32.23	31.97	31.73			31.65(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-10	-129	2.05	68%	-0.06	-23.4	0.75%	0	-1.5	28	0
7	Feb_7_2006	31.78	32.25	32.05	31.85			31.66(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-7	-116	1.76	68%	-0.06	-16.1	0.75%	0	-1.6	36	0
8	Feb_6_2006	31.8	32.27	32.17	31.94			31.85(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-6	-96	2.46	68%	-0.06	-1.8	0.75%	0	-1.2	39	0
9	Feb_3_2006	31.82	32.29	32.25	32.01			31.66(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-12	-82	2.53	68%	-0.03	11.4	0.75%	0	-1.9	44	0
10	Feb_2_2006	31.83	32.31	32.36	32.15			31.82(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-7	-45	5.53	68%	-0.06	27.5	0.74%	0	-1.5	51	0

11	Feb_1_2006	31.85	32.32	32.47	32.23			32.24(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-4	-13	2.78	65%	-0.03	39.4	0.72%	0	-0.2	57	0
12	Jan_31_2006	31.86	32.31	32.51	32.28			32.15(-0.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-9	-10000	-13	3	2.68	68%	-0.03	46.5	0.77%	0	-0.5	55	0
13	Jan_30_2006	31.87	32.28	32.55	32.44			32.17(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-8	38	1.36	68%	-0.03	53.9	0.78%	0	-0.3	56	0
14	Jan_27_2006	31.88	32.25	32.57	32.54			32.39(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-5	51	2.29	71%	-0.03	52.1	0.82%	0	0.4	55	0
15	Jan_26_2006	31.89	32.22	32.53	32.61			32.21(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-10000	-10	61	3.14	67%	-0.03	50	0.83%	0	-0	59	0

16	Jan_25_2006	31.9	32.2	32.52	32.74			32.5(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-2	81	4.17	70%	-0.03	56.2	0.84%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Jan_24_2006	31.91	32.16	32.48	32.77			32.95(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	92	2.21	78%	0.03	53.3	0.82%	0	1.8	69	0
18	Jan_23_2006	31.9	32.1	32.38	32.68			32.66(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	6	90	6.16	77%	0	43	0.87%	0	1.4	75	0
19	Jan_20_2006	31.9	32.05	32.33	32.59			32.71(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	10	94	4.06	70%	-0.03	28.7	0.88%	0	1.7	70	0
20	Jan_19_2006	31.91	32.01	32.24	32.45			32.9(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	13	79	7.8	70%	0.03	16.4	0.94%	0	2.4	73	0

21	Jan_18_2006	31.9	31.95	32.15	32.26			32.61(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	7	62	8.65	65%	0	6.4	0.94%	0	2.2	65	0
22	Jan_17_2006	31.9	31.95	32.08	32.15			32.54(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	8	53	7.23	67%	0	0	0.96%	0	2.3	62	0
23	Jan_13_2006	31.9	31.93	31.97	32.15			32.2(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	0	31	1.65	62%	0	4.2	0.97%	0	1.2	59	0
24	Jan_12_2006	31.9	31.94	31.91	32.03			31.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	2	30	2.02	58%	0	23.5	1%	0	0.1	58	0
25	Jan_11_2006	31.9	31.95	31.87	32			31.98(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	21	2.36	58%		29.8	1.03%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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