Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 3, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $32.6800 (0.28%) ($32.3900 - $33.0000) on Wed. Aug. 3, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $32.6800(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)    XLK(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.33(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.1(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.08(1.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2005	30.43	32.08	32.1	32.33			32.68(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	11	46	5.28	53%	0.1	55.7	0.7%	0	1.9	61	0
2	Aug_2_2005	30.4	32.02	32.05	32.21			32.59(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	12	25	3.26	53%	0.1	47.6	0.71%	0	2.1	52	0
3	Aug_1_2005	30.37	32.02	31.99	32.07			31.85(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-10000	1	-4	1.97	46%	0.1	49.3	0.65%	0	-0.5	41	0
4	Jul_29_2005	30.34	31.98	32	32.06			32.27(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	9	-8	3.06	54%	0.1	62.7	0.63%	0	1.2	51	0
5	Jul_28_2005	30.31	31.95	31.97	31.97			32.26(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	13	-20	2.61	54%	0.1	55.1	0.65%	0	1.2	56	0

6	Jul_27_2005	30.28	31.91	31.95	31.84			32.06(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-37	3.96	54%	0.1	46.2	0.65%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Jul_26_2005	30.25	31.89	31.97	31.87			31.92(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-2	-7	3.14	50%	0.07	58.5	0.66%	0	0.1	64	0
8	Jul_25_2005	30.23	31.86	32	31.89			31.81(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	4	1.43	50%	0.07	61.5	0.68%	0	-0.2	49	0
9	Jul_22_2005	30.21	31.83	32.04	31.93			31.8(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-4	18	1.2	50%	0.07	61.5	0.68%	0	-0.1	50	0
10	Jul_21_2005	30.19	31.81	32.06	31.97			31.62(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-8	35	3.78	50%	0.1	70	0.68%	0	-0.5	53	0

11	Jul_20_2005	30.16	31.8	32.07	32.06			32.2(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-10000	-3	56	0.95	56%	0.1	81.4	0.64%	0	1.1	64	0
12	Jul_19_2005	30.13	31.74	31.99	32.09			32.03(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-4	55	1.08	60%	0.1	78.9	0.65%	0	0.7	59	0
13	Jul_18_2005	30.1	31.68	31.98	32.13			32(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-4	76	1.05	60%	0.1	77.4	0.67%	0	0.8	64	0
14	Jul_15_2005	30.07	31.63	31.97	32.17			32.02(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	1	104	1.08	54%	0.1	79.1	0.67%	0	0.9	68	0
15	Jul_14_2005	30.04	31.57	31.92	32.16			32.03(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	-10000	7	107	1.5	52%	0.13	75.2	0.72%	0	1	62	0

16	Jul_13_2005	30	31.51	31.88	32.08			32.35(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	18	109	1.95	54%	0.13	71.7	0.71%	0	1.8	69	0
17	Jul_12_2005	29.96	31.43	31.8	31.88			32.26(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	6	92	1.93	57%	0.07	69.2	0.72%	0	1.8	72	0
18	Jul_11_2005	29.94	31.36	31.7	31.81			32.17(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	5	91	1.43	59%	0.13	73	0.73%	0	1.9	72	0
19	Jul_8_2005	29.9	31.29	31.6	31.75			31.99(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	8	91	1.49	59%	0.07	77.3	0.73%	0	1.8	71	0
20	Jul_7_2005	29.88	31.22	31.53	31.66			31.62(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	93	2.18	58%	0.1	76.8	0.73%	0	1	69	0

21	Jul_6_2005	29.85	31.16	31.5	31.64			31.37(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-4	101	1.21	57%	0.07	76.6	0.73%	0	0.5	65	0
22	Jul_5_2005	29.83	31.12	31.46	31.69			31.91(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	11	123	1.09	62%	0.1	84.1	0.7%	0	1.9	73	0
23	Jul_1_2005	29.8	31.05	31.36	31.57			31.85(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	13	110	0.64	62%	0.1	82.9	0.7%	0	2	74	0
24	Jun_30_2005	29.77	30.98	31.27	31.43			31.56(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	5	92	2.31	65%	0.1	86.6	0.69%	0	1.6	73	0
25	Jun_29_2005	29.74	30.92	31.18	31.38			31.53(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	5	87	2.35	61%		94	0.71%	0	1.7	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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