Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.5900 (0.15%) ($33.1900 - $33.6000) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $33.5900(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(56%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.37(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.31(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.78(2.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2005	31.39	32.78	33.31	33.37			33.59(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	2	102	1.66	53%	0.13	74.6	0.82%	0	1.3	77	0
2	Sep_15_2005	31.35	32.68	33.24	33.34			33.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	7	118	1.69	53%	0.13	67.8	0.82%	0	1.3	75	0
3	Sep_14_2005	31.31	32.57	33.14	33.24			33.23(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-10000	-1	116	0.7	51%	0.13	60.7	0.82%	0	1	76	0
4	Sep_13_2005	31.27	32.48	33.05	33.26			33.11(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-3	124	1.76	51%	0.1	57.9	0.82%	0	0.9	70	0
5	Sep_12_2005	31.24	32.41	32.97	33.3			33.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	6	146	1.19	53%	0.13	65.3	0.81%	0	1.4	79	0

6	Sep_9_2005	31.2	32.33	32.85	33.22			33.43(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	150	3.42	53%	0.13	64.2	0.81%	0	1.7	82	0
7	Sep_8_2005	31.16	32.24	32.73	33.13			33.04(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	8	161	1.54	51%	0.1	59.9	0.8%	0	1.3	81	0
8	Sep_7_2005	31.13	32.16	32.62	33.02			33.33(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	-10000	17	169	1.54	52%	0.13	48.7	0.79%	0	2	90	0
9	Sep_6_2005	31.09	32.07	32.5	32.8			33.31(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	-10000	15	159	2.03	52%	0.23	35.1	0.79%	0	2.3	88	0
10	Sep_2_2005	31.02	31.97	32.35	32.6			33(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	-10000	13	136	1.98	50%	0.1	22.4	0.78%	0	2.2	68	0

11	Sep_1_2005	30.99	31.91	32.21	32.43			32.99(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	-10000	13	114	2.58	53%	0.1	9.6	0.78%	0	2.5	70	0
12	Aug_31_2005	30.96	31.91	32.05	32.27			32.48(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	87	2.12	50%	0.1	2.5	0.77%	0	1.6	63	0
13	Aug_30_2005	30.93	31.87	31.94	32.16			32.23(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	2	67	0.88	48%	0.06	1.6	0.76%	0	0.9	64	0
14	Aug_29_2005	30.91	31.89	31.85	32.14			32.28(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	7	61	1.62	48%	0.1	7.2	0.77%	0	1	64	0
15	Aug_26_2005	30.88	31.86	31.81	32.05			32.15(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	0.87	48%	0.1	1.6	0.77%	0	0.7	69	0

16	Aug_25_2005	30.85	31.87	31.76	31.95			32.2(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	12	49	1.31	48%	0.1	0	0.77%	0	0.8	53	0
17	Aug_24_2005	30.82	31.86	31.71	31.8			31.96(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	10	13	1.69	48%	0.06	-3.2	0.77%	0	0.3	40	0
18	Aug_23_2005	30.8	31.87	31.67	31.68			32.11(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	13	-28	3	48%	0.1	-13.5	0.76%	0	0.6	39	0
19	Aug_22_2005	30.77	31.87	31.62	31.68			31.85(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-19	-10000	0	-77	1.18	46%	0.07	-26.2	0.76%	0	-0	37	0
20	Aug_19_2005	30.75	31.87	31.56	31.53			31.64(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-2	-92	0.93	46%	0.1	-28.7	0.76%	0	-0.6	48	0

21	Aug_18_2005	30.72	31.86	31.58	31.55			31.45(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-5	-101	1.71	46%	0.1	-29.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	40	0
22	Aug_17_2005	30.69	31.88	31.68	31.61			31.33(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-4	-88	2.35	49%	0.1	-30.3	0.76%	0	-1.4	39	0
23	Aug_16_2005	30.66	31.92	31.81	31.66			31.36(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-4	-69	2.01	49%	0.07	-30.2	0.77%	0	-1.5	43	0
24	Aug_15_2005	30.64	31.96	31.81	31.71			31.86(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	10	-45	1.07	53%	0.03	-32.1	0.74%	0	-0.3	50	0
25	Aug_12_2005	30.63	31.97	31.93	31.59			31.74(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-2	-65	1.54	46%		-45.3	0.77%	0	-0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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