Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.2400 (0.22%) ($31.1000 - $31.3600) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $31.2400(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.98(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.89(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.91(1.07%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2005	31.94	30.91	30.89	30.98			31.24(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	9	15	1.78	47%	0	36.8	1.12%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Nov_18_2005	31.94	30.9	30.84	30.82			31.17(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	6	-12	3.2	47%	-0.03	18.7	1.12%	0	1	42	0
3	Nov_17_2005	31.95	30.86	30.81	30.72			31.23(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-4	-10000	4	-26	3.11	47%	0	0	1.12%	0	1.1	52	0
4	Nov_16_2005	31.95	30.8	30.77	30.66			30.78(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-28	3.45	44%	-0.03	-12.5	1.11%	0	-0.1	57	0
5	Nov_15_2005	31.96	30.79	30.79	30.71			30.5(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-3	-20	2.32	44%	0	-13.5	1.12%	0	-0.9	47	0

6	Nov_14_2005	31.96	30.81	30.82	30.77			30.44(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-5	-21	2.76	44%	-0.03	-23.4	1.12%	0	-1.1	41	0
7	Nov_11_2005	31.97	30.84	30.92	30.85			30.64(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-3	-8	1.85	44%	-0.03	-25	1.12%	0	-0.6	43	0
8	Nov_10_2005	31.98	30.86	30.97	30.85			30.92(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	0	9	2.89	44%	0	-40.4	1.11%	0	0.2	59	0
9	Nov_9_2005	31.98	30.86	30.92	30.9			31.07(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	1	18	3.23	45%	0	-58.9	1.11%	0	0.7	65	0
10	Nov_8_2005	31.98	30.84	30.89	30.9			30.8(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	0	16	1.75	43%	0	-68.3	1.12%	0	-0.1	51	0

11	Nov_7_2005	31.98	30.88	30.93	30.88			30.81(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	-7	21	4.17	43%	0	-79.4	1.14%	0	-0.2	52	0
12	Nov_4_2005	31.98	30.92	30.96	31.01			30.89(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-2	34	2.9	41%	0	-78.8	1.16%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Nov_3_2005	31.98	30.99	30.91	31.04			30.93(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	6	33	3.94	41%	0	-83.1	1.16%	0	-0.1	51	0
14	Nov_2_2005	31.98	31.03	30.83	30.94			30.95(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	2	15	4.95	44%	0	-90	1.16%	0	-0.1	54	0
15	Nov_1_2005	31.98	31.1	30.81	30.91			30.83(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	3.35	43%	0	-78.1	1.2%	0	-0.3	47	0

16	Oct_31_2005	31.98	31.22	30.79	30.98			31.45(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	3	-4	2.61	45%	0.03	-59.8	1.19%	0	0.2	46	0
17	Oct_28_2005	31.97	31.33	30.75	30.92			31.05(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-15	3.45	43%	0	-51.9	1.17%	0	-0.3	44	0
18	Oct_27_2005	31.97	31.45	30.73	30.78			30.44(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-10000	6	-51	2.22	41%	0	-48.4	1.15%	0	-0.9	34	0
19	Oct_26_2005	31.97	31.6	30.74	30.68			30.79(-1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-86	4.45	41%	0	-46.4	1.14%	0	-0.7	39	0
20	Oct_25_2005	31.97	31.72	30.78	30.67			31.17(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	6	-106	4.34	42%	0.03	-45	1.13%	0	-0.5	38	0

21	Oct_24_2005	31.96	31.81	30.82	30.57			31.13(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-37	-10000	-1	-145	2.45	42%	0.03	-48.7	1.13%	0	-0.6	32	0
22	Oct_21_2005	31.95	31.9	30.87	30.59			30.35(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-6	-188	2.65	37%	0	-51.1	1.09%	0	-1.3	22	0
23	Oct_20_2005	31.95	32.02	31.05	30.69			29.95(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-55	-10000	-7	-200	3.22	35%	-0.03	-54.9	1.1%	0	-1.8	23	0
24	Oct_19_2005	31.96	32.16	31.26	30.8			30.76(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-60	-10000	-5	-226	6.81	37%	0.03	-62	1.05%	0	-1.3	25	0
25	Oct_18_2005	31.95	32.27	31.42	30.88			30.68(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	-10000	-14	-239	2.33	37%		-63.9	1.05%	0	-1.6	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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