Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 1, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $30.8300 (-1.97%) ($30.8000 - $31.5500) on Tue. Nov. 1, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $30.8300(-1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $31.1
5 Day Moving Average   $30.91(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.81(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.1(-0.87%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2005	31.98	31.1	30.81	30.91			30.83(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	3.35	43%	0	-78.1	1.2%	0	-0.3	47	0
2	Oct_31_2005	31.98	31.22	30.79	30.98			31.45(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	3	-4	2.61	45%	0.03	-59.8	1.19%	0	0.2	46	0
3	Oct_28_2005	31.97	31.33	30.75	30.92			31.05(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-15	3.45	43%	0	-51.9	1.17%	0	-0.3	44	0
4	Oct_27_2005	31.97	31.45	30.73	30.78			30.44(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-10000	6	-51	2.22	41%	0	-48.4	1.15%	0	-0.9	34	0
5	Oct_26_2005	31.97	31.6	30.74	30.68			30.79(-1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-86	4.45	41%	0	-46.4	1.14%	0	-0.7	39	0

6	Oct_25_2005	31.97	31.72	30.78	30.67			31.17(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	6	-106	4.34	42%	0.03	-45	1.13%	0	-0.5	38	0
7	Oct_24_2005	31.96	31.81	30.82	30.57			31.13(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-37	-10000	-1	-145	2.45	42%	0.03	-48.7	1.13%	0	-0.6	32	0
8	Oct_21_2005	31.95	31.9	30.87	30.59			30.35(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-6	-188	2.65	37%	0	-51.1	1.09%	0	-1.3	22	0
9	Oct_20_2005	31.95	32.02	31.05	30.69			29.95(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-55	-10000	-7	-200	3.22	35%	-0.03	-54.9	1.1%	0	-1.8	23	0
10	Oct_19_2005	31.96	32.16	31.26	30.8			30.76(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-60	-10000	-5	-226	6.81	37%	0.03	-62	1.05%	0	-1.3	25	0

11	Oct_18_2005	31.95	32.27	31.42	30.88			30.68(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	-10000	-14	-239	2.33	37%	-0.03	-63.9	1.05%	0	-1.6	29	0
12	Oct_17_2005	31.96	32.41	31.68	31.1			31.2(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-10000	-6	-216	3.45	39%	0.03	-60.3	1.03%	0	-1.2	36	0
13	Oct_14_2005	31.95	32.53	31.94	31.2			30.86(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-10000	-17	-200	4.2	36%	0.03	-59	1.02%	0	-1.7	33	0
14	Oct_13_2005	31.94	32.67	32.22	31.48			30.51(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-10000	-18	-161	8.54	34%	0	-55.1	1.02%	0	-2.4	33	0
15	Oct_12_2005	31.94	32.83	32.54	31.78			31.17(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-10000	-16	-121	4.39	36%	0.06	-52.9	0.99%	0	-2.2	38	0

16	Oct_11_2005	31.92	32.94	32.76	32.03			31.77(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-21	-93	2.25	38%	0.06	-52.9	0.96%	0	-1.9	41	0
17	Oct_10_2005	31.9	33.01	32.89	32.35			31.7(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-10000	-29	-71	2.17	38%	0.06	-43.8	0.96%	0	-2.3	35	0
18	Oct_7_2005	31.88	33.1	33.03	32.81			32.27(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-17	-28	1.74	44%	0.06	-22.5	0.95%	0	-1.7	37	0
19	Oct_6_2005	31.86	33.16	33.08	33.08			31.99(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-19	-10000	-20	-17	7.53	42%	0.09	-4.3	0.95%	0	-2.5	33	0
20	Oct_5_2005	31.83	33.22	33.16	33.4			32.42(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-7	-10000	-11	5	4.34	43%	0.06	25.4	0.95%	0	-2.1	37	0

21	Oct_4_2005	31.81	33.22	33.21	33.58			33.39(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	6	25	2.92	47%	0.13	59.6	0.88%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Oct_3_2005	31.77	33.27	33.2	33.49			33.98(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	14	24	2.57	50%	0.16	64.7	0.86%	0	2.1	63	0
23	Sep_30_2005	31.72	33.22	33.14	33.29			33.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	13	1	1.5	50%	0.13	67.8	0.85%	0	1.3	52	0
24	Sep_29_2005	31.68	33.18	33.13	33.1			33.63(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	14	-18	1.92	50%	0.13	65.5	0.85%	0	1.6	52	0
25	Sep_28_2005	31.64	33.13	33.11	32.9			33.3(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	8	-36	1.59	50%		50	0.85%	0	0.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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