Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.9900 (1.17%) ($31.6000 - $31.9900) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $31.9900(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)    XLK(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.75(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.6(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.29(2.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2005	29.9	31.29	31.6	31.75			31.99(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	8	91	1.49	59%	0.07	77.3	0.73%	0	1.8	71	0
2	Jul_7_2005	29.88	31.22	31.53	31.66			31.62(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	93	2.18	58%	0.1	76.8	0.73%	0	1	69	0
3	Jul_6_2005	29.85	31.16	31.5	31.64			31.37(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-4	101	1.21	57%	0.07	76.6	0.73%	0	0.5	65	0
4	Jul_5_2005	29.83	31.12	31.46	31.69			31.91(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	11	123	1.09	62%	0.1	84.1	0.7%	0	1.9	73	0
5	Jul_1_2005	29.8	31.05	31.36	31.57			31.85(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	13	110	0.64	62%	0.1	82.9	0.7%	0	2	74	0

6	Jun_30_2005	29.77	30.98	31.27	31.43			31.56(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	5	92	2.31	65%	0.1	86.6	0.69%	0	1.6	73	0
7	Jun_29_2005	29.74	30.92	31.18	31.38			31.53(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	5	87	2.35	61%	0.07	94	0.71%	0	1.7	74	0
8	Jun_28_2005	29.72	30.86	31.11	31.33			31.62(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	12	86	1.11	61%	0.1	95.8	0.73%	0	2.1	78	0
9	Jun_27_2005	29.69	30.78	31.03	31.2			31.31(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	7	76	0.91	59%	0.07	100.9	0.73%	0	1.6	75	0
10	Jun_24_2005	29.67	30.72	30.99	31.12			31.12(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	4	75	0.91	61%	0.07	94.6	0.73%	0	1.2	74	0

11	Jun_23_2005	29.65	30.66	30.95	31.07			31.34(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	-10000	11	78	1.36	61%	0.1	85.1	0.73%	0	1.8	82	0
12	Jun_22_2005	29.62	30.59	30.87	30.95			31.25(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	22	-10000	8	65	1.9	56%	0.1	78.5	0.74%	0	1.8	83	0
13	Jun_21_2005	29.59	30.51	30.8	30.86			30.97(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	13	-10000	1	50	0.75	54%	0.07	70.4	0.78%	0	1.2	76	0
14	Jun_20_2005	29.57	30.45	30.76	30.85			30.93(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	2	62	1.35	54%	0.1	73.4	0.78%	0	1.2	83	0
15	Jun_17_2005	29.54	30.4	30.71	30.83			30.87(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	3	70	0.92	52%	0.1	82	0.79%	0	1.2	81	0

16	Jun_16_2005	29.51	30.35	30.67	30.8			30.73(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	2	80	1.16	50%	0.1	82.9	0.79%	0	1	82	0
17	Jun_15_2005	29.48	30.3	30.64	30.78			30.78(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	3	90	0.52	50%	0.1	77.3	0.8%	0	1.2	85	0
18	Jun_14_2005	29.45	30.25	30.6	30.74			30.93(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	7	103	1.18	53%	0.1	73.5	0.8%	0	1.7	94	0
19	Jun_13_2005	29.42	30.17	30.52	30.66			30.85(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	-10000	6	98	0.48	53%	0.14	58.8	0.82%	0	1.7	94	0
20	Jun_10_2005	29.38	30.09	30.44	30.58			30.72(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	4	92	1.24	53%	0.1	44.1	0.82%	0	1.5	83	0

21	Jun_9_2005	29.35	30.03	30.36	30.53			30.61(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	4	88	0.99	49%	0.1	40.9	0.82%	0	1.4	81	0
22	Jun_8_2005	29.32	30	30.28	30.48			30.58(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	2	83	1.03	49%	0.1	40.9	0.85%	0	1.5	84	0
23	Jun_7_2005	29.29	29.96	30.2	30.45			30.52(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	8	83	3.11	49%	0.03	40	0.86%	0	1.6	83	0
24	Jun_6_2005	29.28	29.93	30.13	30.35			30.45(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	6	81	0.93	49%	0.1	34.5	0.86%	0	1.6	87	0
25	Jun_3_2005	29.25	29.9	30.07	30.27			30.48(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	27	-10000	8	85	1.16	52%		26	0.88%	0	1.9	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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