Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $32.6800 (0.25%) ($32.4500 - $32.7300) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $32.6800(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $33.01
5 Day Moving Average   $32.98(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.16(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.01(-1%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2005	31.54	33.01	33.16	32.98			32.68(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-13	-35	1.85	48%	0.1	52.2	0.85%	0	-0.7	47	0
2	Sep_22_2005	31.51	33	33.24	33.16			32.6(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-13	-6	2.32	50%	0.06	67.6	0.85%	0	-0.8	46	0
3	Sep_21_2005	31.49	32.97	33.3	33.35			32.78(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-6	30	2.69	50%	0.1	78.5	0.85%	0	-0.4	58	0
4	Sep_20_2005	31.46	32.94	33.36	33.44			33.36(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	4	70	1.43	53%	0.1	86.2	0.82%	0	0.8	72	0
5	Sep_19_2005	31.43	32.87	33.35	33.39			33.49(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	1	85	1.06	53%	0.13	79.3	0.82%	0	1.1	74	0

6	Sep_16_2005	31.39	32.78	33.31	33.37			33.59(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	2	102	1.66	53%	0.13	74.6	0.82%	0	1.3	77	0
7	Sep_15_2005	31.35	32.68	33.24	33.34			33.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	7	118	1.69	53%	0.13	67.8	0.82%	0	1.3	75	0
8	Sep_14_2005	31.31	32.57	33.14	33.24			33.23(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-10000	-1	116	0.7	51%	0.13	60.7	0.82%	0	1	76	0
9	Sep_13_2005	31.27	32.48	33.05	33.26			33.11(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-3	124	1.76	51%	0.1	57.9	0.82%	0	0.9	70	0
10	Sep_12_2005	31.24	32.41	32.97	33.3			33.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	6	146	1.19	53%	0.13	65.3	0.81%	0	1.4	79	0

11	Sep_9_2005	31.2	32.33	32.85	33.22			33.43(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	150	3.42	53%	0.13	64.2	0.81%	0	1.7	82	0
12	Sep_8_2005	31.16	32.24	32.73	33.13			33.04(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	8	161	1.54	51%	0.1	59.9	0.8%	0	1.3	81	0
13	Sep_7_2005	31.13	32.16	32.62	33.02			33.33(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	-10000	17	169	1.54	52%	0.13	48.7	0.79%	0	2	90	0
14	Sep_6_2005	31.09	32.07	32.5	32.8			33.31(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	-10000	15	159	2.03	52%	0.23	35.1	0.79%	0	2.3	88	0
15	Sep_2_2005	31.02	31.97	32.35	32.6			33(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	-10000	13	136	1.98	50%	0.1	22.4	0.78%	0	2.2	68	0

16	Sep_1_2005	30.99	31.91	32.21	32.43			32.99(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	-10000	13	114	2.58	53%	0.1	9.6	0.78%	0	2.5	70	0
17	Aug_31_2005	30.96	31.91	32.05	32.27			32.48(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	87	2.12	50%	0.1	2.5	0.77%	0	1.6	63	0
18	Aug_30_2005	30.93	31.87	31.94	32.16			32.23(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	2	67	0.88	48%	0.06	1.6	0.76%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Aug_29_2005	30.91	31.89	31.85	32.14			32.28(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	7	61	1.62	48%	0.1	7.2	0.77%	0	1	64	0
20	Aug_26_2005	30.88	31.86	31.81	32.05			32.15(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	0.87	48%	0.1	1.6	0.77%	0	0.7	69	0

21	Aug_25_2005	30.85	31.87	31.76	31.95			32.2(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	12	49	1.31	48%	0.1	0	0.77%	0	0.8	53	0
22	Aug_24_2005	30.82	31.86	31.71	31.8			31.96(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	10	13	1.69	48%	0.06	-3.2	0.77%	0	0.3	40	0
23	Aug_23_2005	30.8	31.87	31.67	31.68			32.11(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	13	-28	3	48%	0.1	-13.5	0.76%	0	0.6	39	0
24	Aug_22_2005	30.77	31.87	31.62	31.68			31.85(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-19	-10000	0	-77	1.18	46%	0.07	-26.2	0.76%	0	-0	37	0
25	Aug_19_2005	30.75	31.86	31.56	31.53			31.64(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-2	-92	0.93	46%		-28.7	0.76%	0	-0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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