Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $30.8600 (1.15%) ($30.4600 - $30.8700) on Fri. Oct. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $30.8600(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.88(-16.14%)
Resistance Level   $32.53
5 Day Moving Average   $31.2(-1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.94(-3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.53(-5.13%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2005	31.95	32.53	31.94	31.2			30.86(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-10000	-17	-200	4.2	36%	0.03	-59	1.02%	0	-1.7	33	0
2	Oct_13_2005	31.94	32.67	32.22	31.48			30.51(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-10000	-18	-161	8.54	34%	0	-55.1	1.02%	0	-2.4	33	0
3	Oct_12_2005	31.94	32.83	32.54	31.78			31.17(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-10000	-16	-121	4.39	36%	0.06	-52.9	0.99%	0	-2.2	38	0
4	Oct_11_2005	31.92	32.94	32.76	32.03			31.77(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-21	-93	2.25	38%	0.06	-52.9	0.96%	0	-1.9	41	0
5	Oct_10_2005	31.9	33.01	32.89	32.35			31.7(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-10000	-29	-71	2.17	38%	0.06	-43.8	0.96%	0	-2.3	35	0

6	Oct_7_2005	31.88	33.1	33.03	32.81			32.27(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-17	-28	1.74	44%	0.06	-22.5	0.95%	0	-1.7	37	0
7	Oct_6_2005	31.86	33.16	33.08	33.08			31.99(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-19	-10000	-20	-17	7.53	42%	0.09	-4.3	0.95%	0	-2.5	33	0
8	Oct_5_2005	31.83	33.22	33.16	33.4			32.42(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-7	-10000	-11	5	4.34	43%	0.06	25.4	0.95%	0	-2.1	37	0
9	Oct_4_2005	31.81	33.22	33.21	33.58			33.39(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	6	25	2.92	47%	0.13	59.6	0.88%	0	0.4	52	0
10	Oct_3_2005	31.77	33.27	33.2	33.49			33.98(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	14	24	2.57	50%	0.16	64.7	0.86%	0	2.1	63	0

11	Sep_30_2005	31.72	33.22	33.14	33.29			33.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	13	1	1.5	50%	0.13	67.8	0.85%	0	1.3	52	0
12	Sep_29_2005	31.68	33.18	33.13	33.1			33.63(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	14	-18	1.92	50%	0.13	65.5	0.85%	0	1.6	52	0
13	Sep_28_2005	31.64	33.13	33.11	32.9			33.3(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	8	-36	1.59	50%	0.13	50	0.85%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Sep_27_2005	31.6	33.08	33.1	32.79			32.96(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-56	1	48%	0.1	36.6	0.85%	0	-0.3	44	0
15	Sep_26_2005	31.57	33.05	33.12	32.87			32.95(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-53	0.72	48%	0.1	43.5	0.85%	0	-0.2	44	0

16	Sep_23_2005	31.54	33.01	33.16	32.98			32.68(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-13	-35	1.85	48%	0.1	52.2	0.85%	0	-0.7	47	0
17	Sep_22_2005	31.51	33	33.24	33.16			32.6(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-13	-6	2.32	50%	0.06	67.6	0.85%	0	-0.8	46	0
18	Sep_21_2005	31.49	32.97	33.3	33.35			32.78(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-6	30	2.69	50%	0.1	78.5	0.85%	0	-0.4	58	0
19	Sep_20_2005	31.46	32.94	33.36	33.44			33.36(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	4	70	1.43	53%	0.1	86.2	0.82%	0	0.8	72	0
20	Sep_19_2005	31.43	32.87	33.35	33.39			33.49(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	1	85	1.06	53%	0.13	79.3	0.82%	0	1.1	74	0

21	Sep_16_2005	31.39	32.78	33.31	33.37			33.59(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	2	102	1.66	53%	0.13	74.6	0.82%	0	1.3	77	0
22	Sep_15_2005	31.35	32.68	33.24	33.34			33.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	7	118	1.69	53%	0.13	67.8	0.82%	0	1.3	75	0
23	Sep_14_2005	31.31	32.57	33.14	33.24			33.23(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-10000	-1	116	0.7	51%	0.13	60.7	0.82%	0	1	76	0
24	Sep_13_2005	31.27	32.48	33.05	33.26			33.11(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-3	124	1.76	51%	0.1	57.9	0.82%	0	0.9	70	0
25	Sep_12_2005	31.24	32.41	32.97	33.3			33.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	6	146	1.19	53%		65.3	0.81%	0	1.4	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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